A Future Prognosis

Athena @ Shaping Tomorrow

20 June 2024
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World Outlook
Main factors that cause something to happen globally
Regardless of whether digital currencies achieve mainstream adoption in 2024 or 2025, the proliferation of Bitcoin ETFs signals a significant step towards broader acceptance and integration within the global financial system. FinancialExpress
Crypto is not only a financial asset, but a technological and social phenomenon that could transform the world in the coming years. Coinpedia Blockchain Fintech News
Raising crypto prices combined with energy inefficient equipment would result in electricity use exceeding 2% of global electricity consumption by 2027, and eventually falling to slightly above 1% by 2035. IMF eLibrary
Global regions, coloured according to number of forecasts
  • Coinbase Global, Inc. is a young company with several trends that will drive it including widening moats, increased institutional capital inflows due to Bitcoin ETFs, a first-mover advantage in next-generation blockchain networks, and the rising adoption of crypto. Yahoo Finance
  • With the continually increasing sales of GPUs, mainly due to the current craze of activities involving bitcoins and other related virtual currencies, NVIDIA will indeed be an advantage. Analytics Insight
  • Bitcoin's capitalization has reached a solid $1.30 trillion, which, as experts warn, reduces the effect of future inflows. Action Forex Company Limited
  • In the event of a dovish stance from the Fed, coupled with favorable inflation data, Ethereum could experience an upward trajectory. Analytics Insight
  • While governments grapple with inflation, recessionary threats, and the ongoing war in Ukraine, the EU continues to move towards an EU-wide crypto regulatory framework. IFC Review
  • China has adopted a strict stance on blockchain, imposing bans on ICOs and crypto related activities, with the government concerned about the speculative nature of cryptocurrencies and their potential for illegal activities and financial instability. Naik Naik
  • Archax, the UK's first FCA-regulated crypto exchange, will bring its expertise in working with financial institutions on asset tokenization. Crypto News Flash
  • Assuming that bitcoins are not treated as currency for U.S. federal income tax purposes, that gain or loss will generally be short-term capital gain or loss if the U.S. ADVFN
  • On the macro front, the move by the US Securities and Exchange Commission to approve spot bitcoin exchange-traded products and the London Stock Exchange to accept applications for bitcoin and ethereum exchange-traded notes will open the digital assets investment landscape to institutional investors. Gulf Business
  • As for crypto assets, the OSC notes that it continues to see a broad range of crypto assets offered to clients in Ontario, including retail investors, which are inherently high risk. McCarthy Tetrault LLP
  • In addition to crypto assets, the SEC will scrutinize the technological risks associated with the use of blockchain and distributed ledger technology. cryptonews
  • The British Columbia Securities Commission and Royal Canadian Mounted Police have issued a warning to ten B.C. residents over their alleged involvement in international crypto fraud schemes. cryptonews

A framework that describes a 4-phase level of maturity to help determine potential and inform innovation strategy.

crypto, bitcoin, computer, asset, attack, application
bitcoin, crypto, asset, blockchain, bank, application
crypto, asset, price, bank, bitcoin, application
crypto, bitcoin, asset, bank, company, carbon
Past Year: More Positive
Compare changing sentiment to a benchmark of all forecasts
Regardless of whether digital currencies achieve mainstream adoption in 2024 or 2025, the proliferation of Bitcoin ETFs signals a significant step towards broader acceptance and integration within the global financial system. FinancialExpress
By 2025, crypto crime will cost the world $30 billion annually. The Tech Report
  • The expectation from the U.S. government is that financial institutions, crypto companies, and others in the virtual currency ecosystem will take proactive steps to prevent terrorists from accessing resources. InsideBitcoins
  • If regulatory clarity improves and the Fed cuts rates, Bitcoin's value will rise remarkably within a year. Yahoo Finance
  • The AMF, along with the OSC and the SEC, all put great emphasis on emerging technologies and crypto assets as important regulatory focus for 2024-2025. McCarthy Tetrault LLP
  • By the summer of 2025, Bitcoin could be valued at as much as $350,000. Invezz
  • Nearly all EU-regulated crypto businesses, including exchanges and brokers, will need to detect and report MEV instances through comprehensive 'Suspicious Transaction and Order Reports'. Binance Square
  • After years of analysis of the Decentralized Social price, crypto experts are ready to provide their DESO cost estimation for 2032.
  • The next US Federal Reserve meeting will likely determine the near-term direction of Ethereum. Analytics Insight
  • Bitcoin's decentralized nature has the potential to revolutionize financial inclusion, providing access to financial services for individuals and communities around the world. Robotics & Automation News
  • By 2025, Ethereum is expected to see significant improvements in its ecosystem, particularly through the integration of Layer 2 solutions. Market Pulse
  • The IIV will closely track the globally integrated bitcoin price as reflected on the Constituent Platforms. ADVFN
  • Crypto and AI could be a $20 trillion megatrend. BitPinas
  • The intersection of artificial intelligence and crypto is poised to unleash a notable wave that could add a staggering $20 trillion to the global gross domestic product by 2030. NEWSBTC
Financial Impact
Global liquidity hitting $94 trillion could support further Bitcoin gains, with potential to reach $85,000 if closing above $71,300 weekly. COIN360
VanEck predicts Ethereum Layer-2 networks to reach $1 trillion valuation by 2030, highlighting scalability solutions. BeInCrypto
RWA tokenization could emerge as a significant use case in the crypto space, potentially reaching $4 trillion to $5 trillion by 2030. cryptonews
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System Map
Creates plausible alternative futures of what can happen and encourages development of a robust, agile response
In addition, now that crypto is ever present Cybersecurity Ventures predicts crypto crime will cost the world $30bn annually by 2025. businesslive
There have been approximately 764 crypto-related M&A transactions globally since 2013, with about 88 in the first seven months of 2022.3 It is anticipated that the total estimated value of transactions in 2022 will be roughly $8 billion. Allen&Overy
By the end of this decade, a few things like how Bitcoin would be regulated and whether it could become a currency with wider usage in the global payments system might become clear. Kalkine Media AU
Changing proportion of published forecasts
Governments worldwide are implementing new regulations to address the vulnerabilities of inadequate AML compliance procedures in crypto firms. Financial Crime Academy
The global chip shortage is very much still ongoing, after all - sure, the crypto crash has seen a period of relief, but the need for AI processors threatens to spark a new GPU shortage. TechRadar
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Another study finds that 44% of regional and global banks will offer crypto support by the end of the year. The Financial Brand
The adoption of Polygon by renowned brands like Nike, Starbucks, Mastercard, Adobe, Disney, Meta (formerly Facebook), Adidas, Mercedes, Reddit, and Google Cloud has further sparked the interest of crypto investors worldwide, validating its potential.
Bitcoin's potential to drive Web3 adoption globally is significant. The Globe and Mail
Key topics
Investigate what’s transforming or collapsing
Crypto currencies are extremely volatile, can involve high risk and is not for everyone, states Crypto Lists Ltd. CFDs are complex instruments that have a high risk of losing money due to leverage.
The most far-reaching consequence of the ETF-driven institutionalization of bitcoin is that it will become extremely difficult for the U.S. to ban the digital asset, enabling bitcoin to permanently push forward the evolution of how money fundamentally works. Forbes
The FCA has repeatedly flagged concerns about the extreme volatility of crypto-assets, the high risk of losses, and the difficulties retail investors face in valuing them. / UK FinanceFeeds
What's Next
Changing proportion of material mentioning future years
The coming year will bring about new all-time highs in bitcoin and ethereum and a much wider institutional participation in crypto assets. Forbes
Assia is confident that over the next decade, Bitcoin will not only see higher prices but also become a more significant force in the global financial landscape. Financial World
As crypto becomes more mainstream, how can individuals who want to utilise cryptocurrencies for investments or the transfer of value do so without the risk of falling victim to crypto scams and fraudulent activities? Gulf Business
How can sidechains help to solve the scalability problem of Bitcoin? Sovryn
What can crypto firms do to protect themselves, their customers, and the crypto community from the growing threat of fraud? IDnow
How Does a Blockchain Prevent Double-Spending of Bitcoins? Investopedia
How might global economic factors affect Bitcoin in 2024? CCN
How will crypto change in 2025?
Who Will Win Bitcoin's Halving?
Who owns the most bitcoins? DailyCoin
Given the rapid clip at which crypto and blockchain have exploded over the last five years, who knows what the next five years will bring? paymentsjournal
What comes next for the crypto industry?
What impact will the bitcoin halving have on crypto markets? Crypto and Digital Assets Summit
What are the Best AI Crypto Trading Bots? Altcoin Investor
Which one packs more punch when it comes to making transactions faster, reducing gas fees, and offering a seamless user experience on the Ethereum network? BeInCrypto
HOW NFM RULES WILL AFFECT AND IMPACT CRYPTO AND FINTECH FIRMS The real question is how will the NFM Rules potentially affect and impact crypto and FinTech firms when they come into force in 2025? FinExtra
What happens when crypto and blockchain meet the physical world? IoTeX Blog - Get All The Latest IoTeX News
Which changes will the AML Package bring about for the European crypto industry? Lexology
Will Solana Be The Next Bitcoin? cryptonews
Will altcoins fade as Bitcoin surges? Coinpedia Fintech News
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