Crypto

A Future Prognosis

Athena @ Shaping Tomorrow

22 November 2024
Introduction
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Contents
User Guide
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Sources
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Web Searches
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World Outlook
Main factors that cause something to happen globally
Regardless of whether digital currencies achieve mainstream adoption in 2024 or 2025, the proliferation of Bitcoin ETFs signals a significant step towards broader acceptance and integration within the global financial system. FinancialExpress
Crypto is not only a financial asset, but a technological and social phenomenon that could transform the world in the coming years. Coinpedia Blockchain Fintech News
Raising crypto prices combined with energy inefficient equipment would result in electricity use exceeding 2% of global electricity consumption by 2027, and eventually falling to slightly above 1% by 2035. IMF eLibrary
Global regions, coloured according to number of forecasts
SWOT
Strengths
  • Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have the potential to supplant the Federal Reserve by providing a stable, non-inflatable currency, but face challenges in ease of use and value fluctuations. Dollar Collapse
  • Ethereum's dominance faces challenges as altcoins like XYZVerse, blending sports and meme culture, aim for major growth by 2025. crypto.news
  • The Trump Bitcoin Vision could represent a turning point for American financial policy, challenging the global dominance of centralized digital currencies and introducing Bitcoin as a strategic national asset. Dinar Chronicles
Weaknesses
  • Increased decentralization protects the Bitcoin protocol from vulnerabilities like single points of failure, making sure that Bitcoin remains a truly global, trustless, and permissionless financial system. CCN.com
  • Google has issued a warning about the rise of sophisticated scams driven by artificial intelligence, including deepfake impersonations, crypto investment frauds, and deceptive app clones. The Shib Daily - Latest News & Trends On Shiba Inu & Sh
  • Given the scale and dependence on the DeFi of Ethereum, it is expected to encounter limitations that will hinder its expansion and global reach. Crypto Daily
Opportunities
  • Key risks for global investments include geopolitical instability, Elon Musk's influence, Bitcoin's surge to $94,000, and Warren Buffett's shift to cash. BizNews.com
  • Bitcoin hit a fresh record high above $94,500, and is up well over 30% since Trump's election, buoyed by expectations that he will create a more crypto-friendly regulatory environment. eOption
  • In Crypto: Bitcoin touched new all-time highs boosting shares of COIN as well as Bitcoin miners and others; MSTR sold a larger-than-expected $2.6 billion of bonds that converts into stock, giving the cryptocurrency-buying software company more cash to purchase bitcoins. / USA eOption
Threats
  • Bitcoin could break through the $100,000 mark before Donald Trump is even inaugurated as the next U.S. president. Yahoo Finance
  • If the Federal Reserve finds itself in a situation where it has to pivot its monetary policy due to a recession, that could be the catalyst for the next great bull run in Bitcoin. PrimeXBT Trading Services LLC
  • The ongoing uncertainty in the US regarding crypto custody might have been paused, or to be just offered in non-US markets where regulations are more friendly and clear for the bank (DigFin). RIVA Markets
Influencers
Countries
Cities
People
Organizations
S-Curve

A framework that describes a 4-phase level of maturity to help determine potential and inform innovation strategy.

Weak
crypto, bitcoin, computer, asset, attack, application
Emerging
bitcoin, crypto, asset, blockchain, bank, application
Maturing
crypto, asset, price, bank, bitcoin, application
Declining
crypto, bitcoin, asset, bank, company, carbon
Sentiment
Past Year: More Positive
Compare changing sentiment to a benchmark of all forecasts
Regardless of whether digital currencies achieve mainstream adoption in 2024 or 2025, the proliferation of Bitcoin ETFs signals a significant step towards broader acceptance and integration within the global financial system. FinancialExpress
By 2025, crypto crime will cost the world $30 billion annually. The Tech Report
PEST
Political
  • Pro-crypto regulations under Trump are expected to usher in an SEC chairman more open to innovation, in contrast to the aggressive regulatory stance during Joe Biden's administration. / USA Pintu
  • The likelihood that Trump's administration will take a more relaxed approach to cryptocurrency regulation saw the price of Bitcoin hit a record high. UK - EN - Private
  • Anticipations are growing whether the US SEC will drop lawsuits against crypto firms like Ripple, Binance, Coinbase, and others. Coingape
Economic
  • 75% of retailers plan to accept crypto as a form of payment in their stores.
  • With a simplistic, easy-to-use interface as well as accessible payment options, new crypto investors will benefit greatly from Coinbase.
  • The value of Bitcoin could skyrocket to $500,000 if donald trump establishes a strategic reserve for cryptocurrency in the US. 24 Hours World
Social
  • Global Bitcoin adoption enhances security, decentralization, and resistance to attacks or centralization threats. CCN.com
  • Starting mid-2025, Detroit residents can pay taxes and fees in crypto, with blockchain entrepreneurs invited to enhance civic solutions. Crypto Briefing
  • The next halving for the bitcoin blockchain is anticipated to occur in 2028 at block 1,050,000. Core Scientific, Inc.
Technological
  • Google Cloud's threat intelligence confirms that attackers also launch crypto miners there. Datadog
  • Platforms like Gemini, and eToro mostly support the major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum, and that might not cater to traders with more extensive needs. Coingape
  • The collaboration between Cardano and Bitcoin, as well as the use of advanced cryptographic techniques like zero-knowledge proofs, could be the beginning of a new era in blockchain technology. ICOholder Blog
Financial Impact
The U.S. debt load is about to ramp up to add $1 trillion every 100 days - potentially fueling a bitcoin price surge - and could reach $36 trillion by the end of 2024. Forbes
Some in the crypto community have cast doubt on a recent projection suggesting that tokenized real-world assets could reach a staggering $30 trillion by 2030. cryptonews
The entire suite of Bitcoin L2s is valued at $7.6 trillion, representing about 12.5% of Bitcoin's projected value. CryptoGlobe
Click on the dots or the lines to see the connections
System Map
Organizations
Sectors
Cities
Countries
People
Scenarios
Creates plausible alternative futures of what can happen and encourages development of a robust, agile response
In addition, now that crypto is ever present Cybersecurity Ventures predicts crypto crime will cost the world $30bn annually by 2025. businesslive
There have been approximately 764 crypto-related M&A transactions globally since 2013, with about 88 in the first seven months of 2022.3 It is anticipated that the total estimated value of transactions in 2022 will be roughly $8 billion. Allen&Overy
Trump's pledge to establish a strategic national Bitcoin stockpile could position the U.S. as a leader in crypto adoption, potentially impacting global adoption and Bitcoin's valuation as a reserve asset. Learn
Warnings
Changing proportion of published forecasts
Governments worldwide are implementing new regulations to address the vulnerabilities of inadequate AML compliance procedures in crypto firms. Financial Crime Academy
The global chip shortage is very much still ongoing, after all - sure, the crypto crash has seen a period of relief, but the need for AI processors threatens to spark a new GPU shortage. TechRadar
Solutions
Know how others are tackling issues with this topic
Trump's victory will spur cryptocurrency adoption in the world's largest economy, setting up Bitcoin for a break above $100,000 within months. CoinTelegraph
If Bitcoin achieves the prominence Trump envisions, it transforms the U.S. financial landscape and prompts a broader GCR and RV worldwide, altering the way individuals, governments, and institutions view and interact with currency. Dinar Chronicles
Irrespective of the risk in placing trust in a crypto platform yet to be battle tested, industry enthusiasts are likely to patronize World Liberty Financial if only to signal support for Trump's political endeavours. Wired
Key topics
Extremes
Investigate what’s transforming or collapsing
By 2050, we see bitcoin solidifying its position as a key international medium of exchange, ultimately becoming one of the world's reserve currencies. Bitcoin 2050 Valuation Scenarios: Global Medium of Exch
We see the establishment of a US strategic Bitcoin reserve as extremely low odds, but it could spark a global, nation state-level war for Bitcoin, with the sky being the limit for price should it occur. OKX
Whether or not Bitcoin will mature into a global reserve asset ultimately depends on geopolitics, political decisions and considerations from major global institutions. Seeking Alpha
What's Next
Changing proportion of material mentioning future years
The emerging intersection of AI and crypto is going to be literally the most exciting development on our planet over the next few years. cryptonews
In summary, Putin's approval of crypto mining in Russia is a game-changer, potentially reshaping the global crypto landscape and offering vast opportunities for new projects to thrive in the coming years. Techpoint Africa
Questions
Can?
What Are Some Potential Opportunities That Can Be Leveraged to Enhance Bitcoin Scalability in the Future? Doubloin
How can DeFi overcome its circular token gambling obsession and play its proper role in scaling crypto adoption? CoinDesk
Can Bitcoin reach $1 million by 2030? Radio Okapi
How?
In a crowded space, Qubetics has a chance to shine, but how does it stack up against established players like Avalanche and Bitcoin? Brave New Coin
How are AI crypto projects redefining the blockchain space? ValueWalk
How do blockchain networks respond to Ethereum's success? investing.com
Who?
If Bitcoin's advocates have their way, who will be the next group of politically influential and self-interested investors to propose government hoarding of their favorite asset? Money, Banking and Financial Markets
Who earns Gas fees on the Ethereum blockchain? Blockgeeks
Why does the future of Bitcoin depend on who comes to the White House? NDTV
What?
What's behind Trump's shift, and what could it mean for the future of bitcoin and other decentralized digital assets in the U.S.? Morningstar, Inc.
What are the biggest risks to Bitcoin or Blockstream? Forbes Australia
What does decentralization mean for Bitcoin? AOL
When?
Which one packs more punch when it comes to making transactions faster, reducing gas fees, and offering a seamless user experience on the Ethereum network? BeInCrypto
HOW NFM RULES WILL AFFECT AND IMPACT CRYPTO AND FINTECH FIRMS The real question is how will the NFM Rules potentially affect and impact crypto and FinTech firms when they come into force in 2025? FinExtra
What happens when crypto and blockchain meet the physical world? IoTeX Blog - Get All The Latest IoTeX News
Will?
Will Bitcoin ETFs continue to gain momentum? Mudrex Blog
With the recent price movements, will we see a new all-time high for Bitcoin before the year ends? CoinMarketCap
Will Microsoft finally embrace Bitcoin? BitDegree
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