Air Quality

A Future Prognosis

Athena @ Shaping Tomorrow

6 December 2021
Introduction
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Contents
User Guide
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Sources
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World Outlook
Main factors that cause something to happen globally
The Education Finance Playbook - produced by Theirworld earlier in 2021 - warned about the shortfall of $75 billion a year that is needed to meet the United Nations' goal of quality education for every child by 2030. ReliefWeb 3
Energy intensive air conditioning, likely to be the world's primary heat reduction strategy, exacerbates global warming and drives further extreme heat events, 5 while remaining unaffordable for the estimated two to five billion people who will be exposed to heat stress by 2050. The BMJ
Direct air capture could be a multi-gigaton per year industry by the 2040s, potentially playing a very significant role in the stabilisation of climate change. Future Timeline
Global regions, coloured according to number of forecasts
SWOT
Strengths
  • Approximately 470 million people globally are at high risk of contracting COVID-19 as a result of pre-existing conditions of malnutrition, lack of access to safe drinking water, and indoor air pollution through the use of noxious cooking fuel. United Nation University World Institute for Development Economic Research
  • Government directives the world over are striving for nearly zero-energy buildings by the end of next year, and for net zero carbon buildings by 2030, meaning they will have to be 100% sustainable as far as heating, hot water, ventilation and cooling requirements are concerned. Renewable Energy World
  • Due to lower meeting room occupancy during the global pandemic, most of the carbon dioxide in the ambient air will be generated by artificial injections. Qinetiq
Weaknesses
  • The Philippines will endeavor to scale up near-term climate change actions through the mitigation of short-lived climate pollutants, including methane, to achieve multiple benefits for health, biodiversity, air quality and climate. Climate & Clean Air Coalition
  • The Australian Government set up IFAM as a temporary, targeted, emergency response to pandemic disruptions to keep global air links open in response to the ongoing effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. Austrade
  • Air New Zealand, the flag carrier airline of New Zealand, said on Sunday it will require passengers on its international flights to be fully vaccinated against COVID-19, in what is one of the world's strictest policies for travellers. investing.com
Opportunities
  • The burden of disease attributable to air pollution is now estimated to be on a par with other major global health risks such as unhealthy diets and tobacco smoking. World Health Organization
  • COVID-19 infections and climate hazards such as heatwaves, wildfires and poor air quality combine to threaten human health worldwide, putting vulnerable populations at particular risk. Imperial News
  • COVID-19 infections and climate hazards such as heatwaves, wildfires and poor air quality, combine to threaten human health worldwide, putting vulnerable populations at particular risk. UN News
Threats
  • Clean air is important for the health and day-to-day lives of people, while air pollution is the single greatest environmental risk to human health and one of the main avoidable causes of death and disease globally. United Nations
  • The Air Quality Life Index demonstrates that particulate pollution is the world's greatest threat to human health. AQLI
  • Global airlines - and by default the air cargo industry that piggybacks on passenger flights - could face a bumpier recovery from the COVID pandemic than originally thought. FreightWaves
Influencers
Countries
Cities
People
Organizations
S-Curve

A framework that describes a 4-phase level of maturity to help determine potential and inform innovation strategy.

Weak
PC, connected, death, fitness
Emerging
aid, artificial intelligence, country, EV, car, equipment
Maturing
health, death, clean, building, environment, market
Declining
airline, coal, capacity, cargo, community, cost
Sentiment
Past Year: More Negative
Compare changing sentiment to a benchmark of all forecasts
Fast forwarding the global transportation sector will not only make air pollution a thing of the past, it's key to making the huge strides science demands in this decade to tackle the climate crisis. Global Optimism
By 2050, the world's population will breathe in 75% of below-standard air a day, which is the severest threat human will have ever encounter. SCG NEWS CHANNEL
PEST
Political
  • Approximately 470 million people globally are at high risk of contracting COVID-19 as a result of pre-existing conditions of malnutrition, lack of access to safe drinking water, and indoor air pollution through the use of noxious cooking fuel. United Nation University World Institute for Development Economic Research
  • Government directives the world over are striving for nearly zero-energy buildings by the end of next year, and for net zero carbon buildings by 2030, meaning they will have to be 100% sustainable as far as heating, hot water, ventilation and cooling requirements are concerned. Renewable Energy World
  • Due to lower meeting room occupancy during the global pandemic, most of the carbon dioxide in the ambient air will be generated by artificial injections. Qinetiq
Economic
  • The Philippines will endeavor to scale up near-term climate change actions through the mitigation of short-lived climate pollutants, including methane, to achieve multiple benefits for health, biodiversity, air quality and climate. Climate & Clean Air Coalition
  • The Australian Government set up IFAM as a temporary, targeted, emergency response to pandemic disruptions to keep global air links open in response to the ongoing effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. Austrade
  • Air New Zealand, the flag carrier airline of New Zealand, said on Sunday it will require passengers on its international flights to be fully vaccinated against COVID-19, in what is one of the world's strictest policies for travellers. investing.com
Social
  • The burden of disease attributable to air pollution is now estimated to be on a par with other major global health risks such as unhealthy diets and tobacco smoking. World Health Organization
  • COVID-19 infections and climate hazards such as heatwaves, wildfires and poor air quality combine to threaten human health worldwide, putting vulnerable populations at particular risk. Imperial News
  • COVID-19 infections and climate hazards such as heatwaves, wildfires and poor air quality, combine to threaten human health worldwide, putting vulnerable populations at particular risk. UN News
Technological
  • Clean air is important for the health and day-to-day lives of people, while air pollution is the single greatest environmental risk to human health and one of the main avoidable causes of death and disease globally. United Nations
  • The Air Quality Life Index demonstrates that particulate pollution is the world's greatest threat to human health. AQLI
  • Global airlines - and by default the air cargo industry that piggybacks on passenger flights - could face a bumpier recovery from the COVID pandemic than originally thought. FreightWaves
Financial Impact
Worldwide e-commerce will reach $5 trillion in 2021, with air cargo projected to account for 20% of e-commerce shipments in 2022. FreightWaves 4
The value potential discovered by companies with a long-term approach - patterns of investment, growth, earnings quality and earnings management - could reach $3 trillion by 2025. Forbes 4
Investment bank Morgan Stanley projected in a May report that the global urban air mobility market would reach $1 trillion by 2040 and accelerate to a whopping $9 trillion by 2050. UPI 4
Click on the dots or the lines to see the connections
System Map
Organizations
Sectors
Cities
Countries
People
Scenarios
Creates plausible alternative futures of what can happen and encourages development of a robust, agile response
In the ASEAN + 3 region, Singapore is set to host the world's first electric-powered air taxi by the end of 2023, in partnership with German partner Volocopter GmbH. AMRO ASIA
Education Cannot Wait is a global fund working to ensure that every child affected by conflict or crisis has access to a safe, free, and quality education by 2030. Global Citizen
By 2050, under future scenarios of land use and climate change, 4.5 billion people will be affected by poor water quality as a result of diminishing ecosystem services. Convention on Biological Diversity
Warnings
Changing proportion of published forecasts
Under the joint leadership of the World Health Organization (WHO), Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance, and the Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations (CEPI), COVAX aims to develop and distribute two billion Covid-19 vaccines to the world's 20% most vulnerable by the end of 2021. CSIS
COVID-19 infections and climate hazards such as heatwaves, wildfires and poor air quality combine to threaten human health worldwide, putting vulnerable populations at particular risk. Imperial News
Solutions
Know how others are tackling issues with this topic
With innovations in facial rendering software, collaboration tools and virtual reality, fully realised digital twins are fast becoming a reality, and could be a solution to the global disconnect. WPP
The Australian Government set up IFAM as a temporary, targeted, emergency response to pandemic disruptions to keep global air links open in response to the ongoing effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. Austrade
Jahangir's bold vision to reverse chronic metabolic diseases in a personalised way will pioneer a new wave of healthtech innovations for India and the world. Mint 2
Key topics
Extremes
Investigate what’s transforming or collapsing
At the Chinese-Korean pinch point, volcanic ash could disrupt some of the busiest air routes in the world, plus shipping in the Sea of Japan. Wired
Lagos, Nigeria's largest city, faces Africa's greatest environmental risks, ranking 144th out of 576 in total, due to problems with air quality, water pollution and heat stress. Time
Air pollution stands out among environmental risk factors impacting health as the second-largest risk factor causing NCDs globally, after tobacco smoke. World Bank Blogs
What's Next
Changing proportion of material mentioning future years
Data shows there will be 1.8 million unfilled cybersecurity positions by 2022, which means the competition to seek and retain quality talent will continue to be a struggle for businesses across the globe. LogRhythm
Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada's priorities for 2021-22 are rooted in an innovative and sustainable Canadian agriculture and agri-food industry that delivers the highest-quality food and agriculture products to Canadians and consumers around the world. Agriculture and Agri-food Canada
Questions
Can?
How can the world make progress against energy poverty and indoor air pollution? Our World In Data
How can we integrate wildly different facility data for wastewater pumps, HVAC air quality and elevator destination dispatch systems into a unified digital twin when we still struggle to share basic drawing information between the two largest CAD vendors in the AEC space? Informed Infrastructure
Can commercial low-cost sensor platforms contribute to air quality monitoring and exposure estimates? MDPI
How?
How much more will climate change impact our lives, whether through forest fires, extreme weather events, new zoonotic diseases, choking air or rising seas? editions
How will air quality effects on human health, crops and ecosystems change in the future? MDPI
How is the air cargo industry reacting and responding to the COVID-19 pandemic? Cybersecurity&Infrastructure Security Agency
Who?
Who will require a ventilator or a breathing machine? UCL Minds
What?
What are the inhibiting factors and impact of COVID-19 shaping the Global Advanced Heating, Ventilation, & Air Conditioning Controls Market during the forecast period? Business Wire
What other innovation needs to take place in order to reduce life cycle GHG emissions and impacts on air quality in biomass supply chains? UK Government
What are the key outcomes of the five forces analysis of the Global  Ventilators market? openPR.com
Will?
Quality Management will result in robust, effective air quality management arrangements? Llywodraeth cymru Welsh Government
A better question to ask is, will the Fed's infinite money creation out of thin air send American capitalism on a ventilator to the burial ground? National Council of Applied Economic Research (India)
Air quality improving: Will it help with global warming? Greenie Watch
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