Covid

A Future Prognosis

Athena @ Shaping Tomorrow

2 April 2025
Introduction
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Contents
User Guide
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Sources
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World Outlook
Main factors that cause something to happen globally
Electricity prices were forecast to stay elevated until the end of the decade, remaining at least 60% higher than they were in 2021 before the global economic recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic. iNews
Global suppliers depend on China's active fossil fuel purchases and were struck - especially in the oil sector - by Beijing's slower-than-anticipated economic revival, following the removal of spartan Covid-19 restrictions since the start of the year. CNBC
In the past year, inflation has skyrocketed worldwide due to supply-chain disruptions caused by covid-19 and the Ukraine war. Quartz
Global regions, coloured according to number of forecasts
SWOT
Strengths
  • Five years after the Covid-19 crisis, India's migration landscape reflects a resilient recovery, but it is also increasingly shaped by structural vulnerabilities, including climate risks, economic pressures, and data gaps. Raman Academy
  • The advent of global events, like the COVID-19 pandemic, highlights vulnerabilities within supply chains, demanding robust solutions. AI GIFT Alibaba
  • The advanced research and innovations developed in response to COVID-19 will continue to drive progress, ensuring that global health systems are more resilient, responsive, and prepared for the challenges ahead. Hospital News
Weaknesses
  • Due to new spending & structural pressures from interest costs, the NDIS, defence, health and aged care, spending as a share of GDP is expected to average 26.7% over the longer term, well above the pre-Covid average of 24.8%. Livewire Markets
  • UHN researchers played a key role in Canada's $53 million Variants of Concern Strategy, identifying and tracking emerging threats such as the Delta variant. Hospital News
  • In the short term, China's zero-Covid policy is continuing to hamper its production of semiconductors, which is contributing to disruptions in the global value chain. Coface
Opportunities
  • The COVID pandemic demonstrated how essential digital and data capabilities were to delivering Health and Care in the 21st century and the central role they will play in delivering a Heathier Wales. GOV.WALES
  • Beijing is creative in its use of inducements to achieve strategic goals, and the COVID-19 pandemic presented new opportunities for China to use public health assistance to gain influence. Atlantic Council
  • As the world continues to recover from the economic and psychological toll of the COVID-19 pandemic, reports of a new virus emerging in China have reignited fears of another global health crisis. Lebledparle
Threats
  • After struggling since the COVID-19 pandemic, the theater industry will be roaring hot in 2025 and 2026. TheWrap
  • Prior to COVID-19, the use of cannabis in the US had steadily increased as a result of increased legalization and a reduced perception of risk. BioMed Central
  • Affected by recent disruptions to global value chains such as the COVID-19 pandemic, the war in Ukraine, protectionist policies and rising ideological tensions global trade has recently registered downturn. Ficci
Influencers
Countries
Cities
People
Organizations
S-Curve

A framework that describes a 4-phase level of maturity to help determine potential and inform innovation strategy.

Weak
people, augmented reality, infection, COVID-19, health, airline
Emerging
country, pandemic, vaccine, health, people, company
Maturing
country, demand, crisis, economy, death, GDP
Declining
economy, demand, GDP, crisis, country, growth
Sentiment
Past Year: Stable
Compare changing sentiment to a benchmark of all forecasts
Electricity prices were forecast to stay elevated until the end of the decade, remaining at least 60% higher than they were in 2021 before the global economic recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic. iNews
Disruptions in healthcare services during the COVID-19 pandemic led to a global decline in routine childhood vaccinations. archyde
PEST
Political
  • Many SCAs in emerging countries have faced disruption and fluctuated substantially during the COVID-19 pandemic, leading to uncertain growth of the global supply chain of aquaculture trade recently. MDPI
  • Aquaculture supply chains play an essential role in global trading and fluctuated significantly during the COVID-19 pandemic when many aquaculture supply chains from emerging countries faced disruption. MDPI
  • Beyond the geopolitically intense landscape in Asia, the COVID-19-induced supply chain disruption made India recognize the need for a stable, non-China-centered supply chain. KOREA CENTRE
Economic
  • The Canadian economy is set to face the most severe shock since the Covid-19 pandemic and will probably sink into a recession if a tariff war persists. Edge and Odds -
  • By transforming the Covid-19 crisis to an opportunity, India has proved its ability to innovate and rise to the challenge with limited resources and time. Times of India
  • Conflicts, climate change, COVID-19 disruptions, and rising food prices are intensifying food insecurity, affecting some 2 billion people worldwide. CGIAR
Social
  • The demand for non-Covid vaccines is expected to grow at 7% p.a. between 2023 and 2030. Bain
  • American Airlines, Delta Air Lines and United Airlines have all forecast a return to full utilization of their regional fleets, which have been slow to recover from the Covid-19 pandemic due to a years-long pilot shortage. Flight Global
  • The concept of gene therapy has long made many uneasy - a sentiment that seemed to vanish in the face of the global fear campaign surrounding COVID-19. Technocracy News
Technological
  • Opportunities demonstrated include the potential of using mobile phone data to predict dengue outbreaks and existing labour and household surveys to predict COVID-19 hotspots in Pakistan. BioMed Central
  • With the rise of remote work due to global events like the COVID-19 pandemic, organizations may need to revise their BCPs to address new vulnerabilities associated with remote access technologies or increased cyber threats. Business Case Studies
  • During the COVID-19 outbreak, social VR platforms (e.g., VR Chat, AltspaceVR, and Mozilla Hubs) emerged as alternatives to face-to-face interactions, enabling people to stay connected in virtual spaces while mitigating the risk of virus transmission from in-person meetings. MDPI
Financial Impact
Global Public Debt: Projected to reach USD 315 trillion in 2024, global debt encompasses borrowings by households, businesses, and governments, driven by factors like the Covid-19 pandemic and rising commodity prices. EDUREV.IN
The global logistics industry rebounded from COVID-19 in 2022, reaching $10.41 trillion and projected to top $14.08 trillion by 2028. Cash Flow Inventory
Before the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, the real estate industry was set to reach a value of one trillion U.S. dollars by 2030. / India Statista
Click on the dots or the lines to see the connections
System Map
Organizations
Sectors
Cities
Countries
People
Scenarios
Creates plausible alternative futures of what can happen and encourages development of a robust, agile response
From Covid-19 to climate change and international politics, disinformation and malign influence are well recognised threats but disinformation and malign influence are rife in world of business and finance, threatening organizations, leaders, and brands. Eventbrite
The global semiconductor shortage, which initially emerged during the COVID-19 pandemic, has persisted far longer than anticipated. Aviation, Inflight and Aero Connectivity Consultants
Global disruptions, such as the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war, have affected all economies. niesr
Warnings
Changing proportion of published forecasts
The emergence of SARS-CoV-2 new variants threatens global prevention efforts and the impact of mass vaccination campaigns against the COVID-19 pandemic. PubMed Central (PMC)
Unfavorable U.S. or global economic conditions as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, political instability, natural disasters, or otherwise, could adversely affect Adagio's ability to raise capital and its business, results of operations and financial condition. MarketScreener
Solutions
Know how others are tackling issues with this topic
Covid-19 disruptions, drug resistance, humanitarian crises, and climate change pose threats to the global malaria response. Drishti IAS
The Islamic Republic of Iran exports 1.7m barrels of oil a day, and disruption via an attack would hinder global efforts to return to a post-COVID normal. Capital's Substack
The virus causing severe acute respiratory syndrome SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19), at the origin of a worldwide pandemic, might have several consequences on patients with other emergency needs. PubMed Central (PMC)
Key topics
Extremes
Investigate what’s transforming or collapsing
The COVID-19 pandemic could push approximately 13.5% of the world's population into unemployment and 28 million people into extreme poverty. BioMed Central
The global food system has been unable to deal with disruptions caused by unusual and extreme weather conditions, the COVID-19 pandemic and the Ukraine war. Mongabay Environmental News
COVID-19 further exposed the economic vulnerabilities of Africa as 155 million have been pushed into extreme poverty globally. AgroNigeria
What's Next
Changing proportion of material mentioning future years
Malaria-related deaths could increase by up to 36% globally over the next five years because of the COVID-19 pandemic. Nature
Global box office and global total cinema revenue will surpass pre-COVID - 19 pandemic levels in 2026, but admissions will not do so over the next five years. The Hollywood Reporter
Questions
Can?
The medical institution being market-oriented shall be one of the new key points of the healthcare insurance reform, whether it can effectively raise the capacity of hospital to receive more patients and improve the medical resource to handle disease similar to COVID-19 pandemic? PubMed Central (PMC)
Can Tanzania Resume and Reimagine Agricultural Trade With China in a Post-COVID-19 World? Development Reimagined
Can cognitive rehabilitation improve the cognitive and functional outcomes of people presenting with cognitive impairment as part of post-COVID syndrome? BioMed Central
How?
How will China's Zero COVID-19 policies affect global supply chains? SlideShare
How will COVID-19 impact Australia's future population? PubMed Central (PMC)
How has the Covid-19 pandemic influenced divergence in global GDP growth trajectories, and what policies should India adopt to ensure a sustainable recovery trajectory? EDUREV.IN
Who?
Who will be the 'Winners and Losers' in the Energy Transition post-COVID? Energy Transition Forum
As COVID-era "Zoomtowns" and the urban exodus fade into history, which city in every state is most popular for Americans who want to move now? moveBuddha
Who could have foreseen Covid, or Russia's invasion of Ukraine, for instance, or the impact of the rise of shareholder activism against fossil fuels? Stockhead
What?
What has been the impact of COVID-19 on the global dog food market? Research and Markets
What is the overall impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the Heavy Electric Vehicles and Industrial Equipment Charging market and its key segments? Blogger
What is the overall impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the Non-Metal 3D Printing market and its key segments? Blogger
When?
When the hotel market bottoms out, how long will it take to get back to pre-COVID - 19 occupancy levels? Cushman & Wakefield
When issues such as conflict and COVID emerge, how can organizations effectively communicate with the right tone of voice around complex global topics? Internal Communications Europe
The trajectory of oil demand in a post-COVID world - when and how will the peak of oil demand materialise? cconnection
Will?
Will Trump and the New GOP Congress Get to the Bottom of COVID-19's Origin? Reason.com
Will COVID-19 be the tipping point for the Intelligent automation of work? Unknown
As companies navigate a rapidly changing business landscape post-Covid, will a return to full-time office create a lack of trust between employees and bosses? - Daily insights for people development professionals t
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