Quantum

A Future Prognosis

Athena @ Shaping Tomorrow

24 November 2024
Introduction
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Contents
User Guide
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Sources
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World Outlook
Main factors that cause something to happen globally
By 2047, XR would undergo further transformations with holographic displays and light-field displays, neural interfaces, quantum computing, decentralised platforms, and enhanced global collaboration. BusinessLine
There is a fundamental research challenge around energy use in the face of an energy crisis and climate change; it is estimated that 21% of the world's overall energy usage by 2030 will be computing power alone, yet technologies in AI, cloud, and quantum are inherently power-hungry. Forbes
One thing seems likely: quantum computing will change the world around us. Frontiers for Young Minds
Global regions, coloured according to number of forecasts
SWOT
Strengths
  • With the pending acquisition of Qubitekk's 118 patents, IonQ will have a total of over 600 U.S. and international issued and pending patents, standing apart from similarly-sized quantum companies based on its strength of IP protection and extensive combination of patents across different verticals.
  • Advantages and Drawbacks On the plus side, quantum technologies could significantly enhance global logistical networks, reduce waste, and improve energy efficiencies. Jomfruland.net
  • Less than half of available quantum jobs will be filled by 2025, with global demand being driven by the burgeoning start-up sector as well as enterprise firms that are assembling their own teams to explore the potential of quantum technologies for transforming their businesses. Physics World
Weaknesses
  • Although existing quantum computers are limited in size and prone to significant errors, future quantum computers might be capable of performing tasks that were once considered unimaginable using even the world's most powerful supercomputers. Frontiers for Young Minds
  • Quantum compasses could enable accurate navigation, something particularly valuable for conducting military operations in environments where the global positioning system (GPS) cannot be used, whether due to poor weather or enemy action. Sipri
  • While conventional processing improvements are reaching their limits, new computing technologies, such as graphics processing units, neuromorphic computing and quantum computing, are expected to deliver the substantial energy-efficiency gains needed in the next five to 10 years. Critical Link
Opportunities
  • The New England Research Cloud, a classical computing system that operates within the MassOpen Cloud Alliance (MOC Alliance), will make the quantum computer accessible to academic researchers in the open-source community. HPCwire
  • The G-77 / CHINA stressed the NCQG is not an investment goal, should reflect differentiation, and include a quantum of USD 1.3 trillion by 2030. IISD Earth Negotiations Bulletin
  • The European Quantum Communication Infrastructure aims to create a secure network across EU member states, while China anticipates that more than 10 major cities will have completed the deployment of quantum metropolitan networks by the end of 2024. DIGITIMES Inc.
Threats
  • The INDEPENDENT ALLIANCE OF LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN stressed that developing countries will not accept anything below USD 1.3 trillion on the NCQG quantum and called for clarity on the public finance and mobilization components. IISD Earth Negotiations Bulletin
  • The big data landscape is set to undergo dramatic transformations by 2025, with AI, edge computing, data security, and quantum technologies all playing key roles. Congruity 360
  • Pfizer has started applying quantum computing to simulate protein folding, which could accelerate the process of discovering drugs for diseases like Alzheimer's. IT Pro
Influencers
Countries
Cities
People
Organizations
S-Curve

A framework that describes a 4-phase level of maturity to help determine potential and inform innovation strategy.

Weak
computer, quantum, algorithm, application, artificial intelligence, quantum computing
Emerging
artificial intelligence, 5G, market, computer, application, algorithm
Maturing
quantum, copper, commercial, enterprise, Ethernet, GDP
Declining
bank, asset, catalyst, coal, copper, debt
Sentiment
Past Year: Stable
Compare changing sentiment to a benchmark of all forecasts
By 2047, XR would undergo further transformations with holographic displays and light-field displays, neural interfaces, quantum computing, decentralised platforms, and enhanced global collaboration. BusinessLine
Amazon's leap into quantum computing is not just a strategic maneuver to outpace competitors like Google and IBM; it's an initiative that could transform societies and industries on a global scale. Jomfruland.net
PEST
Political
  • Post-Quantum Cryptography for Future-Proof Security As nations and industries worldwide seek defences against future quantum threats, WISeKey and SEALSQ's commitment to post-quantum cryptography represents a critical step forward. SEAL Semiconductors
  • Governments around the world recognize the vital significance of quantum innovation, which has the potential to revolutionize different businesses. Knowledge Sourcing Intelligence LLP
  • Cross-Cluster Proof of Concept Call STFC are offering businesses the opportunity to apply for up to £45k of grant funding for collaborative proof of concept project in Space, Energy, Health and Life Sciences, Quantum, Digital, and Defence and Security. Business Growth Hub
Economic
  • Upon completion of the pilots, NTT DOCOMO plans to move the annealing quantum computing solution into production across Japan. investing.com
  • A quantum finance lab run by the European Investment Bank will provide exclusive insights into EU financing products designed for European quantum companies. Quantum Flagship
  • The quantum of exposure that UKEF could be required to take relative to the overall size of its portfolio is high, which means it risks breaching its financial objectives set by the Treasury. Global Trade Review (GTR)
Social
  • Quantum computing specialist IonQ Inc. said today it plans to acquire virtually all of the operating assets of quantum networking startup Qubitekk Inc., as it looks to build out the infrastructure required to scale up its cloud-based services. SiliconANGLE
  • Africa needs USD $1.3 trillion every year between 2024 and 2030 to develop a quantum number informed by its needs. Monitor
  • Projects like Project IDRA and the Qubit-Photon Interface contribute to developing a secure quantum network, which could revolutionize data security and enable breakthroughs in healthcare diagnostics, energy optimization, and defence. / UK
Technological
  • Nursing care plans that apply Martha Rogers' model, which includes pattern appraisal, mutual patterning, and evaluation, could be performed systematically and more quickly through quantum computing. MDPI
  • Dynamics simulation functionality will be included in CUDA-Q, NVIDIA's development platform for building quantum computers. TechRepublic
  • There is a widespread perception that funding for disruptive technologies such as artificial intelligence and quantum computing will ensure Europe's global competitiveness. Open Future
Financial Impact
Quantum computing alone could account for $1.3 trillion in value by 2035. The Week
The quantum sector is expected to create between $600 billion and $1.1 trillion in economic value globally in the next 30 years. The Straits Times
McKinsey estimates that the four industries likely to capitalize most significantly on advances in quantum-automotive, chemical, financial services, and life sciences-may increase $1.3 trillion in value by 2035 by integrating quantum computing into business analysis and decisions. / USA Default
Click on the dots or the lines to see the connections
System Map
Organizations
Sectors
Cities
Countries
People
Scenarios
Creates plausible alternative futures of what can happen and encourages development of a robust, agile response
The looming threat of quantum-powered decryption is transforming cybersecurity strategies in financial services globally. Banque de France
AI-powered attacks, quantum computing risks, and IoT vulnerabilities pose significant challenges for organizations worldwide. TrainingCamp - IT Training & Certification Boot Camps
The pressing challenge of climate change will require a level of precision Earth monitoring that only space-based quantum sensors can deliver. Forbes
Warnings
Changing proportion of published forecasts
SEALSQ's post-quantum semiconductor technologies provide a 'root of trust' - a reliable foundation for secure computing and transaction verification in a world threatened by quantum computing capabilities. Yahoo Finance
A Scotiabank report forecasts Cobre Panama's copper output in 2024 to represent about 1.6% of global supply and warned an indefinite shutdown increases risks of First Quantum potentially defaulting by the third quarter of 2024, and threaten its liquidity by early 2025. Insurance Journal
Solutions
Know how others are tackling issues with this topic
The Californian start-up behind the machine, PsiQuantum, says it will be the world's first useful quantum computer, able to solve problems conventional computers cannot. ABC News
The global quantum race is well underway and organizations that fail to prioritize quantum-readiness will quickly fall behind. Security Boulevard
Since the Department of Energy is already one of the world's largest users of classical high-performance computing for simulating quantum systems, we imagine it will be one of the leading consumers of quantum computing as well. Research
Key topics
Extremes
Investigate what’s transforming or collapsing
Solving the world's most intractable problems - reversing climate change, for instance - will ultimately require combining supercomputers, artificial intelligence, and quantum computing. The Register
The IQN hub, led by Heriot-Watt University, will commence research by focusing on the ultimate quantum internet goal, where quantum networks interlinked globally connect several quantum computers to generate huge computational power. AZoQuantum
Quantum computers hold the promise of being able to quickly solve extremely complex problems that might take the world's most powerful supercomputer decades to crack. MIT News | Massachusetts Institute of Technology
What's Next
Changing proportion of material mentioning future years
The UK has a strong global reputation in each domain, and quantum computing is expected to accelerate development in the coming years. PR Newswire
Over the next few years, enterprises across the world will be investing to upskill talent and prepare their organizations for the arrival of quantum computing. IBM Blog
Questions
Can?
Who can use Quantum AI? The European Business Review
Can quantum computing be used to decode encrypted transactions? TRENDS Mena
How can organizations prepare to mitigate the emerging cybersecurity threats posed by quantum computers? ISACA
How?
How Generative AI and Quantum Computing Will Transform Industries in 2024? Rapid Innovation
How will nations navigate the geopolitical implications of quantum supremacy? Jomfruland.net
How prepared are we to protect sensitive data in a quantum future? Jomfruland.net
Who?
Who will have access to quantum cloud computing, and when? IPWatchdog.com | Patents & Intellectual Property La
Who are some of the key players in the quantum computing market? TMC NEWS
Who are the players in the quantum computing in drug discovery services market? TMC NEWS
What?
What Does Quantum Computing Hold for Generative AI? Unite.AI
What will the world look like when technologies like flying cars, quantum computing, and 3D-printed organs finally become part of everyday life? New York Weekly
What happens when quantum computers crack current encryption methods? Jomfruland.net
When?
Destructive cyberattacks, such as the data breaches of the Vastaamo psychotherapy center and City of Helsinki are already happening - what will happen in the future, when criminals get their hands on powerful quantum computers? VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland Ltd.
When will quantum computers become as ubiquitous as their classical counterparts? Globant Blog
Why would a quantum network be needed when the internet already provides near-instant communication across the globe? Marine Corps University
Will?
What will future quantum computers be used for - and why are so many experts convinced they will be game-changing? Live Science
Will Quantum Computing Solve Humanity's Biggest Challenges? InfoQ
How Will AI and Quantum Computing Transform Regulatory Science? Westat
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