Quantum

A Future Prognosis

Athena @ Shaping Tomorrow

13 November 2024
Introduction
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Contents
User Guide
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Sources
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Twitter Searches
Web Searches
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World Outlook
Main factors that cause something to happen globally
By 2047, XR would undergo further transformations with holographic displays and light-field displays, neural interfaces, quantum computing, decentralised platforms, and enhanced global collaboration. BusinessLine
There is a fundamental research challenge around energy use in the face of an energy crisis and climate change; it is estimated that 21% of the world's overall energy usage by 2030 will be computing power alone, yet technologies in AI, cloud, and quantum are inherently power-hungry. Forbes
Amazon's leap into quantum computing is not just a strategic maneuver to outpace competitors like Google and IBM; it's an initiative that could transform societies and industries on a global scale. Jomfruland.net
Global regions, coloured according to number of forecasts
SWOT
Strengths
  • Advantages and Drawbacks On the plus side, quantum technologies could significantly enhance global logistical networks, reduce waste, and improve energy efficiencies. Jomfruland.net
  • Less than half of available quantum jobs will be filled by 2025, with global demand being driven by the burgeoning start-up sector as well as enterprise firms that are assembling their own teams to explore the potential of quantum technologies for transforming their businesses. Physics World
  • Over the next 3 years, the RN seeks to accelerate the development of quantum technologies - such as AQUARK's - through funding and sea trials, to secure the RN an opportunity to invest in a non GPS-based PNT capability and to maintain its global operating advantage. Aquark Technologies
Weaknesses
  • Quantum compasses could enable accurate navigation, something particularly valuable for conducting military operations in environments where the global positioning system (GPS) cannot be used, whether due to poor weather or enemy action. Sipri
  • While conventional processing improvements are reaching their limits, new computing technologies, such as graphics processing units, neuromorphic computing and quantum computing, are expected to deliver the substantial energy-efficiency gains needed in the next five to 10 years. Critical Link
  • The fragility of the navigation and timing systems that power much of the global economy is driving nations to rapidly invest in more reliable alternatives, many of which will entail quantum technologies deployed in orbit. Forbes
Opportunities
  • Post-Quantum Cryptography for Future-Proof Security As nations and industries worldwide seek defences against future quantum threats, WISeKey and SEALSQ's commitment to post-quantum cryptography represents a critical step forward. SEAL Semiconductors
  • As IBM continues to lead in AI and quantum computing research, enterprises can look forward to increasingly sophisticated and accessible AI solutions that will drive innovation and efficiency across industries. Geeky gadgets
  • In 2025, we may begin to see the first commercial quantum computers capable of solving problems that are currently intractable for classical machines. Web Development & Technology Resources
Threats
  • The National Institute of Standards and Technology is actively evaluating algorithms to standardize one or more quantum-resistant public-key cryptographic algorithms, aiming to ensure secure systems that can withstand both current and future threats. SEAL Semiconductors
  • The G7 CEG looks to help support the responsible use of emerging technologies like Cloud, AI, and Quantum in the financial sector while balancing the risks to the global economy. U.S. Department of the Treasury
  • In energy, quantum computing could help scientists model complex systems like fusion reactors, which could be a key to solving the world's energy crisis. TechBullion
Influencers
Countries
Cities
People
Organizations
S-Curve

A framework that describes a 4-phase level of maturity to help determine potential and inform innovation strategy.

Weak
computer, quantum, application, algorithm, artificial intelligence, quantum computing
Emerging
artificial intelligence, 5G, market, computer, application, algorithm
Maturing
quantum, copper, commercial, enterprise, Ethernet, GDP
Declining
bank, asset, catalyst, coal, copper, debt
Sentiment
Past Year: More Negative
Compare changing sentiment to a benchmark of all forecasts
By 2047, XR would undergo further transformations with holographic displays and light-field displays, neural interfaces, quantum computing, decentralised platforms, and enhanced global collaboration. BusinessLine
The looming threat of quantum-powered decryption is transforming cybersecurity strategies in financial services globally. Banque de France
PEST
Political
  • Governments around the world recognize the vital significance of quantum innovation, which has the potential to revolutionize different businesses. Knowledge Sourcing Intelligence LLP
  • Cross-Cluster Proof of Concept Call STFC are offering businesses the opportunity to apply for up to £45k of grant funding for collaborative proof of concept project in Space, Energy, Health and Life Sciences, Quantum, Digital, and Defence and Security. Business Growth Hub
  • There should be a conscious effort towards developing crypto-agility and building layered defences against the quantum threat. PCMAG
Economic
  • The quantum of exposure that UKEF could be required to take relative to the overall size of its portfolio is high, which means it risks breaching its financial objectives set by the Treasury. Global Trade Review (GTR)
  • Once closed, the Qubitekk acquisition will represent a major addition to IonQ's quantum networking capabilities and customer set.
  • Basque Quantum will represent a direct investment of €120 million through 2028 in quantum-related initiatives, the most important of which is the creation of the IBM-Euskadi Quantum Center that will house the IBM Quantum System One. NEWS BBVA
Social
  • Quantum computing specialist IonQ Inc. said today it plans to acquire virtually all of the operating assets of quantum networking startup Qubitekk Inc., as it looks to build out the infrastructure required to scale up its cloud-based services. SiliconANGLE
  • Africa needs USD $1.3 trillion every year between 2024 and 2030 to develop a quantum number informed by its needs. Monitor
  • Projects like Project IDRA and the Qubit-Photon Interface contribute to developing a secure quantum network, which could revolutionize data security and enable breakthroughs in healthcare diagnostics, energy optimization, and defence. / UK
Technological
  • Survey, 72% of tech executives, investors, and academics in quantum computing expect to see a fully fault-tolerant quantum computer by 2035. Terminal.io
  • Quantum computers could disrupt current cryptographic methods, like RSA, which depend on the challenge of factoring large numbers. TechBullion
  • Amazon's bold foray into the realm of quantum computing could act as a game-changer. Jomfruland.net
Financial Impact
Quantum computing alone could account for $1.3 trillion in value by 2035. The Week
The quantum sector is expected to create between $600 billion and $1.1 trillion in economic value globally in the next 30 years. The Straits Times
McKinsey estimates that the four industries likely to capitalize most significantly on advances in quantum-automotive, chemical, financial services, and life sciences-may increase $1.3 trillion in value by 2035 by integrating quantum computing into business analysis and decisions. / USA Default
Click on the dots or the lines to see the connections
System Map
Organizations
Sectors
Cities
Countries
People
Scenarios
Creates plausible alternative futures of what can happen and encourages development of a robust, agile response
AI-powered attacks, quantum computing risks, and IoT vulnerabilities pose significant challenges for organizations worldwide. TrainingCamp - IT Training & Certification Boot Camps
The pressing challenge of climate change will require a level of precision Earth monitoring that only space-based quantum sensors can deliver. Forbes
The Californian start-up behind the machine, PsiQuantum, says it will be the world's first useful quantum computer, able to solve problems conventional computers cannot. ABC News
Warnings
Changing proportion of published forecasts
SEALSQ's post-quantum semiconductor technologies provide a 'root of trust' - a reliable foundation for secure computing and transaction verification in a world threatened by quantum computing capabilities. Yahoo Finance
A Scotiabank report forecasts Cobre Panama's copper output in 2024 to represent about 1.6% of global supply and warned an indefinite shutdown increases risks of First Quantum potentially defaulting by the third quarter of 2024, and threaten its liquidity by early 2025. Insurance Journal
Solutions
Know how others are tackling issues with this topic
The global quantum race is well underway and organizations that fail to prioritize quantum-readiness will quickly fall behind. Security Boulevard
Since the Department of Energy is already one of the world's largest users of classical high-performance computing for simulating quantum systems, we imagine it will be one of the leading consumers of quantum computing as well. Research
The global adoption of quantum computing - and the discovery of quantum advantage - will require a combination of leading quantum hardware alongside a robust and performant software stack to run workloads. IBM Newsroom
Key topics
Extremes
Investigate what’s transforming or collapsing
Solving the world's most intractable problems - reversing climate change, for instance - will ultimately require combining supercomputers, artificial intelligence, and quantum computing. The Register
The IQN hub, led by Heriot-Watt University, will commence research by focusing on the ultimate quantum internet goal, where quantum networks interlinked globally connect several quantum computers to generate huge computational power. AZoQuantum
Quantum computers hold the promise of being able to quickly solve extremely complex problems that might take the world's most powerful supercomputer decades to crack. MIT News | Massachusetts Institute of Technology
What's Next
Changing proportion of material mentioning future years
The UK has a strong global reputation in each domain, and quantum computing is expected to accelerate development in the coming years. PR Newswire
Over the next few years, enterprises across the world will be investing to upskill talent and prepare their organizations for the arrival of quantum computing. IBM Blog
Questions
Can?
Can quantum computing be used to decode encrypted transactions? TRENDS Mena
How can organizations prepare to mitigate the emerging cybersecurity threats posed by quantum computers? ISACA
Can engaging with quantum mechanics lead to more precise or stronger versions of perspectivism? SpringerLink
How?
How will nations navigate the geopolitical implications of quantum supremacy? Jomfruland.net
How prepared are we to protect sensitive data in a quantum future? Jomfruland.net
How might the joint force integrate cutting-edge technology such as hypersonic weapons, quantum computing, and artificial intelligence to support GIO? National Defense University Press
Who?
Who will have access to quantum cloud computing, and when? IPWatchdog.com | Patents & Intellectual Property La
Who are some of the key players in the quantum computing market? TMC NEWS
Who are the players in the quantum computing in drug discovery services market? TMC NEWS
What?
What happens when quantum computers crack current encryption methods? Jomfruland.net
What is the connection between AI scaling and Quantum Computing? MIT Initiative on the Digital Economy
What will future quantum computers be used for - and why are so many experts convinced they will be game-changing? Live Science
When?
Destructive cyberattacks, such as the data breaches of the Vastaamo psychotherapy center and City of Helsinki are already happening - what will happen in the future, when criminals get their hands on powerful quantum computers? VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland Ltd.
When will quantum computers become as ubiquitous as their classical counterparts? Globant Blog
Why would a quantum network be needed when the internet already provides near-instant communication across the globe? Marine Corps University
Will?
Will Quantum Computing Solve Humanity's Biggest Challenges? InfoQ
How Will AI and Quantum Computing Transform Regulatory Science? Westat
Where is quantum computing going to grow, and what will it need? Site Selection
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