Quantum

A Future Prognosis

Athena @ Shaping Tomorrow

30 November 2022
Introduction
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Contents
User Guide
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Sources
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World Outlook
Main factors that cause something to happen globally
Other countries are prioritizing quantum information sciences - France aspires to be one of the world's leaders in quantum and supports the European Union's Digital Compass project to produce its first domestic quantum computer by 2025. Global Policy Journal
France aspires to become one of the world's leaders in quantum and supports the European Union's Digital Compass project to produce its first quantum computer by 2025. CSIS
The efforts of industry and the NQTP NQTP could see the UK could have one of the world's first general purpose quantum computers by the 2030s. GOV.UK
Global regions, coloured according to number of forecasts
SWOT
Strengths
  • With researchers anticipating that quantum computers will be able to decrypt public key algorithms as soon as 2030, organizations are under increasing pressure to find quantum-resistant algorithms to protect their data from threat actors. VentureBeat
  • IBM is on track to achieve 4000 qubits by 2025 and quantum supremacy as it continues to deliver on its roadmap. OKClips.co
  • Canada must continue funding quantum research or risk losing its talent base and current competitive advantage. Electronic Products & Technology
Weaknesses
  • The US enforcer will now be required to consider five new sets of national security concerns in its FDI review, including cybersecurity, sensitive personal data, and certain areas of technological leadership (such as microelectronics, AI, biotechnology, quantum computing, climate technologies). Linklaters LLP
  • Robert Bosch GmbH will tap the processing power of twenty IBM quantum supercomputers in order to research viable replacements for some metals with scarce global supply, such as nickel, copper or lithium, and rare-earth elements that are needed to build electric motors as well as fuel cells. Notebookcheck
  • Financial institutions are estimated to lose between $10 billion and $40 billion in revenue each year due to poor data management practices and fraud, and quantum computing could open new opportunities in terms of the safer electronic money exchanges, risk assessment and fraud detection.
Opportunities
  • Some important global developments in the recent past have increased the focus on quantum technologies and the need for mitigating the associated risks to vulnerable cryptographic systems. CapGemini
  • Europe has world-class capabilities in the technologies that will transform warfare over the next several decades, including artificial intelligence, quantum computing, cybertechnology, portable electronic devices, and battlefield-relevant software. Defense Priorities
  • Toshiba and BT have researched collaboratively for over 20 years to pioneer a solution to mitigate the threat to data security posed by quantum computers. British Chamber of Commerce in Japan
Threats
  • Context: The world is moving towards an era in which the applications of quantum physics in strategic domains will soon become a reality, increasing cybersecurity risks. Samajho Learning
  • Quantum computers in the hands of adversarial nation states could devastate U.S national security if post-quantum cryptography, or PQC, is not urgently implemented. VentureBeat
  • For the foreseeable future, artificial intelligence and quantum computers will have no great bearing on a war in the Taiwan Strait. Intelligencer
Influencers
Countries
Cities
People
Organizations
S-Curve

A framework that describes a 4-phase level of maturity to help determine potential and inform innovation strategy.

Weak
computer, quantum, application, artificial intelligence, company, algorithm
Emerging
artificial intelligence, 5G, market, computer, algorithm, application
Maturing
quantum, LED, capacity, capital, collaborate, copper
Declining
bank, catalyst, market
Sentiment
Past Year: Stable
Compare changing sentiment to a benchmark of all forecasts
Other countries are prioritizing quantum information sciences - France aspires to be one of the world's leaders in quantum and supports the European Union's Digital Compass project to produce its first domestic quantum computer by 2025. Global Policy Journal
The efforts of industry and the NQTP could see the UK could have one of the world's first general purpose quantum computers by the 2030s. UK Government
PEST
Political
  • Two of the largest US regional lenders, PNC Bank and Truist, would fall below their liquidity requirement in the absence of the tailoring rules developed by the Federal Reserve, Risk Quantum analysis shows. Risk.net
  • Sandbox and the Quantum Alliance Initiative, a consortium of companies and universities, are working with regulatory agencies to help address the vulnerabilities of today's situation and chart a roadmap to better protection. PYMNTS.com
  • Australia's vision for the quantum industry will be set out in the National Quantum Strategy. Department of Industry, Science, Energy and Resources
Economic
  • In a paper acquired by The Quantum Insider, Vertical Research Partners reported that, based on their assumptions and projections, the discounted equity value of Quantinuum could reach circa $37 billion within a decade. The Quantum Insider
  • Quantum will start as a big funnel in terms of ideas and will converge and squish together into five or ten serious companies in five to ten years. Tech Monitor
  • An essential insight came when the Princeton team calculated and understood that certain quantum materials such as Co 2 MnGa could host multiple Weyl loops at the same time. phys.org
Social
  • HSBC will work alongside The European NEASQC (Next Applications of Quantum Computing) project to develop practical use cases in fields as diverse as drug discovery, breast cancer detection, carbon capture and energy infrastructure risk assessments. The Quantum Insider
  • By 2025, we will have effectively removed the main boundaries in the way of scaling quantum processors up with modular quantum hardware and the accompanying control electronics and cryogenic infrastructure. ComputerWeekly.com
  • A cryptanalytically relevant quantum computer could jeopardize civilian and military communications as well as undermine supervisory and control systems for critical infrastructure. / USA National Security Agency/Central Security Service
Technological
  • The Beijing team's technique, which could be used to print advanced light-emitting devices or photodetectors, uses quantum dots, which are actually nanocrystals with a cadmium selenide core and a zinc sulfide shell, capped by 3-mercaptopropionic acid ligands. 3DPrint.com | The Voice of 3D Printing / Additive Manuf
  • All of the applications for advanced computing methods for which companies currently turn to super computers like IBM's Watson could theoretically be done faster and better with a quantum computer. SPACInsider
  • If Pfizer could use quantum computers to reduce research and development by 1%, they would lead to savings of about ~ $7.5 million. The Quantum Insider
Financial Impact
McKinsey predicts the value of potential of quantum-computing use cases at full scale by 2035 will be greater than $1 trillion. Dark Reading
Quantum computing could generate a value of $450 billion to $850 billion in the next 15 to 30 years. SiliconANGLE
The CSIRO modelling released on Thursday forecasts the Australian quantum industry to reach $6 billion and generate more than 19,000 jobs in Australia by 2045. InnovationAus.com
Click on the dots or the lines to see the connections
System Map
Organizations
Sectors
Cities
Countries
People
Scenarios
Creates plausible alternative futures of what can happen and encourages development of a robust, agile response
Quantum computing has the potential to change the world of cybersecurity as we know it. Quantum Computing Inc.
New quantum sensors will enable measurements of essential Earth processes at unprecedented precision. Friends of Europe
Quantum computing has the potential to change the world on a massive level. BeInCrypto
Warnings
Changing proportion of published forecasts
A research team with Denmark's University of Copenhagen has designed the world's first quantum computing system that allows for simultaneous operation of all its qubits without threatening quantum coherence. Tom's Hardware
The advent of the world's first practical quantum computer will render today's conventional public key encrypted infrastructures unsecure, making sensitive information vulnerable across governments', defence agencies', and businesses' public and private networks. Voxy
Solutions
Know how others are tackling issues with this topic
In conclusion, Bitcoin users should rest easy knowing they are a little smarter and can no longer imagine the terror of a world run by quantum computers. Mint
Quantum technologies could be the key to resolving global issues from climate change to improving drug-delivery times. Transport Times
The new QFS system will be introduced, designed to allow the new world economy to flow seamlessly into the unique quantum financial system. Operation Disclosure Official
Key topics
Extremes
Investigate what’s transforming or collapsing
Demand for the world's first utility-scale quantum computers will be extreme. PsiQuantum
Quantum computing power could, among other things, disrupt worldwide healthcare by enabling the extremely rapid development of vaccines and drugs. Richard van Hooijdonk Blog
The PNR envisages a new National Institute for Quantum Technologies, that would ultimately become part of a European network of National Institutes for Quantum Technologies, co-funded by the European Commission. / Italy Nature Medicine
What's Next
Changing proportion of material mentioning future years
Quantum computing has the potential to revolutionize industries such as finance, pharmaceuticals, AI, and automotive in the next few years, fundamentally changing the world around us. ONPASSIVE
More than two-thirds of global businesses will embrace emerging technologies in areas such as Web3, the metaverse and quantum computing within the next two years, a new KPMG report has found. Silicon Republic
Questions
Can?
How can quantum technologies help cyber defenders keep America's networks safe? Leidos
How can policymakers and the public embrace the potential of quantum computing without succumbing to the dangers of hype and inflated expectations? The Economist Events
How can we visualise the concept of quantum computers working like nature? The Quantum Insider
How?
Quantum computers may no longer be the stuff of science fiction, but how far is the UK from fully realising their world-changing potential? New Scientist
How many Global quantum computer fridge market are manufactured per annum globally? Mobility Foresights
What is the average cost per Global quantum computer fridge market right now and how will it change in the next 5-6 years? Mobility Foresights
Who?
Who is investing in quantum computing? Tech Monitor
Who will get quantum computing first, China or Google? The Guardian
Who is winning the race to build a practical quantum computer? Fact Based Insight
What?
What is the average cost per Global Quantum Battery Market right now and how will it change in the next 5-6 years? Mobility Foresights
What if we tried to live in a fully quantum one, even in our everyday lives? Nautilus
At what point should we switch to quantum-resistant algorithms? Heidelberg Laureate Forum
When?
When will quantum computing become mainstream? Bank Policy Institute
How will we make sure that the data secured today will remain secure when quantum computers can break today's encryption in a matter of days? Global Encryption Coalition
What is Moody's Analytics competitive advantage when it comes to quantum? Moodys Analytics
Will?
How will Quantum impact Business and Society? Quantum Delta the Netherlands
What exactly is quantum computing, and how will it affect our world in the future? MUO
Will quantum computing integrate with other evolving technologies? Moodys Analytics
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