Global Scans · Turkey · Weekly Summary

WHAT'S NEXT?: Uncertainties over Turkey's eventual political position abound. With EU decisions in doubt, recent crackdown on opposition parties causing concerns, and being embroiled in complex Middle East politics and fighting terrorism on its borders and internally, which way will she swing?

• [New] In countries that represent one-third of the global obesity population, which includes India, Turkey, Canada, Brazil, and China, off-patent semaglutide will become available in 2026. pharmexec
• [New] The FCDO will phase out all funding for bilateral programmes in G20 countries - apart from a small allocation to refugee-hosting in Turkey. The Guardian
• [New] The 40% reduction in UK aid spending, which MPs voted to back last year, will mean all aid spending being cut to all G20 countries except Turkey, and the majority now focused on conflict zones, primarily Palestine, Sudan and Ukraine. The Guardian
• [New] EU institutions still see migration cooperation with Turkey as necessary, while many of the parts Ankara expected in return remain stalled. Turkish Minute
• [New] There are 72 benchmarks Turkey is expected to meet for visa liberalization. Atlas Think Center
• [New] If measures are not taken today, Turkey's economy could face a major collapse within three to five years. Atlas Think Center
• [New] Combined with the global economic slowdown already anticipated by forecasters, a sharp contraction in Turkish exports appears unavoidable. Atlas Think Center
• [New] If Iran breaks apart into a completely failed state, resulting in chaos, mass migration, and ethnic civil wars, it will severely disrupt the emerging geopolitical alignment between Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and Egypt, with the probability of other regional powers' involvement. Atlas Institute for International Affairs
• [New] If Iranian weapons appear to have struck Turkish soil, NATO's mutual defence clause could be triggered. Middle East Monitor
• [New] Pakistan, a nuclear-armed military ally, has the potential to share nuclear technologies with Turkey and Saudi Arabia. Modern.az
• [New] If investors see political pressure, they demand higher returns to hold Turkey risk. Meyka
• [New] Rising Turkey political risk tends to widen sovereign and corporate spreads, weaken TRY, and raise local yields. Meyka
• [New] Coordinated national efforts will be essential to mitigate the long-term impacts on Turkey's biodiversity and ecosystems. Blog |
• [New] From Turkey's perspective, a sudden collapse of the Iranian regime could unleash unpredictable consequences for Erdogan's government. Nordic Monitor
• [New] With structural vulnerabilities exposed by regional war and a political landscape that remains volatile, Turkey's Tight Monetary Policy appears to be gasping for air. P.A. Turkey
• [New] Among the other countries in the IMF's top 10 list, the USA is expected to contribute 9.9% to the world's real GDP growth, followed by Indonesia with 3.8%, Turkey 2.2%, Saudi Arabia 1.7%, Vietnam 1.6%, while both Nigeria and Brazil are expected to contribute 1.5% each. @mathrubhumi
• [New] Patents for semaglutide are due to expire starting later this month in India, China, Canada, Brazil, and Turkey, along with three other countries later in 2026, which is expected to spark distribution of generic versions. STAT
• [New] NATO plans to push Europe's debate over security beyond spending increases at its July summit in Turkey to focus on how member states will target investments into technologies that define modern warfare. FDD
• [New] The Middle Corridor linking Central Asia to Europe via the Caucasus and Turkey becomes more attractive as alternative continental and maritime routes face disruption. Modern Diplomacy
• Turkey's ideal scenario - a managed degradation of Iran's ambitions and capabilities - might be best served by a Venezuela-style leadership transition. Project Syndicate
• If the CBRT can continue its disinflationary path without triggering a sharp slowdown in growth, it will signal that Turkey is on a more stable trajectory. Ainvest
• While Turkey stands on the side of regional stability and peace, it is fully capable of safeguarding its territory and citizens against threats from any actor or direction. UANI

Last updated: 23 March 2026