Global Scans · Indonesia · Weekly Summary

WHAT'S NEXT?: Indonesia's GDP is forecast to grow at 5% a year over 2016-2020, supported by strong growth in consumer demand and infrastructure investment. She is likely to be among the star economic performers for at least the next decade but at the same time faces great challenges to overcome past political and social issues.

• [New] Indonesia anticipates 5.1% growth, supported by domestic consumption and strategic positioning in AI-era mineral supply chains. The Economy
• [New] Jakarta - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has raised its outlook for Indonesia's economic growth, forecasting that Southeast Asia's largest economy will expand by 5.1% in 2026. Vietnam+ (VietnamPlus)
• [New] With abundant silica sand and plans to restrict raw material exports by 2027, it is seeking foreign partners to help establish local wafer and chip manufacturing. / Indonesia FinExtra
• [New] Indonesia has emphasized the national pooling fund, reinsurance for public assets, and support programs for agricultural risks. Insurance Business
• [New] Indonesia will not base its national interests on multilateralism that does not work. Antara
• [New] Indonesia has entered 2026 with a clearer vision of its foreign policy following Foreign Minister Sugiono's annual address, analysts say, but questions remain over how Jakarta plans to turn its stated ambitions for resilience into concrete policy. The Jakarta Post
• [New] Predictive Analysis: Indonesia will likely reject explicit security conditionality while pursuing conventional trade negotiations, but may quietly expand defence cooperation through separate channels to maintain strategic flexibility. Drone Warfare
• [New] If Indonesia accepts, China will likely respond with economic coercion, increased maritime patrols near Indonesian waters, and intensified efforts to offer alternative technology partnerships to other ASEAN states, framing US actions as neo-colonial coercion that threatens regional sovereignty. Drone Warfare
• [New] Indonesian fintech platforms leverage AI for credit scoring in populations traditionally underserved by banks, expanding financial inclusion while managing risk. The Economy
• [New] Indonesia's first tranche of new capital rules will kick in as at year-end 2026, with the second phase to follow in 2027. (Re)in Asia - Emerging risks - Growth opportunities - A
• [New] Indonesia seeks non-permanent UN Security Council seat for 2029-2030. The Asia Cable
• [New] 2026 will be a tale of two halves, with 40% of copper and 20% of gold full-year sales in the first half, leading to 60% and 80% in the second half, respectively. / Indonesia Nasdaq
• [New] Indonesia's low-cost production will continue to pressure operators in 2026, prompting cutbacks of uneconomic operations and postponements of new projects. Informist Media
• [New] Export and regional trade opportunities: By 2040, Indonesia, the Philippines, Thailand, and Viet Nam could become net exporters, while Japan, Singapore and South Korea are anticipated as strong SAF importers in region. ASEAN Main Portal
• [New] Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand were expected to be the largest demand centers in the ASEAN region. ASEAN Main Portal
• [New] The largest SAF demands are expected to come from Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand, as well as other Asian economies such as Japan and ROK. ASEAN Main Portal
• [New] An IEA projection published in late 2025 notes Southeast Asia's coal demand is expected to rise by more than 4% annually through 2030, led by Indonesia and Vietnam, complicating the credibility and pace of transition commitments such as Just Energy Transition Partnerships. Geopolitical Monitor
• [New] Other ASEAN nations are forecast to grow significantly faster in 2026, with projections such as 6.3% for Vietnam, 5.3% for the Philippines, and 5.0% for Indonesia. Pranee Muenphangwaree
• [New] Indonesia is ranked 55th in overall disaster risk. Reynold Sumayku
• [New] Indonesia is highly exposed to various climate hazards and vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. Reynold Sumayku
• [New] Following a year where Gen Z protests erupted worldwide, in places like Morocco, Nepal, Madagascar, Serbia, Peru, Indonesia and Kenya, there will be a reckoning for big tech. Media Diversity Institute
• [New] Indonesia announced it will bid for a non-permanent seat on the United Nations Security Council for the 2029-2030 term. The Asia Cable
• [New] The World Bank's growth projection for the Philippines for 2026 is lower than the projected 6.3% growth for Vietnam, but higher than the growth forecasts for neighbours such as Indonesia, Cambodia, Malaysia, Laos, Myanmar and Thailand. philstar.com

Last updated: 02 February 2026