Global Scans · Indonesia · Weekly Summary

WHAT'S NEXT?: Indonesia's GDP is forecast to grow at 5% a year over 2016-2020, supported by strong growth in consumer demand and infrastructure investment. She is likely to be among the star economic performers for at least the next decade but at the same time faces great challenges to overcome past political and social issues.

• [New] Export and regional trade opportunities: By 2040, Indonesia, the Philippines, Thailand, and Viet Nam could become net exporters, while Japan, Singapore and South Korea are anticipated as strong SAF importers in region. ASEAN Main Portal
• [New] Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand were expected to be the largest demand centers in the ASEAN region. ASEAN Main Portal
• [New] The largest SAF demands are expected to come from Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand, as well as other Asian economies such as Japan and ROK. ASEAN Main Portal
• [New] An IEA projection published in late 2025 notes Southeast Asia's coal demand is expected to rise by more than 4% annually through 2030, led by Indonesia and Vietnam, complicating the credibility and pace of transition commitments such as Just Energy Transition Partnerships. Geopolitical Monitor
• [New] Other ASEAN nations are forecast to grow significantly faster in 2026, with projections such as 6.3% for Vietnam, 5.3% for the Philippines, and 5.0% for Indonesia. Pranee Muenphangwaree
• [New] Indonesia is ranked 55th in overall disaster risk. Reynold Sumayku
• [New] Indonesia is highly exposed to various climate hazards and vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. Reynold Sumayku
• [New] Following a year where Gen Z protests erupted worldwide, in places like Morocco, Nepal, Madagascar, Serbia, Peru, Indonesia and Kenya, there will be a reckoning for big tech. Media Diversity Institute
• [New] Indonesia announced it will bid for a non-permanent seat on the United Nations Security Council for the 2029-2030 term. The Asia Cable
• [New] The World Bank's growth projection for the Philippines for 2026 is lower than the projected 6.3% growth for Vietnam, but higher than the growth forecasts for neighbours such as Indonesia, Cambodia, Malaysia, Laos, Myanmar and Thailand. philstar.com
• [New] By 2026, Thailand is expected to surpass Indonesia in planned data center capacity. Yahoo Finance
• [New] The maritime environment in Indonesia and the Southeast Asian region is prone to high risks because of factors such as security threats, environmental risks, cyber threats, as well as monsoon weather. All About Shipping
• [New] Indonesia will not leave its future to a world without rules. Antara
• [New] Looking ahead, global cobalt output is anticipated to grow further by 6.9% to reach 352.8 kilotonnes in 2026, supported by the rising supply from the two largest players, the DRC and Indonesia. Yahoo Finance
• [New] Vietnam, Indonesia, and the Philippines face projected GDP losses of several percentage points annually by mid-century due to climate impacts alone. Geopolitical Monitor
• [New] Despite the risks, Indonesia is working to put a floor under nickel prices, which means the only direction of travel for prices is up. The Oregon Group
• [New] Gas supply momentum is building, led by Malaysia, with Indonesia and Vietnam expected to follow, while Asian national oil companies increase M&A to secure long-term growth and resource options. Rystad Energy
• [New] Indonesia will be the worst affected in Asia, with 5.9 million people flooded out each year by 2100. MorungExpress
• [New] A long-gestating, and somewhat contentious, arrangement with South Korea to co-develop the KF-21 fighter jet is reaching some type of conclusion that will probably see Indonesia operate a version of the South Korean fighter in the years ahead. The Diplomat
• [New] The first of 42 Rafale fighter jets ordered from France's Dassault as part of an $8 billion deal will start arriving in Indonesia in 2026. The Diplomat
• [New] International Subscriber Acceleration: Breaking through in key markets like India, Indonesia, and Nigeria would unlock enormous growth potential. Deep Research Global
• [New] Indonesia may emerge as the fourth largest economy in 2050, followed by China, India and the United States. The Financial Express

Last updated: 26 January 2026