Driving Forces Learn

China

WHAT'S NEXT?: Any disruption in economic activity between China and the United States will necessarily affect other Asian and world economies. How China handles Donald Trump's administration, its relationship with Russia and develops its leadership ambitions will be key areas to watch intently in the coming years.

[New] China, Russia, North Korea and Iran continue to pose significant cybersecurity threats to the U.S. because each is capable of launching disruptive attacks.
[New] China, Russia and Iran remain some of the most pressing national security threats, particularly related to cybersecurity, based on the annual threat assessment put together by the U.S.
[New] Iranian escalatory actions threaten China's energy supplies and regional partners, just as destabilizing behavior from Russia might complicate its relations with African states.
[New] An active conflict in the Persian Gulf that could come about as a result of U.S.-Iranian tensions would similarly be devastating to China, which relies on the Gulf states for roughly 45% of its energy imports.
[New] A s the United States continues to move into an era of Great Power competition featuring long-term rivalry and the prospect of Great Power transition with China, it will continue to encounter destabilizing activities from so-called rogue, disrupter, and spoiler states and regimes.
[New] Over the next 3 to 5 years, the U.S. military should expect Russia and China to continue to position themselves as alternatives to the United States - not only in the Middle East and North Africa but also in other regions.
[New] Some funds may invest in China A shares which involve certain risks that are not typically associated with investment in more developed markets.
[New] If hydrogen-based steel production is to expand beyond Sweden to other large steel manufacturing countries such as China and the United States, significant investment will need to occur in renewable energy.
[New] China's market is kept wide open and remaining growing fast, which will always open its arms for global companies, of all countries and regions, to invest and do business and make money.
[New] If foreign companies in China send a significant portion of their China-based production to the United States while tariffs continue to be a dominant decoupling tool under the Biden administration, the impact on revenues and profits could be severe.
[New] Some users outside China, particularly in the US, might be reluctant to use a digital currency controlled by China.
[New] If the US adopts a clear commitment to the island of Taiwan and leads to a sudden change in the cross-Straits situation and makes the Chinese mainland determined to settle the Taiwan question, Washington will then face a dilemma.
[New] The Chinese mainland will not bear Taiwan authorities to seek independence with salami-slicing tactics and to coordinate with the US' China containment strategy.
[New] The US' clear commitment to Taiwan will not scare the Chinese government and people, but will only prompt them to make a resolute decision to eradicate Taiwan secessionist forces.
[New] Chinese firms' leveraging of a vast protected home base in a series of sectors could put a competitive strain on their EU competitors and diminish their revenue prospects and global market shares.
[New] Not all firms in China can draw on the advantages of a large and protected home market: many sectors are open to foreign investors or traders in China, and many will not become more efficient as they grow.
[New] For companies that depend on China for a large portion of income, taking a stand against the reported abuses carries the risk of pushback within the world's second-largest economy.
[New] With the United States imposing restrictions on sales to China of both semiconductors and the technology to make them, Beijing is facing vulnerabilities that make economic relations with Taiwan even more important.
[New] China is a market that no investor can afford to ignore, and we will see slowly, through a variety of different schemes, an increased participation in both the fixed income market and the equity markets.
[New] The last 40 years have been about China's economic rise, but the next 40 years are going to be about China's financial rise, and people who underestimated China's economic rise need to be very careful not to underestimate China's financial rise.
[New] As China continues to rise and the United States encourages allies to take on greater burden sharing efforts, there is a risk of a serious perception gap emerging between Japan the United States.
[New] Hydrogen fuel could replace 43% of voyages between the United States and China without any changes, and 99% of voyages with minor changes to fuel capacity or operations.

Last updated: 16 April 2021

China

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