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WHAT'S NEXT?: Huge growth is expected over the next several decades as the world's Muslim population grows faster than every other major religious demographic, and as urbanization and rising incomes in developing countries with large Muslim populations mean more will be buying, rather than producing their own food.

  • [New] Conservative traditionalists from the historically dominant white Christian demographic in the U.S. have had the most reason to feel threatened by science.
  • [New] The Islamic State in Libya maintains a limited presence in western Libya but could take advantage of the fighting in Tripoli if clashes continue to escalate. Critical Threats
  • [New] The Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan was portrayed as the nucleus of the Islamic state - that is, the caliphate - that will rule by God's pure law. Foreign Affairs Magazine
  • [New] The greatest threat to regional security now arises from the continuing contacts and presence of international terrorist groups, like Al Qaeda and the Islamic State, in Taliban-ruled Afghanistan. The Hindu BusinessLine
  • [New] The Islamic State Khorasan will continue to seek ways to make further strides by exploiting sectarian sentiments and by seeking potential alliances with other jihadist groups in Afghanistan and Pakistan. Hstoday
  • [New] The threat to India from the terror groups from Afghanistan-Pakistan region like the Haqqani Network and Islamic State Khorasan Province is real and imminent. The Pioneer
  • [New] Afghanistan beforehand served as a sanctuary for teams just like the Islamic Motion of Uzbekistan and the East Turkestan Islamic Motion that threaten Russia, China, and their pursuits in Central Asia.
  • [New] Following US defeat in Afghanistan, the Taliban led government in Kabul will likely cooperate closely with Islamist groups opposed to Israel, including Palestinian Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad. Modern Diplomacy
  • [New] The US and its allies fear the vacuum left by their chaotic exit will allow militant groups such as Islamic State Khorasan Province, also known as Isis-K, to gain a foothold in Afghanistan to plot attacks. South China Morning Post
  • [New] Fighters from the North Caucasus and Central Asian migrants based in Russia have joined the Islamic State Khorasan and other groups and could once again target Russia and its neighbors. Brookings
  • [New] Militant Salafi-jihadi groups in Turkey and Syria are divided over whether they could form an Islamic emirate like the Taliban's in Afghanistan or an all-encompassing caliphate like that of the Islamic State. Al-Monitor: The Pulse of the Middle East
  • [New] The US and Taliban potentially could coordinate in the future against an offshoot of the Islamic State group in Afghanistan responsible for a suicide bombing that killed 13 troops last month. Asia Times
  • [New] There were fears raised that Taliban-associated group Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan and other militant organisations would capitalise on events in Afghanistan and target religious minorities including Christians. Aid to the Church in Need
  • [New] Unlike other countries, the United Kingdom is unique in its homegrown threat, due to the history of its own extremist groups, such as Al-Muhajiroun, that predated the growth of Islamic State. Bright blue
  • [New] Washington should not narrowly focus just on domestic terrorism at the expense of jihadi organizations like al-Qa' ida and the Islamic State, which, while weakened, still comprise a significant threat, both to the United States and globally as well. Combating Terrorism Center at West Point
  • [New] Besides Beijing and Moscow, some expect Iran and North Korea to occupy more of the United States' bandwidth than al-Qa' ida or the Islamic State in the decade to come. Combating Terrorism Center at West Point
  • [New] In Southeast Asia, groups linked to the Islamic State continue to pose terror threats, but authorities have been able to disrupt some plots. Wilson Center
  • [New] The Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan which is not recognized by the United States as a state and is known as the Taliban will not allow any of its members, other individuals or groups, including al-Qa' ida, to use the soil of Afghanistan to threaten the security of the United States and its allies. Combating Terrorism Center at West Point
  • [New] As western governments worry about Afghanistan becoming a crucible for a new international terrorist threat, Islamic State is the top concern. The Guardian
  • [New] Islamist militants such as al-Qaeda and the Islamic State group see democratic efforts as a threat and have repeatedly murdered Muslim scholars and democracy activists. Pappas On Taxes
  • [New] For many, Beijing's friendly stance towards the Taliban is both unexpected and confusing, considering how China has played up threats of alleged Islamic extremism at home in recent years to justify a crackdown on ethnic minority Uyghur Muslims in the border region of Xinjiang. Quartz

Last updated: 20 September 2021