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Global Scans · Conflict · Weekly Summary


WHAT'S NEXT?: Rising tensions around are bringing new and regional geopolitical threats and the possibility of eventual global war. Keep abreast of the unfolding drama and know where the risks and opportunities are in the world.

  • [New] Months of Houthi attacks in the Red Sea have disrupted global shipping, forcing firms to re-route to longer and more expensive journeys around Southern Africa, and stoked fears that the Israel-Hamas war could spread to destabilise the wider Middle East. investing.com
  • [New] The IDF takes more measures to limit civilian casualties than wars that the United States has engaged in because the US military did not give warning in many cases in urban areas. The Jerusalem Post
  • [New] The Group of Seven (G7) countries warned Iran against providing ballistic missiles to Russia to use in its war against Ukraine and said it would respond swiftly with new sanctions, including possibly banning Iran Air from Europe. Al Jazeera
  • [New] Iran could intensify its proxy war against Israel if Israel attacks Lebanese Hezbollah, which is consistent with Iran's decades-old use of its proxies. Institute for the Study of War
  • [New] Nuclear weapons would not necessarily deter China and Russia from risking a coordinated attempt to take Taiwan and the rest of Ukraine. EL PAIS English
  • [New] Following a prolonged period of supply chain disruption stemming from the covid pandemic, a new and withering price war has resulted as major importers like Brazil have pivoted away from expensive Bolivian supplies to cheaper liquefied natural gas from the United States and Middle East. The Week
  • [New] Tensions between China and the Philippines have sharply escalated in recent months over territorial disputes in the South China Sea that could draw in the United States. United States Institute of Peace
  • [New] The UN special envoy for Yemen has told the UN security council, the longer the war in Gaza goes on and Yemen's Houthi rebels keep attacking ships in the Red Sea the greater the risk that Yemen could be propelled back into war. The Guardian
  • [New] Russian forces have shown the capacity to adapt to fighting in Ukraine and will likely aim to scale lessons learned from the war in Ukraine to ongoing efforts to prepare the Russian military for a potential long-term confrontation with NATO. Daily Kos
  • [New] The larger issue is that the U.S. threat of the first use of nuclear weapons on Taiwan's behalf introduces a volatile new element into East Asian security that is likely to be viewed by allies as destabilizing and increasing the probability of a conventional or nuclear strike against U.S. allies. War on the Rocks
  • [New] The proposed shift to planning and threatening - whether overtly or tacitly - the first use of tactical nuclear weapons is unlikely to significantly enhance the ability of the United States to deter China from attacking Taiwan. War on the Rocks
  • [New] North Korea is under U.S.-led international sanctions, to which China is a party, aimed at reining in ballistic missile and nuclear weapons programs that threaten the United States and its allies. Shore News Network
  • [New] Russia is ready to use nuclear weapons but expressed hope that the U.S. would refrain from actions that could trigger a nuclear conflict. AP News
  • [New] Putin stated that Russia is always in a state of nuclear readiness and that Russia will only use nuclear weapons to protect the existence of the Russian state. Institute for the Study of War
  • [New] Putin reiterated boilerplate nuclear rhetoric that aims to deter Western support to Ukraine over fears of Russia potentially using nuclear weapons. Institute for the Study of War
  • [New] A full-scale invasion of Ukraine launched by Russian President Vladimir Putin is now in its third year, with no signs that the biggest war in Europe since World War Two could end soon. BBC News
  • [New] The war in Gaza could embolden terrorist groups, which are aligned in their opposition to the United States for its support of Israel. Washington Post
  • [New] The rise of advanced AI and AGI [artificial general intelligence] has the potential to destabilize global security in ways reminiscent of the introduction of nuclear weapons. Time
  • [New] Regarding the expected gold price in the coming days, Commodity analysts at ING Groep, in a note to Bloomberg, see gold prices trading higher in 2024 as demand for safe havens continues amid geopolitical uncertainty with ongoing wars and the upcoming US elections. DailyForex
  • [New] Europe is unprepared for war with Russia or the risk that Donald Trump could withdraw the US from Nato and needs to ramp up spending on defence equipment. The Guardian
  • [New] The NATO powers recognize the very real danger that the conflict in Ukraine could develop into a nuclear war, but they are taking no measures to avoid escalation. World Socialist Web Site
  • [New] US President Joe Biden pledged continued support for Israel but indicated there are red lines that Israel could cross in its war against Hamas in Gaza. CNN

Last updated: 19 March 2024



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