Geopolitics

[New] Presidential and parliamentary elections in Burkina Faso, Chad, Cote d'Ivoire and Togo will be set in contexts of insecurity or political tensions, potentially leading to unrest.
[New] On the back of weakening economic growth everywhere, especially in the US and in Europe, and trade tensions with the US and China, and political strife in Iran and elsewhere, the coronavirus health crisis will now be remembered for breaking the camel's back in 2020.
The legitimacy of the 2020 US elections will be widely questioned, given that political polarization in the US has become so intense that millions of Americans now believe that courts, federal agencies, the media and US political institutions like the Federal Reserve have credibility.
Market players are hoping that 2020 will be a much better year for the domestic capital market, particularly the stock market, as Indonesia's political landscape is expected to stabilize and companies seek to enjoy higher earnings growth.
Fractious geopolitics in a US election year, a rising tide of global activism and a new level of cyber warfare are among the Top 5 risks for business in 2020.
The global economic growth in 2020 is still vulnerable to factors like political protests in numerous countries, the recent tensions between the US and Iran and the ongoing trade war between Washington and Beijing.
2020 is an election year in the U.S., so most companies will wait and see in terms of innovation due to the political uncertainties that come along with an election.
Easing political risks, improving economic indicators, equity market valuation, underlie the 10 investment themes for 2020 selected by BNP Paribas Wealth Management strategists in the US, Europe and Asia to guide investors towards attractive opportunities.
As a haven of economic, legal and political stability, London continues to attract people and draw talent from all around the world - its population will reach 11 million by 2050.
The global economy will again face significant volatility from multiple sources, including political uncertainty and geopolitics, with additional unforeseen sources of uncertainty likely to arise during the course of 2020.
The global economy is facing an increased risk of stagnation - all while citizens worldwide protest political and economic conditions and voice concerns about systems that exacerbate inequality.
This year China will take its claims to institutional leadership global, seizing political space afforded by U.S. retrenchment under President Trump and more actively shaping global institutions to its interests.
Oil prices will remain supported near current levels this year as persistent geo-political risks and OPEC-led output curbs help offset growing supply from other producers.
By this time next year, the US will have (re -) elected a president: A change of political direction could still impact markets.
Political uncertainty and bad weather led to a slowdown in UK construction activity towards the end of last year and there is little evidence to suggest that the general election result will bring any benefit the construction industry in 2020.
Political risk could manifest itself in the form of street revolutions, pointing to recent demonstrations hijacked by powerful militaries in Algeria and Sudan within the past year.
While further progress on the stickiest U.S.-China issues and a Brexit resolution may come in early 2020, politics will continue to play a role in the United States and globally throughout the year.
Elections in Germany (in 2021) and the United States will be telling, and political movements in many places are questioning the value of global cooperation.
Digital transformation remains the number one concern for Australia's business leaders as they look ahead to 2020, but new worries have emerged surrounding the global political and economic landscape, and climate change.
Over the past year, consumer confidence has remained high despite the uncertainties of the trade war, the challenge of modernizing trade with Mexico and Canada, and a range of threats from global politics.
President Donald Trump could add a level of political uncertainty by withdrawing the US from the IMO 2020 agreement.
Political ad spending ahead of the 2020 presidential election is expected to surpass $2.7 billion - the new record - as the 20-plus Democratic primary candidates battle to replace President Trump in the White House.

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Last updated: 29 March 2020