Global Scans · Geopolitics · Weekly Summary

• [New] The Coface social and political risk index has reached a historic high of 41.1%, surpassing the pandemic peak and establishing political risk as a key structural parameter of the global economy. Coface
• [New] Global political instability and disruptions have underscored the need for secure, domestic uranium production and enrichment. XS
• [New] Beijing is copying Washington's playbook because it saw firsthand how effectively U.S. export controls could constrain its own economic development and political choices. Economic Times
• [New] Chinese leader Xi Jinping is convening a key political meeting this week where he will push forward his next five-year strategy to strengthen the world's second-largest economy in the face of mounting friction with the United States. KRDO
• [New] The Commission's growing interest in curbing intra-EU tax competition, combined with political momentum for harmonization, could limit Italy's freedom to sweeten its fiscal offers indefinitely. European Business Magazine
• [New] Kenya's Top Threats: Political instability and civil unrest have eclipsed economic woes as the No. 1 risks for Kenyan firms in 2026, per a global survey. Levi Media
• [New] The European document calls for urging U.S. President Donald Trump to ensure that the future of the Palestinian state is not undermined, at a time when fears are growing that Israeli policies on the ground could weaken the chances for a political solution. TESAA
• [New] Political Inertia: The world is on track for 2.7 °C warming by 2100, threatening irreversible ecosystem collapse, even as political will lags behind science. INSIGHTS IAS - Simplifying UPSC IAS Exam Preparation
• [New] The United States domestic political environment shows extreme sensitivity toward any sign of North Korean concessions which might weaken existing sanctions. Eurasia Review
• [New] Armenian sovereignty issues regarding transit through Zangezur/TRIPP, combined with internal instability in transit countries, present high political risks that could halt operations or trigger armed conflicts. SpecialEurasia
• [New] Even the survival of Hamas' political leadership in its golden exile in Doha could be coming to an end. Middle East Forum
• [New] The US wields considerable influence over many other UN member states, and fear of tariffs, a need for security guarantees and other economic and political pressures mean there are few attempts to directly counter the US anti-gender equality narrative. PassBlue
• [New] Legal and Political Risks: Some analysts cite potential risks from illegal data harvesting and transmission class action lawsuits, as well as a potentially anti-EV stance from a Trump administration, which could thwart growth efforts. The Pilot News
• [New] USD / JPY directional risks remain tethered to U.S. data and politics. investing.com
• [New] India and China will resume direct flights after more than five years as two of the world's biggest economies seek to rebuild political ties at a time of rising global trade uncertainties. Fortune
• From technological advancement to geopolitics, the world will see a new age marked by promise and apprehension. Diplomatist
• Freeland emphasizes that the geopolitics of Earth are increasingly being transported to space, which threatens the cooperative environment that is necessary if humanity is to continue to benefit from all that space technology can provide. The Journal of Space Commerce
• Canada, Australia, Italy, and Ireland have issued a major travel alert for the United Kingdom this fall 2025, citing increased safety risks due to rising political tensions, terrorism threats, and potential travel disruptions from protests. Travel And Tour World
• Political leadership will remain with Europe's main military powers, not least because the EU is constrained by having both neutral members (Austria, Ireland, Cyprus and Malta) and countries sympathetic to Russia (Hungary, Slovakia and soon perhaps the Czech Republic). The Guardian
• Some of the countries worst affected are likely to see governments fall and the rise of social disorder, leading to political instability that in turn will have an impact on the UK's security. The Guardian
• In geopolitics, Israel and Hamas reached a ceasefire agreement that includes the return of all remaining hostages held in Gaza, easing concerns about potential regional supply disruptions. Mansfield Energy
• In continental Europe, the euro currency could resume its upward trend against the dollar if political stability is restored in France without the need for fresh elections according to FX traders. Comerica

Last updated: 26 October 2025