[New] A global recession or a sudden surge in supply from OPEC + could squeeze margins.
The Chronicle-Journal
[New] Even if the Russia-Ukraine conflict were eventually resolved, the Russian economy would still face elevated risks of stagnation or recession.
Modern Diplomacy
[New] While U.S. demand remains robust, a cooling of the Chinese economy or a deeper-than-expected recession in Europe could eventually weigh on global oil demand, testing the resolve of the OPEC + alliance.
The Chronicle-Journal
[New] During the 1990-91 Gulf War period, oil prices doubled from approximately $20 to $40+ per barrel, with supply disruptions lasting over six months and contributing to subsequent global recession conditions.
Discovery Alert
[New] A sharp correction in U.S. stocks, possibly due to recession fears, inflation persistence, or political turmoil, could trigger massive foreign portfolio investor outflows from Indian equities.
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[New] The greater concern is the mounting backlog of corporate insolvencies, a real and growing danger that could push the US into recession even as short-term interest rates fall.
Edge and Odds -
[New] Tensions from Venezuela to Iran, along with disruptions in supplies from Kazakhstan, have helped support oil prices since the start of the year after an 18% slump in 2025.
financialpost
[New] A sharp global downturn could force the Fed to cut rates faster than expected to stave off recession, disrupting the carefully calibrated path.
Ainvest
[New] Nearly half of respondents believe that over the coming decade the current democratic recession will deepen into a democratic depression.
Atlantic Council
[New] A recession could force the Fed to lower rates aggressively, perhaps holding down borrowing costs for years.
Investopedia
Australia is not teetering on the brink of recession - northern hemisphere economies such as Germany and others are expected to expand more slowly next year - but growth is uneven and below the long-term trend of pre-pandemic years.
The Times
Risk factors include recession emergence, aggressive Fed tightening, dividend cut waves, and multiple compression to 16 x P/E creating 25-30% downside.
investing.com
While Mexico's economic growth remains weak in relative and absolute terms, risk of a recession has diminished, and price pressures remain elevated.
Marc to Market
