[New] Australia is not teetering on the brink of recession - northern hemisphere economies such as Germany and others are expected to expand more slowly next year - but growth is uneven and below the long-term trend of pre-pandemic years.
The Times
[New] Risk factors include recession emergence, aggressive Fed tightening, dividend cut waves, and multiple compression to 16 x P/E creating 25-30% downside.
investing.com
[New] While Mexico's economic growth remains weak in relative and absolute terms, risk of a recession has diminished, and price pressures remain elevated.
Marc to Market
[New] Recession fears have not materialised, with consumption and investment - particularly in the United States - proving resilient.
LGT Private Banking
[New] Given the high risk of recession in the Eurozone, the ECB may cut its deposit rate below 2.0% and resume quantitative easing.
LiteFinance
[New] The Expectations Index drop below 80 raises recession probability toward 45-50%, while weakening jobs plentiful readings threaten consumer spending - the last pillar of U.S. growth.
Tapbit Exchange
[New] Nearly seven in ten executives now think a recession is the most likely scenario, with economic volatility becoming a top three risk.
Stanton Chase
[New] Australia is at risk of a pretty bad recession as inflation trends upward and the Albanese government struggles to rein in spending.
Sky News Australia
[New] If Intel's crash signals a broader tech recession, crypto markets could face a liquidity crunch.
Interactive Crypto
[New] In 2026 Russia's economy will face an elevated risk of sliding into recession amid mounting inflationary pressure, a shrinking tax base, and the expansion of the shadow economy.
Ukrinform
[New] Given the increasing likelihood of a recession, the Georgia green industry should anticipate slowing demand, which will require firms to mitigate costs to remain profitable.
CAES Field Report
[New] The latest Georgia agriculture forecast points to a second straight year of slow economic growth nationwide, driven largely by trade tensions, labour shortages tied to immigration policy, and a high risk of recession.
Walb
[New] The American economy stands at a critical juncture as we enter 2026, with recession risk indicators flashing warning signals across multiple sectors.
Medium
[New] Morgan Stanley warns of a 35% probability of a U.S. and global recession in 2026, driven by sticky inflation and uneven monetary policy.
Ainvest
In a downside scenario, policy errors, coupled with a major drop in artificial intelligence capex investment, could push the US into a relatively deep recession, while in the most bullish outcome, trade wars end and AI capex investment continues to increase.
TrustNet
CEOs in the U.S. said uncertainty was their top economic concern, with 43% ranking that the biggest threat in 2026, followed by 35% who cited the risk of a downturn or recession.
HR Dive
BCA estimates a 38% probability of a major supply shock, warning of spillovers to global markets, bond yields, and recession risk.
Sahm
The confluence of the 18-year real estate cycle peak, unprecedented commercial mortgage maturities, elevated consumer debt stress, widespread retail contraction, and depleted household savings creates meaningful recession risk for 2026-2028.
Medium
Based on comprehensive analysis of converging risk factors, the recession risk for 2026-2028 rates 42 out of 100 - indicating elevated but not inevitable downturn probability.
Medium
Deloitte analysts predict economic growth of just 1.4% in 2026 - not technically a recession, but hardly robust expansion. / USA
Medium
Perhaps the most immediate recession risk factor facing the US economy involves the unprecedented wave of commercial real estate debt maturing in 2026 - $930 billion in loans coming due, representing nearly triple the 20-year average of $350 billion annually.
Medium
Economists around the world are expecting muted U.S. economic growth in coming quarters, and some indicators suggest a mild recession is a possibility.
WTOP News
Last updated: 11 February 2026
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