Global Scans · Military · Weekly Summary

• [New] The Kremlin could seek to recruit Belarusian citizens into the Russian military, particularly as Belarusians and Russians have a single citizenship status under the Union State Treaty and, in theory, have equal rights under Union State law. Critical Threats
• [New] The MOU guarantees that there will be friction, or worse, between Iran, the United States, and Israel (and between the U.S. and Israel) over Iran's nuclear program, Iran's conventional military rearmament and support for proxies, and the status of the Strait of Hormuz. Home & Away
• [New] Russia is already intensifying cyber-attacks, information operations, sabotage and other forms of hostile activity below the threshold of war that might trigger a military response. Centre for European Reform
• [New] The US military will not return to the Middle East or the Persian Gulf. Prepare for Change
• [New] Military courts have become the most overburdened in Russia, and to handle the flow of terrorist cases, they are forced to plan their work carefully. Meduza
• [New] If U.S. policymakers believe that China's military-civil fusion can convert commercial compute into state power, then they will keep tightening export rules. Educational Technology and Change Journal
• [New] Even if Ukraine, with Western help, decisively defeats Russia, Washington and its NATO allies should not dismiss the future Russian military threat or eschew necessary investments in rearmament. Foreign Affairs Magazine
• [New] Russia has a history of restoring its military faster than expected after a defeat or a period of decline. Foreign Affairs Magazine
• [New] Russia's military will struggle to use the advantages provided by its growing drone force and improving strike capabilities to support offensive ground operations. Foreign Affairs Magazine
• [New] To conduct operations at scale, the Russian military will need to restore not only its manpower and materiel but also its ability to command and support larger formations such as armies, corps, and divisions, and to integrate different branches. Foreign Affairs Magazine
• [New] The global military drone sector could surpass $25 billion by 2026, while the broader defence drone industry is expected to exceed $55 billion by 2032. Cision PR Newswire
• [New] Quantum information science and technology will provide transformational capabilities that will drive American innovation, power economic growth, generate high-paying jobs, and bolster national security. The White House
• [New] If an EUV system did make it to China, that would be among the biggest known violations of US-led curbs designed to limit Beijing's access to AI that could benefit its military. ST
• [New] The Kremlin hopes the world will believe its war is directed against military objectives, even as Russia's military attacks continue to target civilian centers. The Washington Times
• Everything from US telecommunications infrastructure and intellectual property to America's military position in East Asia are considered to be at risk. Project Syndicate
• Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has threatened to open new fronts and maintain pressure on key maritime chokepoints in response to Israel's ongoing military offensive in Lebanon. Counter Extremism Project
• Some 4.66 million industrial robots are already installed on factory floors worldwide and 83 million jobs are at risk by 2027. industriall-union
• The United States must reevaluate its role as a security guarantor; Iran must resist the temptation to overreach; Israel must balance military capability with diplomatic engagement; and the Gulf states must unify to face shared threats. PRNigeria News
• The Trump administration insists that it needs to be able to plan for two simultaneous conflicts and wants more military resources at hand should a conflict break out with China in the Indo-Pacific region. New York Post
• Longer-running analysis of Ukraine war lessons adds a military modernization layer: Pyongyang is likely studying drone swarms, missile strikes, electronic warfare, and battlefield adaptation as it thinks through how modern war could translate onto the Korean Peninsula. Fault Lines
• Military cooperation with Turkey will increase but Central Asian states will remain sensitive when it comes to how Russia and China could react to its burgeoning infrastructure in security, defence technology, customs integration, and energy connectivity. Manara Magazine
• Defence cooperation is the area where Turkey sees major strategic potential as it seeks to create greater interoperability among Turkic states and gradually promote its military standards, technology, and equipment. Manara Magazine

Last updated: 28 June 2026