Future Jobs

A Future Prognosis

Athena @ Shaping Tomorrow

13 November 2024
Introduction
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Contents
User Guide
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Sources
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World Outlook
Main factors that cause something to happen globally
Payment giant Visa is moving to restructure its global business operations, a process that will see around 1,400 job layoffs by the end of 2024. Fintech Singapore
The transition to green hydrogen could support around 2 million jobs globally per year between 2030 and 2050. Trade Horizons
300 million full-time jobs across the globe could be disrupted - not necessarily replaced - by AI in the coming years. Insider
Global regions, coloured according to number of forecasts
SWOT
Strengths
  • Companies like ours need affordable and abundant hydrogen fuel to start the cycle of growth that could generate thousands more manufacturing jobs here in the UK. Intelligent Energy Limited
  • Southeast Florida is anticipated to enjoy continued economic growth, with job increases projected at 2.4% in 2025, boosted by strong business confidence and reduced tax rates such as changes to the Florida Business Rent Tax. Norada Real Estate Investments
  • Less than half of available quantum jobs will be filled by 2025, with global demand being driven by the burgeoning start-up sector as well as enterprise firms that are assembling their own teams to explore the potential of quantum technologies for transforming their businesses. Physics World
Weaknesses
  • Artificial intelligence could displace between 1m and 3m private sector jobs in the UK, though the ultimate rise in unemployment will be in the low hundreds of thousands as growth in the technology also creates new roles. The Guardian
  • The preliminary forecast for October is that the Australian economy will add 20,000 jobs, with the unemployment rate expected to edge up to 4.2%. IG
  • Job opportunities are limited, and Israel's more than yearlong war against Hezbollah militants in nearby Lebanon has added to the sense of isolation. South Central Florida Life
Opportunities
  • Five suppliers, including EPG, Longmotive, Cooltech, Morimatsu Dialog, and Wasion Energy, pledged a combined RM360 million to build new factories in Malaysia, expected to create over 700 local jobs. Antara
  • The Canadarm3 that Canada will build as a part of its contribution to Artemis requires mastery of not just robotics but also artificial intelligence, two technical areas that can create jobs, inspire innovation and help Canadians compete in a marketplace disrupted by emerging technology.
  • The ILO-ITU Digital Skills for Decent Jobs for Youth Campaign aims to mobilize the political will and resources to equip five million young men and women with job-ready digital skills by 2030 in support of the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals. ITU
Threats
  • Presenting oneself as competent with AI knowledge becomes a strategy for job security as well, with 41% of employees saying how they fear being left behind if they do not know how to leverage AI in a study conducted by Canva. SpringerLink
  • Increased tariffs - potentially affecting upwards of 60% of imports from China, among other countries - could lead to broader economic disruptions, including job losses and rising consumer prices. The Pinnacle Gazette
  • AI will be a key disruptor, but other factors, like the push for green initiatives, will disrupt a quarter of jobs by 2027. Skedda
Influencers
Countries
Cities
People
Organizations
S-Curve

A framework that describes a 4-phase level of maturity to help determine potential and inform innovation strategy.

Weak
job, autonomous, artificial intelligence, augmented reality, automation, autonomous car
Emerging
artificial intelligence, job, automation, EV, 5G, economy
Maturing
job, economy, clean, GDP, growth, company
Declining
job, economy, automation, GDP, company, employment
Sentiment
Past Year: More Positive
Compare changing sentiment to a benchmark of all forecasts
By 2025, AI and automation could displace 85 million jobs globally. Thoughtful
AI could potentially replace around 300 million jobs worldwide by 2030. DataCamp
PEST
Political
  • The digital health industry could do a better job of bridging the gap between research and commercialization. MedCity News
  • As loyalists take over regulatory agencies, filling not only political but also former civil-service jobs, American skies will become more polluted, American food more dangerous. The Atlantic
  • To-date, Bipartisan Infrastructure Law funding has been used to complete the weatherization of over 3,000 dwelling units, and over 220,000 more are expected to be weatherized over the coming years, supporting clean energy jobs and saving households hundreds of dollars every year on average.
Economic
  • Threaten tariffs in the hope that foreign companies will invest more money in the US such as building new manufacturing facilities in North America and creating more jobs for Americans. IFA Magazine
  • Sustainable aviation fuel is a key part of the decarbonization of air travel and a domestic SAF industry will create jobs, wealth and help the UK secure its energy independence. GOV.UK
  • Almost two out of five senior investment executives at UK charities expect their organization to cut jobs in 2025. Third SectorMainNet
Social
  • In New York, Micron says its new megafab will directly employ nine thousand people and support tens of thousands more jobs in the broader community. Council on Foreign Relations
  • As China's population ages, people are increasingly expected to work into later life, with Beijing recently raising the retirement age to 63 for men and 55 or 58 for women, depending on job sector. ABC News
  • Afforestation and reforestation activities like the new National Reforestation Strategy under the Bipartisan Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act of 2021, which plans to plant a billion trees across national forests over the next ten years, are likely to deliver large mitigation potential. Nature
Technological
  • 60% of all jobs could see at least one-third of their core activities automated by 2030. The CDO TIMES
  • Finnish Nokia Friday unveiled a manufacturing facility for 5G receivers, Wi-Fi routers and fiber-to-the-home termination devices, and expects to ship nearly 10 million devices every year, and create as many as 3,000 direct jobs. ETTelecom
  • The aviation sector will continue to be a key driver of economic growth for Singapore and provide more and better jobs for Singaporeans. DFNI
Financial Impact
With cross-border commerce expected to reach $290 trillion by 2030 and many jobs no longer being region-specific, it's finally time for us to solve how we move money. Blockworks
By 2030, the shortage of developers worldwide could reach a staggering 85.2 million job vacancies, posing a significant risk to companies internationally and potentially leading to revenue losses exceeding $8.4 trillion. IT News Africa | Business Technology, Telecoms and Star
In the EU, reaching net-zero before 2050 could unlock between €5trn and €6.1trn in growth, supporting 1.2 million to 1.4 million jobs annually. Edie
Click on the dots or the lines to see the connections
System Map
Organizations
Sectors
Cities
Countries
People
Scenarios
Creates plausible alternative futures of what can happen and encourages development of a robust, agile response
Payment giant Visa is moving to restructure its global business operations, a process that will see around 1,400 job layoffs by the end of 2024. Fintech Singapore
Artificial intelligence technologies could lead to the creation of about 97 million new jobs worldwide by 2025, outpacing the approximately 85 million jobs displaced to technology or machines. Washington State Standard
By 2030, up to 375 million people, or approximately 14% of the global workforce, may need to shift jobs due to the deployment of automation and AI. SpringerLink
Warnings
Changing proportion of published forecasts
Up to 800 million people worldwide could be displaced by automation and need to find new jobs by 2030. Fortune
Automation could displace up to 800 million jobs globally by 2030. AI with Armand
Solutions
Know how others are tackling issues with this topic
A research organization, robots could replace up to 20 million jobs globally by 2030. Centre for International Governance Innovation
In the updated Net Zero Emissions by 2050 Scenario - which provides a global energy sector pathway consistent with limiting global warming to 1.5 °C - 30 million new clean energy jobs are created by 2030, while close to 13 million jobs in fossil fuel-related industries are at risk. Energy Connects
The research bolsters European Commission efforts to develop the virtual-worlds domain, which could provide 860000 new jobs in Europe this decade as the worldwide sector grows from €27 billion in 2022. Robothub
Key topics
Extremes
Investigate what’s transforming or collapsing
By 2030, the majority of the world's extreme poor, which includes a large proportion of displaced people, will live in fragile and conflict affected states - so job creation in fragile settings has the significant potential to address poverty. World Bank Blogs
Climate change could push an additional 100 million people into extreme poverty, drive 130 million more into chronic hunger, and result in the global loss of 72 million full-time jobs by 2030. International Institute for Environment and Development
By 2030, extreme weather events could jeopardise $65 billion worth of apparel exports and eliminate nearly one million jobs in four economies that are among the most central to the global fashion industry - in Bangladesh, Cambodia, Pakistan and Vietnam. The Business of Fashion
What's Next
Changing proportion of material mentioning future years
All jobs will undergo transformation in the coming five years and data will be at the center of it. Citizen Matters
Five million jobs in the world's leading economies could disappear over the next five years. MarketWatch
Questions
Can?
How can we ensure flexibility, and job security, alongside equal opportunities in new fields? European Institute for Gender Equality
Which jobs can not AI replace? Bombay Softwares
How can food and agriculture serve as an engine of sustainable growth and jobs? World Bank Live
How?
How will automation affect white-collar jobs? Torque IT
How will AI agents impact jobs? Forbes
How will the federal government work with provinces to address the negative labour impacts caused by the immigration cuts on sectors that are already struggling to fill jobs? SenCanada
Who?
Who will be positioned to benefit from the new jobs that will be created? Brookings
Any partingwords of wisdom for marketers and business leaders who want to do a better job of marketing toHispanic consumers and serving them as customers? Hubspot
What about the thousands of people who will lose jobs at Klarna and others that take a cue from Siemiatkowski about the value of human capital? The Register
What?
What jobs and skills have the highest potential for AI replacement? ABC News
What are the implications of ROS for workforce dynamics and job displacement? Mobility Foresights
What jobs could emerge from GenAI? THE BLOG
When?
What happens when AI can do every job? C2C Journal
AI is becoming indispensable to job seekers - and recruiters are concerned | Fortune Europe >> Britain's justice system has responded forcefully to the riots >> When will Apple upgrade all of its Macs to M4? Futureseek Link Digest
Why waste time doing and redoing relatively basic jobs like data entry, and even higher-level work like document review, tax calculations, and compliance checks, when tech tools can do it quicker, more comprehensively, and with less risk of human error? Tax & Accounting Blog Posts by Thomson Reuters
Will?
Will Agentforce Disrupt the Salesforce Job Market? Salesforce Ben
Will there be global net job creation or job destruction as a result? Center for Strategic and International Studies
What Will be the Most Significant Impact of GenAI on Jobs? eWeek
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