ChatGPT

A Future Prognosis

Athena @ Shaping Tomorrow

24 March 2023
Introduction
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Contents
User Guide
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Sources
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Twitter Searches
Web Searches
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World Outlook
Main factors that cause something to happen globally
AI will be no different: to truly unlock the potential of ChatGPT, the world will need new and different kinds of organisations. Millennium Post
Although Google runs two of the world's leading AI research groups, it is ChatGPT, a programme quickly developed by a startup that Google perceives as a threat. Enterprise Times
Microsoft has started rolling out the new ChatGPT-powered Bing on desktops to early testers worldwide, and it will also be available on Android and iOS in the coming weeks. International Business Times, Singapore Edition
Global regions, coloured according to number of forecasts
SWOT
Strengths
  • Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates, for example, thinks platforms like ChatGPT represent a burgeoning technological revolution that will make a huge impact on health care and education. / Cuba CNBC
  • Digital art, poems, and books generated using tools like DALL-E, Stable Diffusion, Midjourney, ChatGPT, or even the newly released GPT-4 will not be protected by copyright if they were created by humans using only a text description or prompt. / USA The Register
  • Systems like Bard may help it protect its core search business against ChatGPT and other AI systems that Google reportedly sees as threats. Engadget
Weaknesses
  • Under pressure from Microsoft, which is looking to integrate ChatGPT into all of its applications, Google has announced that it will be adding generative AI into Gmail, Docs and more. Social Media Today
  • Similar to Google, it is difficult to predict the specific effects of AI language models like ChatGPT on Microsoft or any other company. DotCom Magazine
  • While worry about AI x-risk is not new, the rise of powerful large language models such as ChatGPT and Bing Chat - the latter of which looked to be very misaligned but was nonetheless launched - has given the AI alignment community a new sense of urgency. FirstPost
Opportunities
  • Jailbreaking generative text models like ChatGPT, Bing Chat, and future releases from Google and Facebook will be a massive topic of discussion going forward. ApproachableAI
  • OpenAI has rolled out the next iteration of its AI language model, GPT-4, which will become the foundation for ChatGPT and the new Bing. Hindustan Times
  • OpenAI said it would adjust the exact usage cap for GPT-4 via ChatGPT + depending on demand and system performance, but it expects capacity to be severely constrained at first, with plans to scale up over time. AI Business
Threats
  • Most American jobs are at risk of being impacted by AI like ChatGPT. Insider
  • Although OpenAI is an established organization with many years of experience promoting and developing AI systems, the relative immaturity of the ChatGPT application, combined with the lack of security assurance available for OpenAI, can put organizations at risk. Help Net Security
  • All three language models, Microsoft Turing, Google's language models, and OpenAI's ChatGPT, could potentially be vulnerable to attacks and hacks. DotCom Magazine
Influencers
Countries
Cities
People
Organizations
S-Curve

A framework that describes a 4-phase level of maturity to help determine potential and inform innovation strategy.

Weak
literature
Emerging
artificial intelligence, app, Web, company, search, technology
Sentiment
Past Year: Stable
Compare changing sentiment to a benchmark of all forecasts
AI will be no different: to truly unlock the potential of ChatGPT, the world will need new and different kinds of organisations. Millennium Post
The revamping of Microsoft's second-place search engine could give the software giant a head start against other tech companies in capitalising on the worldwide excitement surrounding ChatGPT, a tool that's awakened millions of people to the possibilities of the latest AI technology. Euronews.com
PEST
Political
  • ChatGPT users are continuing to try and find ways to evade programming restrictions. CNBC
  • Potential long-term compliance risks mean Chinese companies would most likely replace ChatGPT with a local alternative, if they could match the U.S.-developed product's functionality. Reuters
  • ChatGPT will take criticism as it gains adoption, sustaining hits that otherwise would have been Google's. Slate
Economic
  • OpenAI said it would adjust the exact usage cap for GPT-4 via ChatGPT + depending on demand and system performance, but it expects capacity to be severely constrained at first, with plans to scale up over time. AI Business
  • ChatGPT could emit about 3.8 tons of carbon dioxide equivalent every single day. Institute of Financial Accountants
  • The search engine Bing now has incorporated ChatGPT which might significantly increase the number of queries ChatGPT should handle, thereby also increasing the electricity consumption. Towards Data Science
Social
  • Microsoft has added guard-rails around the new Bing, which means ChatGPT could be better for creative brainstorming. TechRadar
  • Through ChatGPT, cybercriminals can now quickly and easily craft email or social media phishing lures in a manner that makes it more difficult to tell what's legitimate and what's a threat. Inside Small Business
  • The German media group Axel Springer is already looking to eliminate some roles because its chief executive believes that ChatGPT is the first shot in a revolution that will transform journalism. The New European
Technological
  • Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates, for example, thinks platforms like ChatGPT represent a burgeoning technological revolution that will make a huge impact on health care and education. / Cuba CNBC
  • ChatGPT is currently unavailable in countries like Russia, China, Iran and Ukraine - although, of course, there are always going to be workarounds, like VPNs. Security Boulevard
  • Microsoft will have contributed a total of $13 billion in capital to OpenAI, underscoring how important it believes the technology behind ChatGPT and DALL-E 2 is to its future. Fortune
Financial Impact
ChatGPT and AI could be worth $150 billion in value to Microsoft alone. Insider
Attempts to predict the distant future of AI have recently come to center on ChatGPT and related technology, like Microsoft's new search interface, despite its well-documented limitations and still unclear value. Wired
The next generation of Bloom, an open-source AI model that competes in size and scope with the model that Microsoft-backed OpenAI used to create ChatGPT, will be run on Trainium, a proprietary artificial intelligence chip created by AWS. CNA
Click on the dots or the lines to see the connections
System Map
Organizations
Sectors
Cities
Countries
People
Scenarios
Creates plausible alternative futures of what can happen and encourages development of a robust, agile response
Google runs two of the world's foremost AI research groups, yet a startup quickly developed a product, ChatGPT, that tens of millions of people have already used and that Google's leaders view as a potential threat to its search engine. The Information
The revamping of Microsoft's second-place search engine could give the software giant a head start against other tech companies in capitalizing on the worldwide excitement surrounding ChatGPT, a tool that's awakened millions of people to the possibilities of the latest AI technology. Twin Cities
Audiences have embraced AI through technologies like ChatGPT, which has taken the world by storm and shown the transformational potential of AI. HPCwire
Warnings
Changing proportion of published forecasts
All three language models, Microsoft Turing, Google's language models, and OpenAI's ChatGPT, could potentially be vulnerable to attacks and hacks. DotCom Magazine
A threat actor may have compromised thousands of Facebook accounts - including business accounts - via a sophisticated fake Chrome ChatGPT browser extension which, until earlier this week, was available on Google's official Chrome Store. Dark Reading
Solutions
Know how others are tackling issues with this topic
ChatGPT could ultimately replace Google's search engine, which powers one of the biggest digital ad businesses in the world. Vox
Imagine a world where chatbots like ChatGPT are able to spread misinformation and manipulate people on a massive scale, without anyone being able to tell that they are not human. Slate
AI-powered chatbots such as ChatGPT will impose new regimes of labour and management atop the labour required to carry out the supposedly labor-saving effort. The Walrus
Key topics
Extremes
Investigate what’s transforming or collapsing
Ultimately, Gildenberg said AI innovations like ChatGPT will continue to be a big deal as the world becomes more digital. Modern Retail
Ultimately, a combined human-bot approach, offering customers the choice to speak to either a human agent or a chatbot powered by the likes of ChatGPT, will offer a 'best of both worlds' solution, helping businesses embed versatile communications into their day-to-day operations. Information Age
Cesspools of automatically-generated fake websites, rather than ChatGPT search, may ultimately come to be the single biggest threat that Google ever faces. Communications of the ACM
What's Next
Changing proportion of material mentioning future years
In the coming years, specialized models will emerge and outperform ChatGPT on specific use-cases. Kaspersky
The speed of improvement for ChatGPT will probably begin in just a year. designnews.com
Questions
Can?
What does the emergence of chatgpt mean for the job market and how we can best mitigate the damage it might do? Times of India
What can ChatGPT tell us itself about the future of AI? Information Age
What can artificial intelligence like ChatGPT do? Study International Staff
How?
How will language modelers like chatgpt affect occupations and industries? Arxiv
How will ChatGPT affect BI/Analytics? Medium
How will ChatGPT change the landscape of higher education? News Center
Who?
Who are the major competitors to ChatGPT in China? China Briefing News
What?
What are some ways that health systems could use artificial intelligence technology such as ChatGPT to augment care and provider operations? Modern Healthcare
What sort of thing could ChatGPT provide in the cars of the future? Evening Standard
What Are the Risks of Using ChatGPT and Other AI Text Generators? The University of Arizona Global Campus
When?
What happens when people start to believe language models and their interfaces like ChatGPT are not only 'like humans,' but that they reveal some hidden truth? Transport Times
In the age of AI and technology like ChatGPT, what are the one or two human skills most likely to be needed in the future when AI becomes even more widespread and powerful? ASCD
But more When will ChatGPT or an AI replace my job? TechNave
Will?
Will ChatGPT-like AI change the way people apply for jobs? Personnel Today
Will GM's ChatGPT car-specific layer become unhinged, driving users straight into a wreck? Blogger
Will ChatGPT limit human creativity and potential? Transport Times
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