A Future Prognosis

Athena @ Shaping Tomorrow

28 September 2023
This set of automatically curated slides provides an instant overview about possible futures to help inform present day strategy, and for you to act on opportunities and risks and mitigate threats in a timely manner. Learn more.

You can also

If you'd like to create your own set of slides like these, just search for your topic of interest and then click "Publish".
User Guide
Click on the blue source names to view the original evidence.
Click on the donut charts or use the selection options below to change views.
Click on words in the clouds to view more details about it.
Press "F" for full-screen
Press "Esc" for overview
RSS Feeds
Twitter Searches
Web Searches
Twitter Feeds
World Outlook
Main factors that cause something to happen globally
The advent of generative AI, which includes chatbots such as OpenAI's ChatGPT and Google's Bard, has triggered concern that the technology could replace jobs, leading governments around the world to scramble to understand AI tools and respond. The Washington Post
The world is abuzz with discussions about how artificial intelligence will change the future of work, especially now that tools like ChatGPT offer conversation-based problem-solving. Ceridian
OPENAI' S CHATGPT language processing tool set the world aflame upon its release last November, instantly boosting AI's disruption of how industries of all kinds do business. Incisal Edge - Strategies to Accelerate Success
Global regions, coloured according to number of forecasts
  • Some threat actors have taken to jailbreaking (or modifying to remove manufacturer restrictions) bots like ChatGPT to get around the preset restrictions and ethical guidelines put in place by OpenAI. Venafi
  • Lawmakers are seeking ways to mitigate dangers of the emerging technology, which has boomed in investment and consumer popularity since the release of OpenAI's ChatGPT chatbot. / USA Reuters
  • If confidential patient information, such as medical records or personal health details, is shared with ChatGPT, it could potentially violate legal obligations and patient privacy rights protected by laws like HIPAA in the United States. IBM Blog
  • ChatGPT Enterprise is a significant step in that transition, giving large companies the confidence they need to integrate GPT-4 into their day-to-day operations with less worry that OpenAI will ingest proprietary information. OpenAI Launches ChatGPT Enterprise
  • Firms like Apple and Samsung have banned the use of ChatGPT due to concerns that employees might unintentionally leak sensitive information to OpenAI. Fortune
  • Employees' use of public AI websites such as ChatGPT is the source behind the data privacy, intellectual property, and cybersecurity fears that have executives worried. insideBIGDATA
  • The ChatGPT-led generative AI revolution has been the biggest business story of 2023, and its disruption is also being felt in human resource departments. The HR Director
  • ChatGPT, OpenAI's revolutionary language model, has the potential to transform various industries and real-life scenarios by improving conversational AI. TechBullion
  • With the ever-increasing global connectivity and demand for multilingual capabilities in technology products, it is highly likely that OpenAI will expand ChatGPT's language abilities soon. TechBullion
  • Apple is working on developing AI tools that could rival options like OpenAI or ChatGPT. Yahoo News
  • Just as in 2023 has seen the likes of Google and Microsoft move to catch up with OpenAI's ChatGPT, gaming companies will be keen to make the most of the power of AI so not to risk being left behind. Sky News
  • The ChatGPT-like AI assistant leverages Microsoft's threat intelligence footprint to facilitate quicker decision-making during incident response, threat hunting, and security reporting. Dataconomy

A framework that describes a 4-phase level of maturity to help determine potential and inform innovation strategy.

artificial intelligence, literature, quantum
artificial intelligence, app, application, company, actor, Web
economy, organization
Past Year: Stable
Compare changing sentiment to a benchmark of all forecasts
The advent of generative AI, which includes chatbots such as OpenAI's ChatGPT and Google's Bard, has triggered concern that the technology could replace jobs, leading governments around the world to scramble to understand AI tools and respond. The Washington Post
A backer of ChatGPT-maker OpenAI, Microsoft surged 42% in the first half and will battle it out with Alphabet for the title of the world's chatbot leader. CNBC
  • According to a recent Thomson Reuters Institute survey report on gen AI use among law firms, 15% of law firm respondents said their firms have issued a warning around generative AI or ChatGPT usage at work, including 21% at large law firms and 11% at Midsize law firms. Thomson Reuters Institute
  • Chatbots such as ChatGPT could produce bespoke disinformation targeted at voters in individual constituencies. / UK The Guardian
  • Although OpenAI introduced restrictions to prevent ChatGPT from being used for malicious purposes, threat actors are finding ways to get around them. eSentire
  • ChatGPT sent Nvidia's revenue soaring past Qualcomm's in August, and Apple is working on its own modems for iPhones in 2024. CNBC
  • ChatGPT maker OpenAI is likely to go bankrupt by the end of 2024 if it does not get more funding soon.
  • ChatGPT is expected to generate $200 million in revenue in 2023 and $1 billion in 2024. StartUs Insights
  • If a Japanese version of ChatGPT can be made accurate, it is expected to bring better results for people who want to learn Japanese or conduct research on Japan. Nature Medicine
  • ChatGPT represents a potential threat to recipe websites, which have spent years fine-tuning their pages to appear at the top of Google's search results. The Telegraph
  • Perhaps the only use case that really seemed compelling to either of us economically was search (e.g., using Bing powered by ChatGPT instead of Google Search) - but the technical problems there are immense; there is no reason to think that the hallucination problem will be solved soon. Communications of the ACM
  • OpenAI's ChatGPT is getting a major update that will enable the viral chatbot to have voice conversations with users and interact using images, moving it closer to popular artificial intelligence assistants like Apple's Siri. DAWN.COM
  • The ChatGPT-led generative AI revolution has been the biggest business story of 2023, and its disruption is also being felt in human resource departments. The HR Director
  • ChatGPT, OpenAI's revolutionary language model, has the potential to transform various industries and real-life scenarios by improving conversational AI. TechBullion
Financial Impact
OpenAI's revenue is expected to reach $200 million by 2023 and $1 billion by 2024, mainly driven by ChatGPT. Bloggingio
ChatGPT and AI could be worth $150 billion in value to Microsoft alone. Insider
If Google's Gemini is able even to come close to, let alone exceed, the effectiveness and success of ChatGPT, we could see a major shake-up in the AI niche, as well as improvements to ChatGPT. BGR
Click on the dots or the lines to see the connections
System Map
Creates plausible alternative futures of what can happen and encourages development of a robust, agile response
Goldman Sachs economists put out a report in late November that AI platforms such as ChatGPT could eventually displace 300 million jobs around the globe - mostly professional jobs such as lawyers, accountants and administrative professionals. The Messenger
As the world wakes up to the potential uses - and dangers - of artificial intelligence apps such as ChatGPT, malware writers have already started to use the technology to develop new tools. Information Security Buzz
Threat actors are exploiting global interest in ChatGPT to lure the public into installing malware. MSSP Alert
Changing proportion of published forecasts
AI will be no different: to truly unlock the potential of ChatGPT, the world will need new and different kinds of organisations. Millennium Post
Japan's privacy watchdog issued a warning to OpenAI about collecting sensitive data without permission in June, while Italy temporarily banned the use of ChatGPT after alleging it breached various European Union privacy laws in April. CoinTelegraph
Know how others are tackling issues with this topic
In the years ahead, generative AI including ChatGPT could disrupt - not necessarily replace - 300 million full-time jobs across the globe. Insider
As many as 300 million full-time jobs in the world, including two-thirds of jobs in the U.S. and Europe, are at risk of being replaced in some way by generative artificial intelligence, the technology behind tools like ChatGPT. Observer
The revamping of Microsoft's second-place search engine could give the software giant a head start against other tech companies in capitalising on the worldwide excitement surrounding ChatGPT, a tool that's awakened millions of people to the possibilities of the latest AI technology.
Key topics
Investigate what’s transforming or collapsing
ChatGPT could ultimately replace Google's search engine, which powers one of the biggest digital ad businesses in the world. Vox
Now Nasa engineers say they are developing their own ChatGPT-style interface that could ultimately allow astronauts to talk to their spacecraft and mission controllers to converse with artificial intelligence-powered robots exploring distant planets and moons. The Guardian
Ultimately, Gildenberg said AI innovations like ChatGPT will continue to be a big deal as the world becomes more digital. Modern Retail
What's Next
Changing proportion of material mentioning future years
At present, ChatGPT can not replace experienced networking professionals for even slightly complex issues, but it would not be alarmist to suggest that it might result in the obsolescence of many subreddits and Stack Overflow threads in the coming years. VentureBeat
One thing that is clear is that new technology, such as generative artificial intelligence tools like ChatGPT, promise to bring about massive changes in the coming years in ways we can not even yet imagine. Forbes
Similar to ChatGPT, Ernie can respond to queries such as write a market analysis report on space travel and answer questions like Can quantum computers help us colonize Mars? Business Insider
How can PPC practitioners use generative AI tools like ChatGPT to boost their campaign management and optimization efforts? Search Engine Land
How can supply chain professionals benefit from ChatGPT? Supply Chain 24/7
How do we maintain the spark of creativity in light of ChatGPT and other AI advancements? Wheaton College
The answers to How blockchain developers can use ChatGPT? 101 Blockchains
The answers to How will generative AI and ChatGPT change the world? 101 Blockchains
Who are the major competitors to ChatGPT in China? China Briefing News
Given the hype around ChatGPT and the generative AI it is based on, a natural question that arises is what are the limits of the technology and what practical problems can it solve for? The Fintech Times
What are the ethical issues surrounding the use of artificial intelligence, specifically programs such as ChatGPT, Microsoft's Bing A.I. chatbot, Google's Bard, Harvey, or CaseText CoCounsel? - The Blog of the San Diego County Bar Association
The rise of ChatGPT has not only made people more productive, and threatened many jobs, but it has also given rise to many existential questions - with a computer program now displaying human-like intelligence, what does it mean to be human? OfficeChai
What ChatGPT means for developers - Will ChatGPT replace software developers, or will it make their jobs more enjoyable by doing the heavy lifting when it comes to writing boilerplate code, debugging and testing? Information Age
What happens when people start to believe language models and their interfaces like ChatGPT are not only 'like humans,' but that they reveal some hidden truth? Transport Times
In the age of AI and technology like ChatGPT, what are the one or two human skills most likely to be needed in the future when AI becomes even more widespread and powerful? ASCD
Where do AI's limits lie - and where will successful PR strategies shine in the age of ChatGPT? TechCrunch
In the age of generative AIs like ChatGPT-4, should we even presume that markets will facilitate the decentralised use of information? Jordan Times
Will OpenAI Define the Future of Generative AI and ChatGPT? 101 Blockchains
Shaping Tomorrow Foresight

Shaping Tomorrow is a full-service foresight and collective intelligence company, offering expert panels, deep-dives, workshops and keynote speeches in addition to its horizon scanning services. Feel free to contact us at any time. You can ask for telephone training and to discuss your needs. We value your ideas, comments, encouragement and criticisms.