ChatGPT

A Future Prognosis

Athena @ Shaping Tomorrow

13 November 2024
Introduction
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Contents
User Guide
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Sources
RSS Feeds
Twitter Searches
Web Searches
Twitter Feeds
World Outlook
Main factors that cause something to happen globally
If 2023 was the year of ChatGPT, then 2024 will be the year when the world recovers from the shock of generative AI and takes stock of what the technology offers. The Guardian
ChatGPT, personal recommendations on Netflix and a virtual assistant like Siri or Alexa: it is already hard to imagine a world without AI. Tech Xplore
While the proposed AI Act is yet to be ratified by member states and will not come into force until at least in 2025, it is set to be the world's first comprehensive laws regulating artificial intelligence, governing the use of technologies such as facial recognition and ChatGPT. THIIS Magazine
Global regions, coloured according to number of forecasts
SWOT
Strengths
  • The advantage of large language models like ChatGPT is it could be used as a complementary tool which does not require specific training. Tech Xplore
  • If 2023 was the year AI made its comeback with tools like ChatGPT and self-learning algorithms dominating the headlines, 2024 and 2025 are shaping up to be the years where AI-driven cryptocurrencies explode into the mainstream like EarthMeta. Brave New Coin
  • X's bot, Grok, has gained attention due to Elon Musk pitching it as a funny / vulgar alternative to traditional AI, playing on the fact that with over half of ChatGPT users talking to AI like it's a real person, giving Grok a strong personality might appeal to users. Gwi
Weaknesses
  • OpenAI plans to launch a new version of Voice Mode with GPT-4o in alpha within ChatGPT Plus in the coming weeks and support for GPT-4o's audio and video capabilities will initially be limited to a small group of trusted partners. Forbes
  • There may be some risks for businesses, especially since OpenAI acknowledges the current limitations of ChatGPT and artificial intelligence in general, like the possibility of incorrect or biased information or privacy concerns.
  • Microsoft's funded ChatGPT continues to expand in new areas that could potentially hurt even its largest investor's business, but it poses more threat to Google. Windows Latest
Opportunities
  • On Thursday, OpenAI announced a new feature of ChatGPT that could potentially replace Google Search for some people: an upgraded web search capability for its AI assistant that provides answers with source attribution during conversations. Ars Technica
  • OpenAI has introduced a much-anticipated chat history search feature for its ChatGPT web app, making it easier for users to locate and revisit past conversations. India TV News
  • Italian researchers discovered they could use ChatGPT to fabricate fake but convincing medical research data. CNet
Threats
  • While ChatGPT search may not immediately threaten Google, its arrival will likely cause the search giant to reevaluate its approach to a rapidly-shifting web. The Independent
  • As the hype surrounding generative artificial intelligence such as OpenAI's ChatGPT continues to build, law firms have become increasingly interested in understanding its myriad risks and benefits in the unique context of legal work.
  • The ChatGPT maker is expecting $5 billion in losses on $3.7 billion in revenue in 2024. AIM
Influencers
Countries
Cities
People
Organizations
S-Curve

A framework that describes a 4-phase level of maturity to help determine potential and inform innovation strategy.

Weak
artificial intelligence, humanoid, literature, quantum
Emerging
artificial intelligence, application, company, app, data, actor
Maturing
economy, organization
Declining
IT, agriculture
Sentiment
Past Year: More Negative
Compare changing sentiment to a benchmark of all forecasts
If 2023 was the year of ChatGPT, then 2024 will be the year when the world recovers from the shock of generative AI and takes stock of what the technology offers. The Guardian
Experts across the world have been warning about the role of tools like ChatGPT will have in fabricating fake news and influencing public opinion during the biggest election year in history. TechRadar
PEST
Political
  • GPT-4o will be accessible to all ChatGPT users, with paid subscribers having access to five times the rate limits of free users. Ars Technica
  • LAS VEGAS-Volkswagen will integrate ChatGPT into its vehicles in the second quarter of 2024, making it the first large car manufacturer to offer it as a standard feature. PCMAG
  • With DePINs, there's potential for the emergence of decentralized equivalents to Uber or Airbnb and democratic alternatives to platforms like ChatGPT, which are fueled and owned by their contributors. Metaverse Post
Economic
  • The number of monthly users of its chatbot ChatGPT, OpenAI's main source of revenue, more than tripled between March and June of 2024, and ChatGPT's revenue is expected to quadruple to $2.7 billion in 2024. Investopedia
  • OpenAI is reportedly telling investors that it plans on charging $22 a month to use ChatGPT by the end of the year. Engadget
  • With a single ChatGPT answer using as much electricity as it takes to power a lightbulb for 20 minutes - 10 times as much as a Google search - GenAI is not going to be without its own problems in its current form. Consultancy.uk
Social
  • The U.S. is home to the largest ChatGPT user base, expected to increase to 87.9 million users by 2025. Ookla
  • The power required to reply to hundreds of millions of ChatGPT queries each day could power 33,000 households in the U.S. alone. Yahoo Tech
  • Pakistan's education system is ailing, and the presence of ChatGPT may increase the risk of its unethical use. The Nation
Technological
  • Samsung's upcoming Galaxy phones could feature ChatGPT-like generative AI and will likely be out around early 2024.
  • The most powerful AI models, like ChatGPT 4 and Google's Gemini, will face extra scrutiny. SKY
  • OpenAI is delaying its ChatGPT-5 model to 2025 due to limitations on available computing power. Tom's Hardware
Financial Impact
For perspective, the levels of consumer spend are still modest for a company that is now valued at close to USD $160 billion, but consumer in-app revenues only represent a tiny fraction of the ChatGPT opportunity, especially when compared with potential enterprise sales. DataReportal - Global Digital Insights
OpenAI is reportedly negotiating a fresh round of funding that could value the ChatGPT maker at $100 billion. ResearchBuzz
Apple is considering investing in the ChatGPT maker during its next funding round - one that will value OpenAI at more than $100 billion. AOL
Click on the dots or the lines to see the connections
System Map
Organizations
Sectors
Cities
Countries
People
Scenarios
Creates plausible alternative futures of what can happen and encourages development of a robust, agile response
While the world focuses on the AI arms race fueled by cloud-based behemoths like ChatGPT and PaLM, Apple might be brewing a quieter revolution within the confines of its sleek devices. GizChina Media
The UK, the US, and India - the world's most populous nation - are just three of the countries set to hold elections in 2024, each for the first time since powerful generative AI tools like ChatGPT and Midjourney went mainstream. Sky News
The datasphere - all the data that exists in the world - will explode as a function of metadata created by AI such as ChatGPT. Morningstar UK
Warnings
Changing proportion of published forecasts
ChatGPT declares that three years later in 2073, the world is almost entirely vegan, foreshadowing the animal agriculture industry completely collapsing in 2075, and any animal-related farming being obsolete. Plant Based News
Goldman Sachs economists put out a report in late November that AI platforms such as ChatGPT could eventually displace 300 million jobs around the globe - mostly professional jobs such as lawyers, accountants and administrative professionals. The Messenger
Solutions
Know how others are tackling issues with this topic
There is a fear of missing out among companies, S&P Global argues - that they might adopt too late what turns out to be a foundationally transformative technology - that is helping drive ChatGPT's rapid uptake. Engadget
There is a fear of missing out among companies, S&P Global argues - that they might adopt too late what turns out to be a foundationally transformative technology - that is helping drive ChatGPT's rapid uptake. Engadget
The advent of generative AI, which includes chatbots such as OpenAI's ChatGPT and Google's Bard, has triggered concern that the technology could replace jobs, leading governments around the world to scramble to understand AI tools and respond. The Washington Post
Key topics
Extremes
Investigate what’s transforming or collapsing
ChatGPT could ultimately replace Google's search engine, which powers one of the biggest digital ad businesses in the world. Vox
Now Nasa engineers say they are developing their own ChatGPT-style interface that could ultimately allow astronauts to talk to their spacecraft and mission controllers to converse with artificial intelligence-powered robots exploring distant planets and moons. The Guardian
Ultimately, Gildenberg said AI innovations like ChatGPT will continue to be a big deal as the world becomes more digital. Modern Retail
What's Next
Changing proportion of material mentioning future years
Tech advances fueled by generative A.I. such as ChatGPT could affect approximately 300 million jobs worldwide over the next decade, and that around two-thirds of US occupations are vulnerable. The University of Chicago Booth School of Business
Tech advances fueled by generative A.I. such as ChatGPT could affect approximately 300 million jobs worldwide over the next decade. The University of Chicago Booth School of Business
Questions
Can?
Why rely on under-staffed and under-funded school systems to teach our children when the internet offers access to all the world's information, and tools like search engines, countless apps and ChatGPT that can guide them in the processing and use of it? ABC Religion & Ethics
How can we create a digital grimoire with ChatGPT that captures the spirit of a Magickal diary while embracing the advancements of the modern world? PDFCOFFEE.COM
With advancements in AI, some might be tempted to switch from Dr. Google to Dr. ChatGPT, but can OpenAI's AI-powered chatbot provide accurate medical advice? Tech Xplore
How?
How might ChatGPT affect engineering education assessment methods, and how might it be used to facilitate learning? MDPI
How does ChatGPT evaluate the value of spatial information in the 4th industrial revolution? SpringerLink
How have generative AI and ChatGPT changed the US government's microchip priorities? Wired
Who?
LLMs such as OpenAI's GPT-4, Google's Gemini, and Anthropic's Claude have become very popular among the general internet audience, especially when consumed via easy-to-use interfaces like ChatGPT for getting fast answers to queries such as Who is the first president of the U.S.? Dataversity
Who are the major competitors to ChatGPT in China? China Briefing News
What?
While ChatGPT and other generative AI apps are rising in usage, what sort of impact are they really having on actual, practical usage trends? Social Media Today
What if an AI system could be more flexible, like a large language model such as ChatGPT, performing a variety of diagnostic tasks across multiple cancer types? NIH Director's Blog
What would be the impact of generative AI like ChatGPT on hospitality? AAET
When?
We hate when humans act like robots, so could artificial intelligence-based innovations like ChatGPT really provide customer service in a call center? The Financial Brand
For all of the hype around generative AI, when will consumers have a ChatGPT-like service within their financial services website and mobile app? Forbes
What ChatGPT means for developers - Will ChatGPT replace software developers, or will it make their jobs more enjoyable by doing the heavy lifting when it comes to writing boilerplate code, debugging and testing? Information Age
Will?
Will ChatGPT Search spell the end of traditional search engines like Google? Dataconomy
Will ChatGPT make the already troubling income and wealth inequality in the US and many other countries even worse, or could it in fact provide a much-needed boost to productivity? MIT Technology Review
AI moves Apple can make at WWDC to leapfrog the competition | ZDNET >> Will Siri Become More Like ChatGPT? Futureseek Link Digest
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