2030

A Future Prognosis

Matt Richardson

13 November 2024
Introduction
This set of automatically curated slides provides an instant overview about possible futures to help inform present day strategy, and for you to act on opportunities and risks and mitigate threats in a timely manner. Learn more.

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Contents
User Guide
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Sources
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World Outlook
Main factors that cause something to happen globally
Resource Mobilization: A new Strategy for Resource Mobilization was developed to secure USD 200 billion annually by 2030 for biodiversity initiatives globally. EDUREV.IN
Globalists have been pushing for DPI to be rolled out globally for large-scale adoption by 2030, ostensibly to fight climate change. Technocracy News
Achieving a sustainable forest-based bioeconomy can support enhanced efforts towards halting and reversing deforestation and forest degradation by 2030 as recognized in the first global stocktake of the Paris Agreement, while contributing to achievement of the SDGs and the Global Forest Goals. ClimateChange
Global regions, coloured according to number of forecasts
SWOT
Strengths
  • Countries that adopt robust digital identity systems could see economic gains of 3% to 13% of GDP by 2030. MEF
  • If - as in the jet-stream scenario - the gains from AI are larger than we currently imagine and firms are keen to exploit it even more quickly, the 2030s could be a decade of very strong economic growth for the UK. Tony Blair Institute
  • Strong re-employment effects quickly limit the cumulative rise in technological unemployment, with unemployment peaking at 290,000 in 2035 before rapidly falling. Tony Blair Institute
Weaknesses
  • With corporate companies under pressure to meet ambitious carbon reduction targets by 2030, ESG (Environmental, Social Governance) credentials and capabilities are becoming critical elements of the event buying decision process. micebook.
  • The EU's 2030 CO2 emissions targets seem increasingly unrealistic, while new, stricter limits will begin in 2025: 94 grams of CO2 per kilometer, down from the current 116 grams. Polyestertime
  • Specific waste reduction targets for plastic packaging - 10% by 2030, 15% by 2035, and 20% by 2030 - are envisioned by MEPs, with minimum percentages of recycled content to be mandated by packaging type with 2030 and 2040 targets.
Opportunities
  • The U.S. Department of Energy under the Biden Administration is supporting green hydrogen development and hopes to drive costs down to $1 per kilogram by 2030. EnergyTech
  • For urban communities, exposure to floods is expected to grow 20% by 2025 and another 20% by 2030. allAfrica.com
  • The UK connection queue has enough projects to hit 5 4GW by 2030, but NESO said that reaching even the lowest level of 4 3GW will be challenging. Ocean and Coastal Futures
Threats
  • By 2030, annual losses from global heating and natural disasters could reach over 430 billion dollars. allAfrica.com
  • For many African nations, by 2030, severe hardships like droughts could exacerbate poverty, potentially affecting about 118 million individuals. The Pinnacle Gazette
  • The World Health Organization identified depression as the third largest contributor to the global disease burden as early as 2008 and projected that it could become the leading cause of the diseased burden by 2030. BioMed Central
Influencers
Countries
Cities
People
Organizations
S-Curve

A framework that describes a 4-phase level of maturity to help determine potential and inform innovation strategy.

Weak
airplane, autonomous, Mars, computer, market, augmented reality
Emerging
EV, artificial intelligence, battery, car, hydrogen, 5G
Maturing
emission, carbon, country, demand, market, electricity
Declining
emission, coal, carbon, CO2, country, demand
Sentiment
Past Year: Stable
Compare changing sentiment to a benchmark of all forecasts
Resource Mobilization: A new Strategy for Resource Mobilization was developed to secure USD 200 billion annually by 2030 for biodiversity initiatives globally. EDUREV.IN
AI could displace approximately 400 million workers or around 15% of the global workforce between 2016 and 2030. Kuensel Online
PEST
Political
  • Despite growing regulation, 63% of brands are behind on 2030 decarbonization targets and just 18% of fashion executives consider sustainability a top risk for 2025, compared to 29% in 2024. Retail Times
  • Significant international investments and geopolitical changes are presenting India with the opportunity to be a more cost-effective substitute for China, predicting India's automotive sector to be worth USD 1 trillion by 2035. KPMG
  • The EU Climate Law sets ambitious targets for greenhouse gas emission reductions: a net 55% reduction below 1990 levels by 2030 and climate neutrality by 2050, to deliver European commitments under the international Paris agreement. Positive News
Economic
  • Solar PV is set to be the driving force behind the world's rapid expansion of renewable power capacity installations in the coming decade, with solar set to account for 80% of the 5,500 GW of new clean energy additions made by 2030. PV Tech
  • The growth of the Space industry is staggering and is currently projected to be worth an estimated $1.8 trillion by 2035. MTA
  • To meet the aviation industry target of 10% SAF usage by 2030, continued Sencirc, SAF production would need to accelerate to 10 billion gallons (37.8 billion liters) per year, more than 60 times IATA's estimate of 158.5 million gallons (600 million liters) of SAF produced in 2023. GreenAir News
Social
  • By 2030, healthcare will shift to a network of connected care hubs, with hospitals focusing on complex cases and other treatments moving to smaller centers like retail clinics and patients' homes. Web and Mobile App Development Company | Bitcot
  • The Philippines commits to ensure that at least 3% of the general fund is allocated for child-protection programs, particularly, in a line item to be monitored through different sectors and with annual budget increases from 2024 to 2030. Journal Online
  • The global study reported a 50% decrease in the colon cancer mortality rates and a 59% increase in the rectal cancer mortality rates from 2013 to 2035.
Technological
  • By 2030, mobile fintech app penetration will reach 60%, with the Philippines expected to maintain its leadership position at 72%, followed closely by Indonesia and Malaysia. Tech Collective
  • The journey from 5G to 6G, expected to unfold around 2030, will undoubtedly be marked by the emergence of groundbreaking technologies. Kluwer Patent Blog
  • China's space program is developing its own deflection mission, aiming to demonstrate asteroid redirection by 2030. Jegtheme
Financial Impact
The world could reach debt levels of maybe $3 quadrillion by 2030. Algora Blog
The International Energy Agency forecasts a dramatic rise in the adoption of green technologies, projecting that investments in sustainable industrial solutions will reach $1 trillion annually by 2030. IoT Business News
Expectations are that intra-Asia trade will exceed $13.5 trillion by 2030. PortCalls Asia
Click on the dots or the lines to see the connections
System Map
Organizations
Sectors
Cities
Countries
People
Scenarios
Creates plausible alternative futures of what can happen and encourages development of a robust, agile response
The global hepatitis strategy, endorsed by all WHO member states, aims to achieve a 90% reduction in new chronic hepatitis infections and a 65% decrease in related deaths by 2030. PubMed Central (PMC)
The SBTN state setting validated science-based targets for nature is a crucial step for companies to achieve the Global Biodiversity Framework and reverse and halt nature loss by 2030. Acclaro Advisory
In 2024, 2024, marks Honda's first year of global electric motorcycle, with plans to introduce 30 electric models worldwide by 2030. RushLane
Warnings
Changing proportion of published forecasts
Up to 800 million people worldwide could be displaced by automation and need to find new jobs by 2030. Fortune
Africa contributes less than 10% of global emissions, but climate change threatens up to 118 million of the poorest Africans, exposing them to droughts, floods, and extreme heat by 2030. GAC
Solutions
Know how others are tackling issues with this topic
COP 16 marks the first Biodiversity COP since the adoption of the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework in 2022, with a goal to stop and reverse biodiversity loss by 2030. EuropaWire
The United Nations has adopted a new Global Digital Compact, including a series of new panels and working groups on AI and a requirement on member countries to take concrete actions in respect of data governance by 2030. Stephenson Harwood - Data protection
International forest pledges have committed their signatories to halting and reversing global deforestation and forest degradation by 2030. Forest Declaration
Key topics
Extremes
Investigate what’s transforming or collapsing
The ultimate goal of the global campaign is to raise public awareness and to urge international fashion brands and policymakers to ban live lamb cutting in Australia by 2030. FOUR PAWS International - Animal Welfare Organisation
Almost 4% of the world's total working hours could be lost to climate-induced extreme temperatures by 2030. Hong Kong Free Press HKFP
To end extreme poverty and absolute monetary poverty worldwide by 2030, it would cost about $70 and $325 billion per year. Global Policy Journal
What's Next
Changing proportion of material mentioning future years
The UN Water Conference comes at the midway point of the UN Water Action Decade, a global effort to head off a looming water crisis that could see a 40% shortfall in global freshwater supplies by 2030. MercoPress
In late 2021 nearly 140 world leaders gathering at the United Nations climate talks in Glasgow pledged to end forest loss and land degradation by 2030. International Consortium of Investigative Journalists
Questions
Can?
How can oil and gas companies thrive in a post-2030 world? McKinsey & Company
Can the Great Green Wall be built by 2030? Geographical
Can the Carbon Management Challenge fast-track action towards reaching 1 GT of CCUS deployment by 2030? Clean Air Task Force
How?
How is Labour living up to its promise of clean energy by 2030? Electrical Review
How is the Global Insurance Software Market expected to evolve by 2030? Research and Markets
What is the market size, and how is it expected to grow by 2030? Mobility Foresights
Who?
Man who used AI to create child abuse images jailed for 18 years | Crime | The Guardian >> Generative AI could cause 10 billion iPhones worth of e-waste per year by 2030 | TechCrunch >> What are AI 'world models,' and why do they matter? Futureseek Link Digest
Which supplier has an edge in new product development and who will be the Automotive Radar Sensors leader in 2030? Mobility Foresights
Who will lead and who will follow in the autonomous vehicle race by 2030? Research and Markets
What?
What are the key factors driving the growth of the Philippines aseptic packaging market from 2024 to 2030? Mobility Foresights
What are the key factors driving the growth of the North America aseptic packaging market from 2024 to 2030? Mobility Foresights
What are the key factors driving the growth of the Mexico aseptic packaging market from 2024 to 2030? Mobility Foresights
When?
Will industries like agriculture, manufacturing and public safety fully embrace autonomy by 2030, and what will cities of the future look like when they do? Hexagon AB
What happens when the Big Ten's broadcast contract expires in 2030? The Mercury News
What's the purpose of four or five-lane thoroughfares in an epoch when new gas-and-diesel burners will, if the EU parliament has its way, be banned by 2035 anyway? CNN
Will?
Will India be able to eliminate TB by 2030 - five years ahead of the global target? News18
Most Recent Which countries will contribute the most to global student mobility in 2030? ICEF Monitor - Market intelligence for international st
Which countries will contribute the most to global student mobility in 2030? ICEF Monitor - Market intelligence for international st
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