Artificial Intelligence

A Future Prognosis

Kerry Richardson

18 May 2022
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World Outlook
Main factors that cause something to happen globally
When completed by the end of the year, it will be one of the world's fastest AI supercomputers. VentureBeat
The rapid spread of artificial intelligence and automation would compel close to 375 million workers (14% of the global workforce) to change jobs or acquire new competencies by 2030. Redshift EN
In the coming years, at the pace that AI is advancing, it will surely bring a paradigm shift in the world of conversational commerce. Analytics India Magazine
Global regions, coloured according to number of forecasts
  • China will outperform the United States in AI because its population of 1.3 billion, or three times the United States', provides a database size advantage. American Academy of Arts & Sciences
  • With a key focus on logistics and aerial mobility, Qualcomm is working on 5G and premium AI-enabled robotics, drones and intelligent machine solutions that will empower more productive, intelligent, and advanced robots, unlocking new possibilities with critical intelligence and maximum efficiency. TechHQ
  • Integrating 'diverse technologies' and 'novel digital innovations' - such as smart devices, sensors, AI and IoT - will serve to move us closer to the United Nations' Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 11 for safety, sustainability, resilience and inclusivity. SkedGo
  • The British Medical Journal has expressed concern around risks to patient safety from misleading studies claiming that AI is as good as, or better than, human experts at interpreting medical images. GOV.UK
  • As AI grows ever more intelligent, and promises even to oust musicians, it's no wonder that around two in five workers worldwide are worried that tech will take their jobs. Information Age
  • For companies suffering from the effects of Apple's shift to opt - in from opt-out, artificial intelligence could be a solution. VentureBeat
  • AI will account for 45% of annual economic growth by 2030. TekRevol
  • Solvvy's proprietary technology will broaden Zoom Contact Center's offering with scalable self-service and conversational AI. TechCrunch
  • An open, international dialogue on equitable AI governance could help set up global regulations. Newsroom
  • North American leader of artificial intelligence consulting at Infosys, security professionals may not think about threat actors using AI explicitly, but they are seeing more, faster attacks and can sense an increased use of AI on the horizon. VentureBeat
  • The use of algorithms and AI technology in hiring workers could risk violating the Americans with Disabilities Act. Insider
  • AIS software alerts ship drivers if they are in danger of getting too close to a vessel so they can adjust course or speed well in advance to avoid an in extremis situation. Modern War Institute

A framework that describes a 4-phase level of maturity to help determine potential and inform innovation strategy.

artificial intelligence, UAV, application, 3D, airplane, algorithm
artificial intelligence, application, 5G, algorithm, GDP, IT
artificial intelligence, data, GPS, built, commercial, company
artificial intelligence, CO2, GIS, IT, actor, atmosphere
Past Year: More Negative
Compare changing sentiment to a benchmark of all forecasts
When completed by the end of the year, it will be one of the world's fastest AI supercomputers. VentureBeat
The future of work has arrived, and according to a report by the World Economic Forum, robots, automation, and artificial intelligence could replace 85 million jobs globally by 2025. Richard van Hooijdonk Blog
  • The UAE's stated goal is to become one of the leading AI nations by 2031, creating new economic and business opportunities and generating up to 335 billion dirhams ($91 billion) in extra growth. Al-Monitor: The Pulse of the Middle East
  • AI's perceived risk is not only from autonomous weapon systems that countries like the US, China, Israel and Turkey produce that can track and target humans and assets without human intervention. Economic Times
  • A repurposed drug-seeking AI system could generate 40,000 possible chemical weapons in just six hours. Tech Xplore
  • Trade Minister Dan Tehan forecasts the trade deal - the Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement (AI ECTA) - will lead to a doubling of two-way trade (US$ 27.5 billion in 2021) over the next 5 years. KPMG Newsroom
  • Additional equipment to enable the manufacture G + AI Batteries in pouch pack cell format has been ordered and is expected to arrive in early 2022. Australian Manufacturing Forum
  • Narrow AIs that can be broadened or expanded by strong incumbents (like Tesla or Google) will have better chances of increasing reach and displacing weaker competition.
  • The new Nvidia open-source GPU kernel modules will simplify installs and increase security for Ubuntu users, whether they are AI/ML developers, gamers, or cloud users. The Register
  • The benefits of AI in the global south could be vast - from improving sanitation, to helping with education, to providing better medical care. ETAuto
  • The future scenario of employing AIS to help clinicians could revolutionize clinical decision-making and, if embraced, create a new healthcare paradigm. Frontiers
  • Solvvy's proprietary technology will broaden Zoom Contact Center's offering with scalable self-service and conversational AI. TechCrunch
  • An open, international dialogue on equitable AI governance could help set up global regulations. Newsroom
  • Technological superiority by great powers undermines the positive potential of AI for the majority of the world's population, particularly in developing economies. Newsroom
Financial Impact
AI technology will be valued at $4 trillion by 2025. Enterprise Apps Today
The true value of AI - estimated to be worth $13 trillion to the global economy by 2030 - will be realized due to it being accessible to businesses of all shapes and sizes, not just multinational corporations. Forbes
Global business value derived from artificial intelligence is projected to total $1.2 trillion in 2018, an increase of 70% from 2017, according to Gartner, Inc. AI-derived business value is forecast to reach $3.9 trillion in 2022. Gartner
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System Map
Creates plausible alternative futures of what can happen and encourages development of a robust, agile response
By 2023, businesses will ... ... understand that AI is not the art of trying to force value out of historical data, but actually the art of creating new data and insight by interacting with the world. ThoughtWorks
National Strategy for Data and AI: Saudi Arabia launched its first AI Strategy to become a global leader in artificial intelligence and data by 2030.
By 2022, I-DAIR will federate a network of nine hubs to institute its distributed research architecture aimed at promoting global collaboration in research and countering the hoarding of data and knowledge in the digital and AI world.
Changing proportion of published forecasts
800 million individuals globally could be displaced by AI and automation and need to find new jobs by 2030. Business Matters
By 2040, technology will be ubiquitous; automation, AI and robots will be in operation in businesses across all industries, improving efficiencies and creating profit, while ultimately displacing many jobs, impacting as much as 20% of the global workforce by 2030. KPMG
Know how others are tackling issues with this topic
There is a high failure rate for AI projects, for example Gartner predicts that through 2022, 85% of AI projects will deliver erroneous outcomes due to bias in data, algorithms or the teams responsible for managing them. GAVS TECHNOLOGIES
Robots, automation, and artificial intelligence could replace 85 million jobs globally by 2025. Dataversity
In 2024, Park Systems will move into a new expanded headquarters, and later in 2021, it will introduce a new fully automated AFM with AI and robotic intelligence for both scientific and industry labs.
Key topics
Investigate what’s transforming or collapsing
IBM has rolled out a global pro bono social impact program that provides its experts and technologies, including hybrid cloud and artificial intelligence, to aid nonprofits focused on populations vulnerable to environmental threats, including climate change, extreme weather and pollution. Westfair Communications
Why NASA is inventing curious AI for deep space - Space probes will be the first to explore the furthest reaches of our solar system and beyond. The Daily Galaxy
LSports will work alongside UltiX to develop and deliver the world's first predictive betting algorithms and AI designed specifically for the sport of Ultimate. SBC News
What's Next
Changing proportion of material mentioning future years
AI and ML together will transform enterprise Data Management in the coming years, and many emerging technologies like the multi-cloud, edge, serverless, IoT, and big data will collaboratively contribute to the forthcoming digital disruption in global businesses. Dataversity
85% of chief executives believe that AI will dramatically change their business over the next years.
How AI can improve ranking on search engines?
What Can AI Solutions Do in Marketing? SURPERFORMANCE
Just how important is AI and automation in payroll, and how can professionals in the industry work with it? The Chartered Institute of Payroll Professionals (CIPP)
How will AI assist in developing an enhanced SaaS future? Conneqtion
The Partnership on AI (artificial intelligence) asked nine experts across media, academia, civil society, and industry, How Will AI Change Local News in the Next 5 Years? My News Biz
How is Artificial Intelligence transforming the world? ALT 4
Who should we blame when AI-based true self-driving cars somehow get enmeshed into car crashes or other car-related upending qualms? Forbes
Who wants an AI chatbot that speaks like a robot? Reviano
In the quest for AI dominance, who gets to decide what kind of collateral damage is acceptable? Time
What will AI and machine learning mean for the IoT?
What sensing and On-Device AI are required for the automotive of the future? AutoSens
What happens to humans when Artificial Intelligence becomes smarter than us? aimzer
When is the right time for independent grocers to invest in data analytics and artificial intelligence? RSA America
Are there any challenges researchers, companies, and scientists face when trying to adopt AI practices and technologies into their work?
What copyright issues arise when artificial intelligence produces creative works? Ars Electronica Blog
If there is more specialization needed in AI, will data scientists be needed as much? Towards Data Science
How soon will Artificial Intelligence replace us? aimzer
Will AI Be a Bane or Boon for Global Development? Human Development Reports
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