Artificial Intelligence

A Future Prognosis

Kerry Richardson

14 September 2024
Introduction
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Contents
User Guide
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Sources
RSS Feeds
Twitter Searches
Web Searches
Twitter Feeds
World Outlook
Main factors that cause something to happen globally
300 million full-time jobs across the globe could be disrupted - not necessarily replaced - by AI in the coming years. Insider
By 2030, AI will potentially contribute a staggering $15.7 trillion to the global economy: Exploiting the AI Revolution. Inkbot Design
By 2025, AI and automation could displace 85 million jobs globally. Thoughtful
Global regions, coloured according to number of forecasts
SWOT
Strengths
  • In line with its efforts to develop competition law to adapt to emerging technologies, the FTC will likely continue utilizing its Section 6 authority to promulgate more robust enforcement tools as it learns more about how generative AI impacts competition. Regulatory Oversight
  • The growing use of AI and generative AI has heightened customers' awareness of their need to protect and manage data, and Own's solutions will enhance availability, security, and compliance of customer data across Salesforce's platform. CIO
  • Apple shares have shown more relative resilience in recent week ahead of the seasonal iPhone launch period, which is expected to reveal more on AI services and monetization. Insights
Weaknesses
  • Proactive Threat Hunting: AI-powered capabilities and natural language querying make it easier for MDR teams to proactively search for hidden threats before they can cause damage. Security Boulevard
  • Many worry that the use of AI by IRCC will lead to bias and a general lack of explanation for how decisions are made in processing applications.
  • The absence of a globally acknowledged governance framework for the military use of AI has created a dangerous regulatory void, raising concerns that unchecked AI-powered military technologies could threaten international peace and stability. The koreatimes Times
Opportunities
  • There were at least two substantive outcomes: first, the number of AI safety institutes among advanced democratic countries continues to grow, meaning that global government capacity on AI safety will soon increase dramatically. Center for Strategic and International Studies
  • With iOS 18.1, due to be released in October, Apple will introduce Apple Intelligence, a suite of AI tools powered by large language models. MacRumors
  • AI's energy consumption has been highlighted as a growing issue, with projections indicating that by 2027, the energy demands of AI data centers could exceed the entire energy usage of the Netherlands. DirectorsTalk
Threats
  • Adversaries have shifted to more effective tactics, such as credential harvesting and exploiting vulnerabilities, bypassing legacy defences while using AI and other advanced technologies to rapidly evolve their techniques. Cohesity
  • The quantum / AI threat extends to all devices that touch the public internet, including mobile phones and computers in the Department of Defense. Microwave Journal
  • AI running on a quantum computer could attack symmetric encryption, such as the Advanced Encryption Standard. Microwave Journal
Influencers
Countries
Cities
People
Organizations
S-Curve

A framework that describes a 4-phase level of maturity to help determine potential and inform innovation strategy.

Weak
artificial intelligence, UAV, algorithm, application, airplane, 3D
Emerging
artificial intelligence, application, algorithm, 5G, GDP, IT
Maturing
artificial intelligence, data, GPS, CPU, application, agency
Declining
artificial intelligence, emission, IT, CO2, GIS, PC
Sentiment
Past Year: Stable
Compare changing sentiment to a benchmark of all forecasts
300 million full-time jobs across the globe could be disrupted - not necessarily replaced - by AI in the coming years. Insider
Artificial intelligence technologies could lead to the creation of about 97 million new jobs worldwide by 2025, outpacing the approximately 85 million jobs displaced to technology or machines. Washington State Standard
PEST
Political
  • AI-Enabled Regulatory Intelligence: In 2024, AI is anticipated to enhance regulatory intelligence by continuously scanning and interpreting global regulatory landscapes, aiding pharmaceutical companies in effectively navigating different regulatory environments. Healthcare IT Today
  • With US elections approaching and X already under scrutiny from regulators in Europe, it's a recipe for a new fight over the risks of generative AI. StartupNews.fyi - Startup & Technology News
  • With courts' ongoing interpretations of SuperValu, the continued circuit split in AKS-predicated FCA actions, and the imminent proliferation of AI, the remainder of FY 2024 will undoubtedly prove to be an active and impactful period for the FCA in health care. JD Supra
Economic
  • By 2027 AI could need as much electricity as the entirety of the Netherlands. Spiked
  • CCS Insight has predicted a cold shower for generative AI in 2024 following a surge in investment over the past year that has been likened to a gold rush. IT Pro
  • Some businesses will struggle to adopt generative AI in 2024 due to untenable costs of deployment. IT Pro
Social
  • The way demographic trends are emerging, there is a real danger that a significant proportion of the global population-amounting to more than 35% by 2070 in North and sub-Saharan Africa and in West Asia - is likely to largely miss out on AI's positive benefits. Global Finance Magazine
  • Maria Rua Aguete of Omdia underscores AI's growing industry impact: AI spend in media is set to reach $13 billion by 2028. NewscastStudio
  • Teachers are more tempered in their optimism about AI's potential to impact education in 2024 compared to last year. eCampus News
Technological
  • Yale's Holly Rushmeier is using AI to reconstruct an ancient city in present-day Syria and to predict how forest fires will affect Algerian landscapes. YaleNews
  • A report by Deloitte emphasizes, the use of AI in travel will continue to grow as companies harness its power to enhance customer experience and reduce operational costs. Gateway Travel
  • Based on a demonstration of Gemini for a group of reporters, Google's Bard Advanced might be capable of unprecedented AI multitasking by simultaneously recognizing and understanding presentations involving text, photos and video. Fortune
Financial Impact
PwC expects AI to add $15.7 trillion in value to the global economy by 2030, so the financial opportunity is enormous. AOL
The global space economy is projected to reach $1.8 trillion by 2035, driven by AI. Insider
China and North America stand to gain the most from AI, with China's GDP expected to rise by 26% and 14.5%, respectively, to reach a total of $10.7 trillion, which represents over 70% of the global economic impact. Yahoo Finance
Click on the dots or the lines to see the connections
System Map
Organizations
Sectors
Cities
Countries
People
Scenarios
Creates plausible alternative futures of what can happen and encourages development of a robust, agile response
The widespread adoption of artificial intelligence has the potential to contribute approximately $13 trillion to global economic activity by 2030. Market.us
By 2030, up to 375 million people, or approximately 14% of the global workforce, may need to shift jobs due to the deployment of automation and AI. SpringerLink
While a Government push towards cementing its place as a science and technology powerhouse by 2030 has brought multi-million-pound cash injections into areas including AI, a new report from online learning platform Coursera places the UK 45th globally for technology and business skills. theHRDIRECTOR
Warnings
Changing proportion of published forecasts
According to a report from Bankless Times Artificial intelligence could displace 800 million jobs (30% of the global workforce) by 2030. National Preparedness Commission
Automation and AI could displace up to 800 million jobs globally by 2030. B2B News Network
Solutions
Know how others are tackling issues with this topic
2023 could be described as the year of AI discovery for many businesses globally, but 2024 has been the year of adoption. Businessday NG
By 2030, we envision a world where every business, regardless of scale or sector, harnesses the power of AI and emerging tech to drive transformative change. Small Business UK
The widespread adoption of Generative AI could contribute an impressive $2.6 trillion to $4.4 trillion annually to the global economy by 2040. CRN - India
Key topics
Extremes
Investigate what’s transforming or collapsing
Without global cooperation, it will be extremely difficult, if not impossible, to rein in the most dangerous potential of AI. The Guardian
Countries will ultimately need to establish some global understanding to make AI systems safer, and avoid AI creating strategic risks and instability. The Straits Times
Cutting-edge AI systems herald significant strategic advantages as 'ultimate enablers' of key major players such as the United States and China, but also risk unforeseen disruptions in global regulatory and norms-based regimes governing armed conflicts. Sipri
What's Next
Changing proportion of material mentioning future years
A new generation of Indian AI-first or AI-native startups could be catering to the world in the coming years. Economic Times
AI and digital technology will transform the world in dramatic ways in the coming years. AmCham Belgium
Questions
Can?
How can we leverage AI to drive innovation? Data Science Central
How can businesses adopt a people-centric approach to maximize the benefits of new disruptive AI-based technologies? Roland Berger GmbH
Can artificial intelligence really enrich fossil-fuel companies and fight climate change at the same time? The Atlantic
How?
How can universities use AI and machine learning to enhance their marketing strategies in 2024? Higher Education Marketing
How do we educate the public on AI's impact on perceptions of reality? Poynter
How can AI impact the future of mobility and logistics? Proeza Ventures
Who?
Who in Europe is investing the most in artificial intelligence? Euronews
Who owns the copyright to AI-generated content, whether fully generated by AI or created with its assistance? IBM Blog
Who should use AI Tools for Data Analytics? Blogs & Updates on Data Science, Business Analytics
What?
What role do artificial intelligence and advanced manufacturing and robotics play as prompts for design agency where context, matter, and technology converge and are intrinsically interdependent? Eventbrite
What challenges are associated with AI implementation in maritime payments? ShipMoney
What are the primary benefits of AI in cross-border payments? ShipMoney
When?
What differences does artificial intelligence bring when it comes to security? Healthcare IT News
What should organizations consider when selecting ERP vendors for AI capabilities? BBrief
How can education still create opportunities for all when digital literacy is no longer enough - a world in which students now need to have AI fluency? MIT News | Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Will?
Will AI Be the Next Frontier in Behavioral Health? American Hospital Association
While the Apple Watch will not get "major" Apple Intelligence capabilities, there could perhaps be AI features tied to a future health coach service MacRumors
In the coming years, which countries will have the most significant impact on AI development and deployment? The Millennium Project
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