2030

A Future Prognosis

Athena @ Shaping Tomorrow

9 May 2025
Introduction
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Contents
User Guide
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Sources
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World Outlook
Main factors that cause something to happen globally
National TB Elimination Program has set the goal of eliminating tuberculosis (TB) by 2025, adopting a Treat all approach, which aligns with global efforts to end the TB epidemic by 2030. LWW
A McKinsey Global Institute analysis forecasts scenarios in which 400 to 800 million people worldwide might need to find new occupations due to automation by 2030. The Ark
By 2030, up to 375 million workers globally may need new professions as AI automates 50% of tasks, impacting not just manual labour but also high-skilled roles like engineering. blog.alor.org
Global regions, coloured according to number of forecasts
SWOT
Strengths
  • If Western innovation slows, by 2030 China could also lead in patents for next-gen tech (like solid-state batteries or advanced wind turbines), reinforcing a virtuous cycle of dominance. Energy Central
  • Tunisia plans to export 300,000 tonnes of green hydrogen to the EU by 2030 and 1.6 million tonnes by 2040. Climate Home News
  • Other impacts would remain relatively stable compared to current levels, except for the potential reductions in marine eutrophication (a 21% reduction by 2030) and freshwater ecotoxicity (an 8% reduction by 2030).
Weaknesses
  • Countries that participate in the GMP commit to work together to collectively reduce global methane emissions from human activity (across all sources, not limited to energy) by at least 30% below 2020 levels by 2030. IEA
  • By 2030, 2.1M jobs are projected to be unfulfilled due to lack of skilled labour. HRAddict
  • By 2030, after a series of devastating climate-related disasters - think megadroughts hitting global food supply, or unprecedented hurricanes taking down major cities' grids - nations realize that a fractured approach is untenable. Energy Central
Opportunities
  • Advanced geothermal energy may provide almost two-thirds of latest knowledge heart demand by 2030, in keeping with an evaluation by the Rhodium Group. Mobile Plus Tech
  • The timely agreement will help advance a comprehensive strategic partnership between India and the UK, steering bilateral trade toward the ambitious target of $100 billion by 2030. Economic Times
  • The construction industry is projected to grow by 11% from 2020 to 2030, which will consequently drive the need for advanced elevator systems, including their control cabinets. Verified Market Reports
Threats
  • The Sustainable Development Goals of the United Nations include the goal of reducing premature mortality from noncommunicable diseases by one-third by 2030, underlining the importance of mental health promotion and mental illness prevention programs. JMIR Mental Health
  • By 2030, 1 in five women and one in seven men, will be obese. PubMed Central (PMC)
  • With over 9 GW of onshore wind capacity at risk by 2040, metal recycling firm, EMR, argues that repowering and circular reuse is vital to meet the UK's Clean Power 2030 targets, which include a doubling of onshore wind capacity within the next five years. resource.co
Influencers
Countries
Cities
People
Organizations
S-Curve

A framework that describes a 4-phase level of maturity to help determine potential and inform innovation strategy.

Weak
autonomous, Mars, airplane, computer, market, augmented reality
Emerging
EV, artificial intelligence, battery, car, hydrogen, market
Maturing
emission, carbon, country, market, demand, electricity
Declining
emission, coal, carbon, CO2, country, demand
Sentiment
Past Year: Stable
Compare changing sentiment to a benchmark of all forecasts
National TB Elimination Program has set the goal of eliminating tuberculosis (TB) by 2025, adopting a Treat all approach, which aligns with global efforts to end the TB epidemic by 2030. LWW
The United States is committed to helping the world end the AIDS epidemic as a public health threat by 2030. United States Mission to the United Nations
PEST
Political
  • The Japan Electronic System for Travel Authorization will simplify entry for visa-free countries, fully rolling out by 2030. VisaVerge
  • Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson announced a 3.5% GDP increase in defence spending by 2030, investing SEK 300 billion (€27 billion) to strengthen military capabilities. / Sweden The Economic Times
  • Coming into effect in January, the UK's SAF mandate sets legal obligations for aviation fuel suppliers in the UK to progressively increase proportions of sustainable fuel, from 2% of total jet fuel in 2025 to 10% in 2030, and 22% in 2040. The Conversation
Economic
  • BP's 2.7 gigawatts of renewables and its claim of a portfolio of 58.3 GW of opportunities would be a useful boost to Masdar's ambition of 100 GW by 2030. AGBI
  • The UK Climate Change Commission, the Britain needs 50 GW of offshore wind, 30 GW of onshore wind, and 4 5GW of solar power to meet clean power targets by 2030. SEC Newgate
  • As a top 500 enterprise in China based in Xiaoyi City, north China's Shanxi Province, Pengfei Group follows China's dual carbon goals to peak carbon emissions by 2030 and reach carbon neutrality by 2060, and strives to build itself into a global leading smart enterprise in clean energy. PR Newswire UK
Social
  • Through the Cancer Vaccine Launch Pad, a collaboration between NHS England and Genomics England, the UK aims to deliver 10,000 personalised cancer vaccine treatments by 2030. Pharmaceutical Technology
  • The global digestive health sector was valued at USD 51.62 billion in 2023, and is expected to expand by a CAGR of 8.3% from 2024 to 2030. ProVeg International
  • India's pharmaceutical industry is expected to hit $65 billion by 2024, $130 billion by 2030, and $450 billion by 2047. Angel One
Technological
  • By 2030, given the increase in the number of datacenters, the potential for recoverable waste heat could represent 3.5 TWh as data centers expand to meet increasing AI demands. TradingView
  • Beyond Aero remains on track to achieve certification by 2030, with ongoing advancements in hydrogen fuel cell technology, aircraft design, and regulatory integration. stupidDOPE
  • India's AI-driven digital economy, projected to reach USD 400 billion by 2030, presents both challenges and opportunities. Connected to India News I Singapore l UAE l UK l USA l
Financial Impact
2025 could be even better, with predicted sales of US$ 697 billion, 3 reaching a new all-time high, and well on track to reach the widely accepted aspirational goal of US$ 1 trillion in chip sales by 2030. semiwiki
Clothing and apparel claim a large portion of total retail ecommerce revenue - which is no surprise, considering the US fashion industry is forecasted to reach $1.6 trillion by 2030. Shopify
The value of the outsourcing sector has been growing steadily, with the latest projections seeing an expected 5.6% CAGR in the next five years, reaching $1.48 trillion by 2030. Fortunly
Click on the dots or the lines to see the connections
System Map
Organizations
Sectors
Cities
Countries
People
Scenarios
Creates plausible alternative futures of what can happen and encourages development of a robust, agile response
The UN's Global Plastics Treaty, ratified by 175 countries, mandates a 60% reduction in microplastic emissions by 2030. WebMD Network
Shippers across the world are under pressure to meet the International Maritime Organization's mandate to cut carbon emissions by 20% by 2030 and work toward regional goals like the UK's recently updated greenhouse gas reduction goals. STAX Engineering
Oxfam's work in Southern Africa is guided by its Gender in Emergencies Strategy (2022-2025), Gender Justice Framework, and Global Strategic Framework (2020-2030), which prioritises gender justice as a key driver of transformative systems change. Vacancymail.co.zw
Warnings
Changing proportion of published forecasts
Jobs are at risk - Pew Research (2023) pegs 19% of US workers as AI-vulnerable, and globally, 800 million roles could shift by 2030. BusinessLine
China almost certainly has a multifaceted, national-level strategy designed to displace the United States as the world's most influential AI power by 2030. TrackRecord Daily
Solutions
Know how others are tackling issues with this topic
Owing to AI adoption, 14% of the global workforce will be affected by job loss by 2030. demandsage
Governments worldwide have endorsed the 79th United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) declaration, committing to a significant reduction in the global quantity of antimicrobials use in the agrifood system by 2030. Nature
Uber Eats has committed to a global shift in sustainable packaging by 2030 and no pollution by 2040. Yahoo News
Key topics
Extremes
Investigate what’s transforming or collapsing
40% of existing facilities globally will encounter high or extremely high risks of water stress by 2030. Nature
The ultimate goal of the global campaign is to raise public awareness and to urge international fashion brands and policymakers to ban live lamb cutting in Australia by 2030. FOUR PAWS International - Animal Welfare Organisation
Almost 4% of the world's total working hours could be lost to climate-induced extreme temperatures by 2030. Hong Kong Free Press HKFP
What's Next
Changing proportion of material mentioning future years
The global partnership is committed to ending all new transmissions, late HIV diagnoses and eventually new diagnoses of HIV by 2030. Greater Manchester Integrated Care Partnership
In the coming years, the luxury sector will undergo a profound transformation driven by generational change, particularly with Generation Z (born between 1997 and 2012) and Millennials (born between 1981 and 1996), who by 2030 will constitute the majority of global luxury consumers. LUXONOMY
Questions
Can?
Can AI Scaling Continue Through 2030? Epoch AI
Can 40 launches, development and demonstration of the undeveloped and undemonstrated on-orbit rocket fuel station, and integration of a complex operational scenario across multiple systems all successfully occur by 2030? SpaceNews
What steps can governments and businesses take today to ensure that all European citizens have access to high-speed internet by 2030? archyde
How?
How will the talent gap evolve by 2030? 9cv9 Career Blog
How is the Global Data Governance Market expected to evolve by 2030? Research and Markets
How is the Global Apparel Logistics Market expected to evolve by 2030? Research and Markets
Who?
Man who used AI to create child abuse images jailed for 18 years | Crime | The Guardian >> Generative AI could cause 10 billion iPhones worth of e-waste per year by 2030 | TechCrunch >> What are AI 'world models,' and why do they matter? Futureseek Link Digest
Which supplier has an edge in new product development and who will be the Automotive Radar Sensors leader in 2030? Mobility Foresights
Who will lead and who will follow in the autonomous vehicle race by 2030? Research and Markets
What?
What strategy will LVMH use to evolve the luxury market for 2030? ABITA LLC&MARKETING JAPAN
What will the luxury market look like in 2030? ABITA LLC&MARKETING JAPAN
What will be the strongest country by 2030? Geographic FAQ Hub: Answers to Your Global Questions
When?
Will industries like agriculture, manufacturing and public safety fully embrace autonomy by 2030, and what will cities of the future look like when they do? Hexagon AB
What happens when the Big Ten's broadcast contract expires in 2030? The Mercury News
What then is Nigeria's Zero Hunger policy and what strategies do we intend to create a Nigeria free of hunger in 2030 or at least in 2060 when Nigeria will be a hundred years as a sovereign country? Vanguard News
Will?
Which jobs will AI replace by 2030? Hire Remote Developers | Build Teams in 24 Hours - Gape
What will the USDZAR exchange rate be in 2030? Managed Accounts forex
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