2030

A Future Prognosis

Athena @ Shaping Tomorrow

29 April 2025
Introduction
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Contents
User Guide
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Sources
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World Outlook
Main factors that cause something to happen globally
The United States is committed to helping the world end the AIDS epidemic as a public health threat by 2030. United States Mission to the United Nations
The UN's Global Plastics Treaty, ratified by 175 countries, mandates a 60% reduction in microplastic emissions by 2030. WebMD Network
Shippers across the world are under pressure to meet the International Maritime Organization's mandate to cut carbon emissions by 20% by 2030 and work toward regional goals like the UK's recently updated greenhouse gas reduction goals. STAX Engineering
Global regions, coloured according to number of forecasts
SWOT
Strengths
  • Kuala Lumpur - Malaysia has officially unveiled its National Cybersecurity Strategy for the 2025-2030 period, aiming to strengthen cyber defence capabilities, enhance national resilience, and effectively respond to the growing range of cybersecurity threats. Vietnam+ (VietnamPlus)
  • Despite strong current sales, Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly face significant LOE exposure between 2030 and 2040, with 65% and 71% of their projected revenue at risk. GeneOnline News
  • Companies with LOE risks beyond 2030 may focus on acquiring earlier-stage assets to build stronger future pipelines. GeneOnline News
Weaknesses
  • Internal targets include a 10% reduction in waste intensity and a 20% reduction in water consumption intensity by 2030 F from 2019 levels. / Australia Minichart
  • UK EV battery waste volumes will reach approximately 28,000 tonnes by 2030, rising sharply to over 235,000 tonnes by 2040. resource.co
  • There is a possibility of several disappointing years for AI development, but more significant and beneficial developments beyond 2030. GOV.UK
Opportunities
  • 2030 could mark a major breakthrough for Wipro as it redefines its role in a tech-first global economy. Browvopetshop
  • By 2030, Wipro aims to lead in global digital transformation by focusing on security, innovation, and sustainable IT. Browvopetshop
  • Over 140 PSUs are being engaged to adopt IWT for cargo, in alignment with the Maritime India Vision 2030 and Amrit Kaal Vision 2047, which aim for 200 MMT cargo by 2030 and 500 MMT by 2047. IBPS Guide
Threats
  • A recent report highlights the looming loss of exclusivity for major pharma firms between 2025-2030 and 2030-2040. GeneOnline News
  • By 2030, efforts to onshore production of advanced semiconductors to Western countries have started to make some headway, which reduces some of the inter-reliance between continental blocks and increases the risk of conflict. GOV.UK
  • Despite recent steps towards cooperation, it remains uncertain whether the global governance of AI will be more coordinated or fragmented between geopolitical blocks by 2030. GOV.UK
Influencers
Countries
Cities
People
Organizations
S-Curve

A framework that describes a 4-phase level of maturity to help determine potential and inform innovation strategy.

Weak
autonomous, Mars, airplane, computer, market, augmented reality
Emerging
EV, artificial intelligence, battery, car, hydrogen, market
Maturing
emission, carbon, country, market, demand, electricity
Declining
emission, coal, carbon, CO2, country, demand
Sentiment
Past Year: Stable
Compare changing sentiment to a benchmark of all forecasts
The United States is committed to helping the world end the AIDS epidemic as a public health threat by 2030. United States Mission to the United Nations
Oxfam's work in Southern Africa is guided by its Gender in Emergencies Strategy (2022-2025), Gender Justice Framework, and Global Strategic Framework (2020-2030), which prioritises gender justice as a key driver of transformative systems change. Vacancymail.co.zw
PEST
Political
  • The Japan Electronic System for Travel Authorization will simplify entry for visa-free countries, fully rolling out by 2030. VisaVerge
  • Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson announced a 3.5% GDP increase in defence spending by 2030, investing SEK 300 billion (€27 billion) to strengthen military capabilities. / Sweden The Economic Times
  • Coming into effect in January, the UK's SAF mandate sets legal obligations for aviation fuel suppliers in the UK to progressively increase proportions of sustainable fuel, from 2% of total jet fuel in 2025 to 10% in 2030, and 22% in 2040. The Conversation
Economic
  • BP's 2.7 gigawatts of renewables and its claim of a portfolio of 58.3 GW of opportunities would be a useful boost to Masdar's ambition of 100 GW by 2030. AGBI
  • The UK Climate Change Commission, the Britain needs 50 GW of offshore wind, 30 GW of onshore wind, and 4 5GW of solar power to meet clean power targets by 2030. SEC Newgate
  • As a top 500 enterprise in China based in Xiaoyi City, north China's Shanxi Province, Pengfei Group follows China's dual carbon goals to peak carbon emissions by 2030 and reach carbon neutrality by 2060, and strives to build itself into a global leading smart enterprise in clean energy. PR Newswire UK
Social
  • Through the Cancer Vaccine Launch Pad, a collaboration between NHS England and Genomics England, the UK aims to deliver 10,000 personalised cancer vaccine treatments by 2030. Pharmaceutical Technology
  • The global digestive health sector was valued at USD 51.62 billion in 2023, and is expected to expand by a CAGR of 8.3% from 2024 to 2030. ProVeg International
  • India's pharmaceutical industry is expected to hit $65 billion by 2024, $130 billion by 2030, and $450 billion by 2047. Angel One
Technological
  • By 2030, given the increase in the number of datacenters, the potential for recoverable waste heat could represent 3.5 TWh as data centers expand to meet increasing AI demands. TradingView
  • Beyond Aero remains on track to achieve certification by 2030, with ongoing advancements in hydrogen fuel cell technology, aircraft design, and regulatory integration. stupidDOPE
  • India's AI-driven digital economy, projected to reach USD 400 billion by 2030, presents both challenges and opportunities. Connected to India News I Singapore l UAE l UK l USA l
Financial Impact
We calculate that companies across the compute power value chain will need to invest $5.2 trillion into data centers by 2030 to meet worldwide demand for AI alone. McKinsey & Company
Investment in renewable energy will need to reach approximately $4 trillion annually by 2030 to meet global energy demands sustainably. NenPower
XR technologies could unlock an estimated $1.5 trillion in value for the global economy by 2030, underlining an annual growth rate well above 30%. Greater Kashmir
Click on the dots or the lines to see the connections
System Map
Organizations
Sectors
Cities
Countries
People
Scenarios
Creates plausible alternative futures of what can happen and encourages development of a robust, agile response
Jobs are at risk - Pew Research (2023) pegs 19% of US workers as AI-vulnerable, and globally, 800 million roles could shift by 2030. BusinessLine
Owing to AI adoption, 14% of the global workforce will be affected by job loss by 2030. demandsage
British Petroleum's (BP) baseline has global consumption flattening around 2030 and falling by 2035. Liberty Street Economics
Warnings
Changing proportion of published forecasts
China almost certainly has a multifaceted, national-level strategy designed to displace the United States as the world's most influential AI power by 2030. TrackRecord Daily
By 2030, technological advances will impact 86% of businesses, creating 170 million jobs globally while displacing 92 million. Bizclik Media Ltd
Solutions
Know how others are tackling issues with this topic
Governments worldwide have endorsed the 79th United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) declaration, committing to a significant reduction in the global quantity of antimicrobials use in the agrifood system by 2030. Nature
Uber Eats has committed to a global shift in sustainable packaging by 2030 and no pollution by 2040. Yahoo News
The Philippines was the first Asian country to join the Global School Meals Coalition, demonstrating its strong commitment to providing school meals to all children by 2030. philstar.com
Key topics
Extremes
Investigate what’s transforming or collapsing
40% of existing facilities globally will encounter high or extremely high risks of water stress by 2030. Nature
The ultimate goal of the global campaign is to raise public awareness and to urge international fashion brands and policymakers to ban live lamb cutting in Australia by 2030. FOUR PAWS International - Animal Welfare Organisation
Almost 4% of the world's total working hours could be lost to climate-induced extreme temperatures by 2030. Hong Kong Free Press HKFP
What's Next
Changing proportion of material mentioning future years
The global partnership is committed to ending all new transmissions, late HIV diagnoses and eventually new diagnoses of HIV by 2030. Greater Manchester Integrated Care Partnership
In the coming years, the luxury sector will undergo a profound transformation driven by generational change, particularly with Generation Z (born between 1997 and 2012) and Millennials (born between 1981 and 1996), who by 2030 will constitute the majority of global luxury consumers. LUXONOMY
Questions
Can?
Can AI Scaling Continue Through 2030? Epoch AI
Can 40 launches, development and demonstration of the undeveloped and undemonstrated on-orbit rocket fuel station, and integration of a complex operational scenario across multiple systems all successfully occur by 2030? SpaceNews
What steps can governments and businesses take today to ensure that all European citizens have access to high-speed internet by 2030? archyde
How?
How is the Global Automotive Parts Remanufacturing Market expected to evolve by 2030? Research and Markets
How much more general will Frontier AI systems be by 2030? GOV.UK
How is the Global Non-Invasive Aesthetic Treatment Market expected to evolve by 2030? Research and Markets
Who?
Man who used AI to create child abuse images jailed for 18 years | Crime | The Guardian >> Generative AI could cause 10 billion iPhones worth of e-waste per year by 2030 | TechCrunch >> What are AI 'world models,' and why do they matter? Futureseek Link Digest
Which supplier has an edge in new product development and who will be the Automotive Radar Sensors leader in 2030? Mobility Foresights
Who will lead and who will follow in the autonomous vehicle race by 2030? Research and Markets
What?
Cut storm overflow spills by 45% by 2030 Invest £12 billion in overflow infrastructure Allocate £6 billion to reduce nutrient pollution Track 23 performance metrics covering emissions, biodiversity, and pollution What makes AMP8 different? Causeway Technologies
What will we be buying in 2030? Which?
What will be the price of EarthMeta in 2030? Crypto Reporter
When?
Will industries like agriculture, manufacturing and public safety fully embrace autonomy by 2030, and what will cities of the future look like when they do? Hexagon AB
What happens when the Big Ten's broadcast contract expires in 2030? The Mercury News
What then is Nigeria's Zero Hunger policy and what strategies do we intend to create a Nigeria free of hunger in 2030 or at least in 2060 when Nigeria will be a hundred years as a sovereign country? Vanguard News
Will?
Which Jobs Will Disappear By 2030? The Merge
Will data science be in demand in 2030? Best BBA, BCA, Hotel Management, Design and Media Colle
Which Sectors Will Face the Toughest AI Regulations by 2030? All About AI
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