2030

A Future Prognosis

Athena @ Shaping Tomorrow

28 September 2023
Introduction
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Contents
User Guide
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Sources
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World Outlook
Main factors that cause something to happen globally
Pakistan remains steadfast in its dedication to addressing the challenge of hepatitis and achieving the World Health Organization's global elimination targets by 2030. ARY NEWS
Global Citizen urges all Amazonian governments to join with President Lula in committing to end illegal deforestation by 2030. PR Newswire
By 2030, global temperatures will decrease by approximately 0.53 degrees Celsius, representing a 36% reduction. MDPI
Global regions, coloured according to number of forecasts
SWOT
Strengths
  • The Levelling Up and Regeneration Bill will include additional measures to help ensure that Protected Landscapes will be able to make major contributions to meet the 30 by 30 commitments (protect 30% of England's land for biodiversity by 2030). Strutt & Parker - Rural Hub
  • Better tax design and stronger public institutions could help emerging markets and developing economies raise some of the estimated €3 trillion they need annually between now and 2030 to finance their sustainable government goals and climate transition. ITR
  • Saudi Arabia, represented by its General Court of Audit, has been elected to be president of the Asian Organization of Supreme Audit Institutions from 2027 to 2030. ArabNews
Weaknesses
  • Global demand for oil, natural gas and coal is likely to peak by 2030 - an encouraging development but not nearly enough to limit the rise in global temperatures to 1.5 degrees Celsius. CNN
  • Failure to increase ambition and implementation between now and 2030 would introduce additional climate risks and make achieving the 1.5 °C goal reliant on the massive deployment of carbon removal technologies, which are both costly and unproven at scale. SolarQuarter
  • There is now only a 40% to 60% chance of limiting the global temperature rise to 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels by 2030. BCG Global
Opportunities
  • G20 leaders pledged to pursue and encourage efforts to triple global renewable energy capacity by 2030 - a goal that is broadly understood to mean the deployment of 11,000 gigawatts of renewable generation. Center for Climate and Energy Solutions
  • Sustainability and green buildings, digital transformation and affordable living options are at the forefront to align the National Vision Program 2030 with Qatar's real estate strategy and the impact on foreign investment. Zawya
  • Part of the grand vision of Mohammed bin Salman, looking forward to 2030, he does have his desire to make Saudi Arabia less dependent on natural resources to look at a post-fuel economy [involving] tourism, entertainment. CNN
Threats
  • If current trends continue, 575 million people will still be living in extreme poverty in 2030, 128.5 million children will still suffer from stunting - developmental issues that result from chronic undernutrition - and 84 million children and young people will still be out of school. NPR
  • The world should be eradicated from hunger and poverty by 2030, and all people should have access to education, clean water, and reliable energy. DW.COM
  • The cloud of uncertainty has spooked developers, who warned there was now little chance the UK will reach its target of 50 gigawatts of offshore wind capacity by 2030. The Telegraph
Influencers
Countries
Cities
People
Organizations
S-Curve

A framework that describes a 4-phase level of maturity to help determine potential and inform innovation strategy.

Weak
autonomous, Mars, computer, airplane, market, augmented reality
Emerging
EV, battery, artificial intelligence, car, hydrogen, electric
Maturing
emission, carbon, country, demand, electricity, CO2
Declining
emission, coal, carbon, CO2, country, GDP
Sentiment
Past Year: Stable
Compare changing sentiment to a benchmark of all forecasts
Pakistan remains steadfast in its dedication to addressing the challenge of hepatitis and achieving the World Health Organization's global elimination targets by 2030. ARY NEWS
GHGs emissions by 2030 will have to be nearly 25% and 55% less than 2017 levels for the world to have the chance of limiting global temperature between 2 and 1.5 degrees Celsius individually. MDPI
PEST
Political
  • The price of carbon under the federal charge will increase by $15 per tonne in 2023, and then rise again every year until it reaches $170 per tonne in 2030. Global News
  • The European Union has formally published an energy efficiency directive mandating member countries to curb energy consumption by 11.7% by 2030 relative to projections for 2020. rigzone.com
  • The EU has adopted an energy efficiency directive mandating member countries to curb energy consumption by 11.7% by 2030. rigzone.com
Economic
  • India will see steel consumption climb at a 7% cumulative annual growth rate until 2030, fueled by continuous, large infrastructure investments as well as increasing demand from the auto sector. Mint
  • Emissions intensity per air-conditioning unit has decreased over the last decade, but reductions need to be three times faster through to 2030. IEA
  • All nations need to increase levels of decarbonization to stand a chance of meeting the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's (IPCC) advice that by 2030 emissions reductions need to reach 43%. Edie
Social
  • Without a move towards the best available products, and improvements in the performance of the buildings in which they operate, electricity demand for space cooling in buildings could increase by as much as 40% globally by 2030. IEA
  • William Blair estimated global sales of more than $8 billion in 2030, while brokerage Truist Securities expects more than $10 billion sales by 2035. Reuters
  • After the FDA approval and warning, most analysts stuck to their peak global sales estimates for the drug, some of which are above Eisai's own forecast of $7 billion by 2030. Reuters
Technological
  • AI will make a $15.7 trillion possible contribution to the global economy by 2030. Epsilon Telecommunications
  • The maritime workforce of 2030 will need to adapt to a more technology-centric environment. Splash247
  • AI is projected to grow to $15.7 Trillion dollars of additional GDP by 2030 reported by PWC analysis. MarketScreener
Financial Impact
The world could reach debt levels of maybe $3 quadrillion by 2030. Algora Blog
In a best-case scenario, multi-earning income globally could reach $1.4 trillion by 2030, with more than 20% coming from generative AI. Insider
A high-quality DEFA is expected to double the value of the ASEAN digital economy, from $1 trillion to $2 trillion, by 2030. The Diplomat
Click on the dots or the lines to see the connections
System Map
Organizations
Sectors
Cities
Countries
People
Scenarios
Creates plausible alternative futures of what can happen and encourages development of a robust, agile response
According to a report from Bankless Times Artificial intelligence could displace 800 million jobs (30% of the global workforce) by 2030. National Preparedness Commission
The world should be eradicated from hunger and poverty by 2030, and all people should have access to education, clean water, and reliable energy. DW.COM
Four of the world's top garment producing countries are at risk of missing out on $65 billion in earnings by 2030. CNN
Warnings
Changing proportion of published forecasts
By 2030, up to two thirds of the world's extreme poor could live in settings characterized by fragility, conflict and violence threatening efforts to end extreme poverty. SlideShare
Automation and AI could displace up to 800 million jobs globally by 2030. B2B News Network
Solutions
Know how others are tackling issues with this topic
Collaborating globally, HD KSOE and partners like Woodside Energy and Linde Engineering are exploring new hydrogen transportation and storage solutions, aiming to commercialize their advancements by 2030. Marine Insight
The multi-year strategy of the UN Global Compact is to drive business awareness and action in support of achieving the SDGs by 2030. United Nations
Extreme heat and flooding are set to deal a massive blow to the global fashion industry, with four of the world's top garment producing countries at risk of missing out on $65 billion in earnings by 2030. CNN
Key topics
Extremes
Investigate what’s transforming or collapsing
By 2030, 342.4 million women and girls - an estimated 8% of the world's female population - will live in extreme poverty and close to one in four will experience moderate or severe food insecurity. Sri Lanka Guardian
The Middle East is a place where threats that will menace the world in the 2030s may play out early, including nuclear proliferation, extreme weather and even greater inequality, as weak countries fall further behind. The Economist
574 million people, 7% of the global population, will still be living in extreme poverty by 2030. World Bank Live
What's Next
Changing proportion of material mentioning future years
The UN Water Conference comes at the midway point of the UN Water Action Decade, a global effort to head off a looming water crisis that could see a 40% shortfall in global freshwater supplies by 2030. MercoPress
In late 2021 nearly 140 world leaders gathering at the United Nations climate talks in Glasgow pledged to end forest loss and land degradation by 2030. International Consortium of Investigative Journalists
Questions
Can?
How can progress on tackling ending poverty, economic growth, and the challenges of climate change be best brought together, in the context of Agenda 2030 (including building resilience, adaptation, and sustainable growth)? GOV.UK
Can the UK meet its 2030 CCUS target? Wood McKenzie
How can countries in the Global South better use and mobilize their domestic resources to accelerate progress towards the goals of the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development? UNU WIDER
How?
How sharply should gas demand fall in the 2030s? UKERC
How will climate change agendas evolve by 2030? FoodNavigator-USA.com
How will artificial intelligence change our lives by 2030? The Eastern Herald
Who?
Which supplier has an edge in new product development and who will be the Automotive Radar Sensors leader in 2030? Mobility Foresights
Who will lead and who will follow in the autonomous vehicle race by 2030? Research and Markets
Who Will Own EV Charging in 2030? Car and Driver
What?
What will autonomy and artificial intelligence look like in 2030? Transport Times
What will taxation look like in 2030? ITR
Will industries like agriculture, manufacturing and public safety fully embrace autonomy by 2030, and what will cities of the future look like when they do? Hexagon AB
When?
What happens when the Big Ten's broadcast contract expires in 2030? The Mercury News
What then is Nigeria's Zero Hunger policy and what strategies do we intend to create a Nigeria free of hunger in 2030 or at least in 2060 when Nigeria will be a hundred years as a sovereign country? Vanguard News
What then is Nigeria's Zero Hunger policy and what strategies do we intend to create a Nigeria free of hunger in 2030 or at least in 2060 when Nigeria will be hundred years as a sovereign country? THISDAY LIVE
Will?
At the current rate of progress, will 2030 bring a better life and a better world? Plan International
Which key factors will influence micro system-on-module market growth over 2023-2030? InvestorsObserver
Will we get the SDGs by 2030? DAWN.COM
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