Climate

A Future Prognosis

Matt Richardson

3 July 2025
Introduction
This set of automatically curated slides provides an instant overview about possible futures to help inform present day strategy, and for you to act on opportunities and risks and mitigate threats in a timely manner. Learn more.

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Contents
User Guide
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Sources
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World Outlook
Main factors that cause something to happen globally
Climate change could erode a total of $23 trillion of global gross domestic product by 2050. Cornelius Today
Without climate change mitigation, up to 50% of the world population could live in countries experiencing water stress by 2050, 80% living in developing countries. PubMed Central (PMC)
The world needs a 45% reduction in carbon emissions by 2030 to achieve the Paris Agreement goal of limiting global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius, compared with pre-industrial levels. MIT OpenCourseWare
Global regions, coloured according to number of forecasts
SWOT
Strengths
  • With 80% of global trade going by sea, making ports and infrastructure more resilient to climate change and cutting emissions will be key objectives. NHH
  • New York State is advancing efforts to address the impacts of climate change through commitments including the Clean Water, Clean Air and Green Jobs Environmental Bond Act (Bond Act) and the Community Risk and Resiliency Act. Department of Environmental Conservation
  • As the world faces the intersecting challenges of climate change, rising energy costs and growing digital divides, Zimbabwe has an opportunity to lead with technology that is ethical, adaptive and scalable. Herald
Weaknesses
  • At the current pace of decarbonization, the economic damage from climate change is expected to reach 11-29% of global GDP, or US$ 19-59 trillion by 2050. GIC
  • Weak progress on nature financing and stalled subsidy reforms, which could help mitigate climate change, were cited among the chief challenges at COP 16 in Colombia last year. News Room Guyana
  • The scarcity of money to help the Global South adapt to a warming planet has been an Achilles heel of the UN climate process for years - and there will be pressure for a new target at COP 30. People Daily
Opportunities
  • Although President Trump is famously skeptical toward climate change, much of the clean transition will be accelerated in Southeast Asia, with China, South Korea, and Japan all showing their interest in renewable energy projects. FX Empire
  • Engineering biology has the potential to solve some of the world's most pressing population scale challenges, from climate change to healthcare. CapGemini
  • By taking significant strides to manage and reduce embodied carbon from the construction and building sectors, the CALGreen Code will help mitigate climate change while contributing to California's goal of achieving carbon neutrality by 2045. SCS Global Services
Threats
  • A recent study highlights the alarming effects of climate change on global food security, projecting that a rise of 1 °C in global temperatures will result in a 4% decrease in per capita calorie availability by the year 2100. EDUREV.IN
  • As the world faces mounting challenges - from conflict and climate change to economic uncertainty-UN Women warns that gender equality cannot be treated as optional. IDN-InDepthNews | Analysis That Matters
  • Climate change poses a severe threat to bananas, the world's most consumed fruit and a dietary staple for over 400 million people. SupplyChain Strategy
Influencers
Countries
Cities
People
Organizations
S-Curve

A framework that describes a 4-phase level of maturity to help determine potential and inform innovation strategy.

Weak
warming, computer, atmosphere, climate-change, artificial intelligence, autonomous
Emerging
artificial intelligence, EV, carbon, pandemic, country, battery
Maturing
emission, country, climate-change, carbon, global warming, warming
Declining
emission, GDP, biodiversity, coal, country, carbon
Sentiment
Past Year: Stable
Compare changing sentiment to a benchmark of all forecasts
Climate change could erode a total of $23 trillion of global gross domestic product by 2050. Cornelius Today
In a warming world, efficient and comfortable bus systems are not a luxury but a necessity that could herald a shift to emission-free urban transportation at least by 2047, when India hopes to join the ranks of the world's developed economies. Outlook Business
PEST
Political
  • Based on the current commitments made by governments to limit greenhouse gas emissions, the planet is projected to warm by 2.7 degrees Celsius (4.9 degrees Fahrenheit) above pre-industrial levels by the end of the century. earth.com
  • Satellites could monitor military movements, rebel activities, or terrorist threats, as well as track climate change, natural disasters and illegal activities like piracy in strategic maritime routes where U.S. interests lie. SpaceNews
  • Key focus areas shaping the Australian policy landscape in 2025 will be around housing affordability, climate change and environmental conservation. Corrs Chambers Westgarth
Economic
  • The adoption of EVs, along with the integration of autonomous vehicles and smart city solutions, has the potential to significantly reduce greenhouse gas emissions, contributing to global efforts to combat climate change. Automobilnews News - The first AI News Portal world wid
  • Climate Change Mitigation: India aiming for 45% reduction in emission intensity by 2030 and is taking steps towards achieving Net Zero by 2070. Current Affairs | Vision IAS
  • The UK Climate Change Commission, the Britain needs 50 GW of offshore wind, 30 GW of onshore wind, and 4 5GW of solar power to meet clean power targets by 2030. SEC Newgate
Social
  • The ability to compress research timelines could have profound implications for addressing urgent global challenges, from drug discovery to climate change solutions. VentureBeat
  • The major gathering to celebrate and reveal the Living World as an inspiring model for innovation, transition, adaptation to global warming and the restoration of biodiversity will be calling at Marseille in 2025. Biomim'expo
  • Exposure to outdoor air pollution and extreme temperatures during pregnancy may increase the risk of prolonged pregnancy, offering new insights into the impact of climate change on maternal health. ScienceDaily
Technological
  • If successful, platforms like Microsoft Discovery could fundamentally alter the pace at which humanity can innovate in response to existential challenges - from climate change to pandemic prevention. VentureBeat
  • Policymakers and stakeholders need reliable information to develop climate change strategies and put in place and justify measures to mitigate the global greenhouse effect under predicted anthropogenic warming. Nature
  • We can see that tackling the world's biggest issues such as financial inclusion and climate change will require the support of AI technology to not only accelerate the development of new solutions, but also to help deploy solutions at mass scale. Beacon Venture Capital
Financial Impact
First Street estimates that $1.47 trillion in property value could be lost to climate change effects over the next 30 years. Globe Street
To keep to warming to 1.5 °C, annual climate finance investments will have to reach US$ 9 trillion by 2030 and a further US$ 10 trillion through to 2050. Blogger
To limit global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius, global clean energy investments must reach $4.5 trillion annually by 2030. Insurance Chat
Click on the dots or the lines to see the connections
System Map
Organizations
Sectors
Cities
Countries
People
Scenarios
Creates plausible alternative futures of what can happen and encourages development of a robust, agile response
The European Commission is to roll out the world's most ambitious climate change legislation to cut pollution by at least 55% from 1990 levels by 2030. Graphic News
Extreme heat is surging around the world as climate change drives up temperatures and threatens to force hundreds of millions of people from their homes by 2050. FDD
Climate change could lead to a loss of 24 million jobs globally by 2030. Climate Cosmos
Warnings
Changing proportion of published forecasts
1.2 billion people could be displaced globally by 2050 due to climate change and natural disasters. Impakter
1.2 billion people could be displaced around the world by 2050 due to climate change and natural disasters. #Asakhe - CITE
Solutions
Know how others are tackling issues with this topic
By 2040, the University of Nottingham and its partners aim to achieve net-zero emissions regionally - a goal that mirrors global commitments to combat climate change. Hydrogen Fuel News
While the United Nations Fashion Industry Charter for Climate Action sees signatory fashion and textile companies commit to achieving net zero emission by 2050, a majority of businesses around the world have yet to address their roles in climate change. Earth.Org
From the disastrous Amazon rainforest fires (2024), California wildfires (2024), Indian heat waves (2024), and Pakistan floods (2022) to Black Summer (2020) in Australia, the earth is facing unprecedented threats due to climate change. JK Policy Institute | Research, Policy, Development, Go
Key topics
Extremes
Investigate what’s transforming or collapsing
The UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change recently released a report stating that its modelling suggests the world is on course to breach 2.7 °C above pre-industrial levels by 2050 - a level that would be extremely damaging, especially for Africa. businesslive
Africa contributes less than 10% of global emissions, but climate change threatens up to 118 million of the poorest Africans, exposing them to droughts, floods, and extreme heat by 2030. GAC
The global community's response to climate change in the coming years will play a pivotal role in shaping the future of extreme weather events across the United States. PC-Tablet
What's Next
Changing proportion of material mentioning future years
If the world followed the guidance of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and significantly reduced emissions by 2030, the rate of warming would quickly begin to slow after 2050. SBS News
The world is around 1.2 degrees Celsius warmer than pre-industrial levels, and it's on track to breach 1.5 degrees of warming in the coming years - a critical threshold beyond which scientists say humans and ecosystems will struggle to adapt. CNN
Questions
Can?
Climate change is no mere theory, and its effects on human health, ecology and economy are only growing in severity - so what can we do? Bartlett Faculty of the Built Environment
To what extent can rootstocks be used to mitigate the effects of climate change? The Drinks Business
If evolution's fastest sprinters are barely keeping pace with climate change, what does that mean for the species that can not run at all? Climate Cosmos
How?
How is Afreximbank supporting member states to navigate ongoing global challenges such as high debt burdens, climate change, and geopolitical tensions? Businessday NG
How is Iberostar addressing the risks posed by climate change to its properties? Skift
How is climate changing impacting heat domes? Time
Who?
Who wants to bring a child into a world of droughts, floods, and other extreme weather events linked to climate change? Forbes
Who profits the most from global warming? Cornelius Today
How do we make sure the future of trade is fair to countries in the Global South, who are reeling from runaway debt and bearing the brunt of climate change? Global Player
What?
What measures are Australians taking to combat climate change? Smart Lifestyle Australia
What are the aggregate implications of climate change? European Central Bank
What is the evidence on effective prevention and early intervention, and on responding to mental health and wellbeing risks and impacts in a climate change context in Scotland? ClimateXChange
When?
What responsibility do we have for the global challenges of climate change, environmental problems, increasing inequality and ongoing human challenges when we concentrate on a regenerative perspective on development? SpringerLink
When climate change makes people's homes unliveable, where will they go? The New Dark Age
When megatrends like disruptive technology, economic volatility and climate change are upending the competitive landscape? PwC
Will?
How will we tackle issues of climate change and inequality? Londonist: Things To Do
As climate change drives temperatures ever higher, will preventative measures be enough to ensure the safety of millions of pilgrims? Australian Broadcasting Corporation
Will climate change force a fundamental shift in work patterns? archyde
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