Climate

A Future Prognosis

Matt Richardson

2 April 2025
Introduction
This set of automatically curated slides provides an instant overview about possible futures to help inform present day strategy, and for you to act on opportunities and risks and mitigate threats in a timely manner. Learn more.

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Contents
User Guide
Click on the blue source names to view the original evidence.
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Sources
RSS Feeds
Twitter Searches
Web Searches
Twitter Feeds
World Outlook
Main factors that cause something to happen globally
The European Commission is to roll out the world's most ambitious climate change legislation to cut pollution by at least 55% from 1990 levels by 2030. Graphic News
Extreme heat is surging around the world as climate change drives up temperatures and threatens to force hundreds of millions of people from their homes by 2050. FDD
Climate change could lead to a loss of 24 million jobs globally by 2030. Climate Cosmos
Global regions, coloured according to number of forecasts
SWOT
Strengths
  • Disruptions in global markets, shipment and labour issues, increased tariffs and climate change have made it harder than ever for food distributors to guarantee consistent supplies at stable prices. Fadaro Foods
  • As climate change intensifies and marine resources face mounting pressures, recognizing and protecting indigenous land rights has become not just a matter of social justice, but a critical strategy for preserving Earth's threatened ecosystems. Marine Biodiversity Science Center
  • The Building Climate Resilient Communities in Stung Prey Pros Watershed project implemented by Church World Service in Cambodia, aims to address the watershed's vulnerabilities to climate change by exploring EbA approaches at the district level. Global EbA Fund
Weaknesses
  • The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change envisions an even greater role for CCS, with scenarios suggesting a median requirement of 15 gigatonnes annually by 2050 to limit global warming to 1.5 °C. Sprih
  • Co-operatives present a unique opportunity to address key challenges faced by cashew farmers in Tanzania, particularly in the Mtwara and Lindi regions, amid the increasing pressures of climate change. SpringerLink
  • Differences in views on issues such as trade, climate change, and human rights could create friction between the U.S. and Indonesia. archyde
Opportunities
  • ADB is helping Cambodia achieve its Vision 2050 to become a high-income country through economic diversification, human development, and climate change mitigation and adaptation. Asian Development Bank
  • The UAE's Ministry of Climate Change and Environment, or MOCCAE, launched its National Climate Change Plan (2017-2050) to bolster nationwide climate action.
  • Achieving net-zero CO2 emissions in China could mitigate global warming by 0.16-0.21 °C by the end of the 21st century. Nature
Threats
  • Globally, coral reefs are facing unprecedented threats from climate change, ocean acidification, pollution, destructive fishing practices, and unsustainable coastal development. The Environmental Literacy Council
  • As climate change intensifies, the planet's rising temperatures are posing increasingly deadly risks, particularly to the world's youth. Electricity Today T&D Magazine
  • Two coastal communities in Nunavut faced with increasing hazards as the oceans warm will receive federal funding to help study the impact on their safety. Canada's National Observer
Influencers
Countries
Cities
People
Organizations
S-Curve

A framework that describes a 4-phase level of maturity to help determine potential and inform innovation strategy.

Weak
warming, computer, atmosphere, climate-change, artificial intelligence, autonomous
Emerging
artificial intelligence, EV, carbon, pandemic, country, battery
Maturing
emission, country, climate-change, carbon, global warming, warming
Declining
emission, GDP, biodiversity, coal, country, carbon
Sentiment
Past Year: Stable
Compare changing sentiment to a benchmark of all forecasts
The European Commission is to roll out the world's most ambitious climate change legislation to cut pollution by at least 55% from 1990 levels by 2030. Graphic News
Reports suggest that, up to US$183bn of premiums could be generated globally by 2040 as a consequence of climate change. Fortune India
PEST
Political
  • Based on the current commitments made by governments to limit greenhouse gas emissions, the planet is projected to warm by 2.7 degrees Celsius (4.9 degrees Fahrenheit) above pre-industrial levels by the end of the century. earth.com
  • Satellites could monitor military movements, rebel activities, or terrorist threats, as well as track climate change, natural disasters and illegal activities like piracy in strategic maritime routes where U.S. interests lie. SpaceNews
  • Key focus areas shaping the Australian policy landscape in 2025 will be around housing affordability, climate change and environmental conservation. Corrs Chambers Westgarth
Economic
  • The UK Climate Change Commission, the Britain needs 50 GW of offshore wind, 30 GW of onshore wind, and 4 5GW of solar power to meet clean power targets by 2030. SEC Newgate
  • The National Institutes of Health will no longer be funding work on the health effects of climate change. ProPublica
  • The UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) - which provides regular scientific assessments on climate change - has said to limit global warming to 1.5 °C, GHG emissions must be cut by 60% by 2035 compared to 2019 (and 43% by 2030). Greenpeace International
Social
  • Exposure to outdoor air pollution and extreme temperatures during pregnancy may increase the risk of prolonged pregnancy, offering new insights into the impact of climate change on maternal health. ScienceDaily
  • The choices made in the coming years will determine whether the Arctic continues to exist as we know it or becomes an irreversible casualty of a warming world. earth.com
  • For higher warming levels of 4-5 °C above preindustrial, older adults could experience uncompensable heat across around 60% of the Earth's surface during extreme events. ScienceDaily
Technological
  • Policymakers and stakeholders need reliable information to develop climate change strategies and put in place and justify measures to mitigate the global greenhouse effect under predicted anthropogenic warming. Nature
  • We can see that tackling the world's biggest issues such as financial inclusion and climate change will require the support of AI technology to not only accelerate the development of new solutions, but also to help deploy solutions at mass scale. Beacon Venture Capital
  • Israeli tech firms who have built an entire economy around cybersecurity will be joined by Silicon Valley technocrats to rebuild Gaza through invasive surveillance technologies, most likely under the benevolent guise of climate change and counterterrorism. 5Pillars
Financial Impact
To limit global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius, global clean energy investments must reach $4.5 trillion annually by 2030. Insurance Chat
A new study from First Street estimates that climate change will cause a $1.47 trillion decline in home values in the United States by 2055, in no small part due to rising insurance costs and homeowners declining to move to risky neighborhoods. Numlock News
Climate change could drive a $1.47 trillion decline in home values across the U.S. by 2055. Inside Climate News
Click on the dots or the lines to see the connections
System Map
Organizations
Sectors
Cities
Countries
People
Scenarios
Creates plausible alternative futures of what can happen and encourages development of a robust, agile response
The goal of containing global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial temperatures will require a 43% reduction in global emissions by 2030. thestatesman.com
The UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change recently released a report stating that its modelling suggests the world is on course to breach 2.7 °C above pre-industrial levels by 2050 - a level that would be extremely damaging, especially for Africa. businesslive
Despite Africa emitting less than 4% of global greenhouse gas emissions in the atmosphere, the 1.5 °C climate change threshold will be approached by 2040 in all five subregions of Africa, even under low emission scenarios. ScienceDaily
Warnings
Changing proportion of published forecasts
1.2 billion people could be displaced globally by 2050 due to climate change and natural disasters. Impakter
1.2 billion people could be displaced around the world by 2050 due to climate change and natural disasters. #Asakhe - CITE
Solutions
Know how others are tackling issues with this topic
By 2040, the University of Nottingham and its partners aim to achieve net-zero emissions regionally - a goal that mirrors global commitments to combat climate change. Hydrogen Fuel News
From the disastrous Amazon rainforest fires (2024), California wildfires (2024), Indian heat waves (2024), and Pakistan floods (2022) to Black Summer (2020) in Australia, the earth is facing unprecedented threats due to climate change. JK Policy Institute | Research, Policy, Development, Go
Vietnam has pledged to achieve net-zero emissions by 2050, aligning with global efforts to combat climate change. The Asia Live
Key topics
Extremes
Investigate what’s transforming or collapsing
Africa contributes less than 10% of global emissions, but climate change threatens up to 118 million of the poorest Africans, exposing them to droughts, floods, and extreme heat by 2030. GAC
The global community's response to climate change in the coming years will play a pivotal role in shaping the future of extreme weather events across the United States. PC-Tablet
The burning of fossil fuels accounts for the majority of planet-warming emissions, which scientists say need to be reduced to net zero by 2050 to avoid the most extreme effects of climate change. Reuters
What's Next
Changing proportion of material mentioning future years
The world is around 1.2 degrees Celsius warmer than pre-industrial levels, and it's on track to breach 1.5 degrees of warming in the coming years - a critical threshold beyond which scientists say humans and ecosystems will struggle to adapt. CNN
A loose definition risks the world breaching 1.5 degrees Celsius of warming above pre-industrial times in coming years, a level top scientists see as a guardrail against the worst impacts of climate change. Eco-business
Questions
Can?
How can global warming cause both drier and wetter extremes? Insurance Journal
Can we stop global warming? Times of India
Can renewable energy survive climate change? UN News
How?
How will climate change affect America's rivers? Futurity
How does climate change impact oceanic food sources? FoodDrinkTalk
How can we reduce carbon emissions to combat climate change? United Nations University
Who?
How do we make sure the future of trade is fair to countries in the Global South, who are reeling from runaway debt and bearing the brunt of climate change? Global Player
The Wild Robot and Flow's nonhuman focus asks, Who will bear the brunt of climate change? Mashable
Developing countries will need trillions of dollars in the years ahead to deal with climate change - but exactly how much is needed, and who is going to pay for it? Barrons
What?
What if the far right makes a 180-degree turn and fully acknowledges that global warming is human-made? Climate & Capitalism
What would happen if popular pressure becomes strong enough that political leaders were forced to do what it takes to limit warming to 1.5 or 2 degrees-shutting down oil rigs and coal mines, halting the airline industry, stopping deforestation? Climate & Capitalism
What do we need to do, as a left, to build and sustain a movement against climate change? Climate & Capitalism
When?
Why has Labour shied away from reforming gas royalties or tackling climate change with urgency, especially when Australia is facing record-breaking temperatures? New Politics
Why do farmers hesitate to use technology even when it promises to increase yields, improve efficiency, and help tackle global challenges like climate change? Folio3 Agtech
What levers can Patagonia pull when it comes to making meaningful change, whether it's pollution, climate change, conservation, etc? Luminary Chiefs
Will?
Will global collaboration on climate change continue despite growing polarization? FirstPost
How will climate change affect daily life in 2050? The Environmental Literacy Council
How will AI shape the fight against climate change over the next 5-10 years? TechRadar pro
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