Global Scans · Brazil · Weekly Summary

WHAT'S NEXT?: A recession in Brazil is expected to bottom out with growth turning positive starting in 2017. Its economy is expected to require a long period of fiscal and monetary adjustment after the political turmoil and public discontent of the last two years.

• [New] Brazil will use its presidency in 2025 to officially launch the Tropical Forests Forever Facility, a global fund that will pay countries based on how well they protect their forests. Deutsche Welle
• [New] Lula's government has pledged to end deforestation by 2030, and rates fell by 30% last year. / Brazil Deutsche Welle
• [New] Brazil has coordinated the participation of an estimated 3,000 indigenous people, of which a third will be part of negotiations. ST
• [New] The conference in Brazil is expected to highlight the environmental stewardship of indigenous communities. ST
• [New] With Brazil at the helm, COP 30 could mark a turning point - from fragmented ambition to accountable action. Policy Circle
• [New] Developing countries may need $3.2 trillion annually by 2035, including $2.05 trillion for clean energy, $750 billion for adaptation and loss & damage, and $350 billion for nature-based and agricultural projects. / Brazil Policy Circle
• [New] Brazil will continue to use coal despite having over 80% of its electricity from renewable sources. Modern Diplomacy
• [New] Brazil's Congress recently passed a bill allowing coal plants to operate until 2040, which Lula could potentially veto. Modern Diplomacy
• [New] Azerbaijan's #COP29 and Brazil's #COP30 Presidencies have unveiled the Baku to Belem Roadmap - a bold blueprint to mobilize US$ 1.3 trillion a year in climate finance for developing countries by 2035. UNEP - UN Environment Programme
• [New] At Cop 30, Brazil and last year's host Azerbaijan will present the Baku to Belem Roadmap, a plan to raise US$ 1.3 trillion (£1 trillion) a year in international climate finance by 2035. The Conversation
• [New] Brazilian agricultural giants like JBS S.A. or mining companies could capitalize on global demand. The Chronicle-Journal
• [New] Expanding fossil fuel exploration could undermine Brazil's climate credibility, even as it celebrates progress on deforestation. The Optimist Daily: Making Solutions the News |
• [New] Official and private forecasters alike see potential for another record-breaking Brazilian soybean crop in 2026, but dicey weather and a strengthening La Nina pattern mean it's no sure thing. Pro Farmer
• [New] Forecasts call for rainfall in central Brazil this week, which would allow soybean plantings to advance in eastern and northern areas, but Dr. Cordonnier warns weather will need to cooperate for the remainder of the growing season to achieve normal yields. Pro Farmer
• [New] The rapid expansion of ethanol, biodiesel, and so-called sustainable aviation fuel is reshaping rural Brazil, threatening key ecosystems, and widening inequality. CSPO Watch
• [New] Brazil's exports are projected to reach 112 mt in 2025. Ag Bull Trading
• [New] If weather conditions cooperate, Brazilian production is expected to reach a new record of 6.5 billion bushels, up 3.6% from last season. Farmdoc daily
• For countries like Brazil and the UK, where the GDP impact is disproportionately high, the opportunity for AI-driven efficiency gains is enormous. Financial IT
• Brazil's GHG profile and flood risks highlighted, prompting green investment pushes. The Rio Times
• The climate agenda, a traditionally important item for South Africa, will certainly take priority on the overall Summit agenda, especially given that Brazil is holding COP 30 at the end of 2025. What Africa expects from BRICS Summit in Brazil
• At the UN COP 30 climate summit taking place in Brazil in November, Latin America has the opportunity to take the lead on key emerging sustainable finance themes - not least nature finance. Environmental Finance

Last updated: 11 November 2025