Global Scans · Brazil · Weekly Summary

WHAT'S NEXT?: A recession in Brazil is expected to bottom out with growth turning positive starting in 2017. Its economy is expected to require a long period of fiscal and monetary adjustment after the political turmoil and public discontent of the last two years.

• [New] In 2025, Brazil's BRICS presidency spotlighted a critical juncture to end TB by 2030. Think Global Health
• [New] Brazilian mining giant Vale is pushing the boundaries of maritime decarbonization with plans to deploy the world's first ocean-going vessel powered primarily by ethanol - a move that could slash greenhouse gas emissions by up to 90%. gCaptain
• [New] Brazil, China, India, Kenya, Indonesia, South Africa, Saudi Arabia, Turkey and the UAE have shown their willingness to provide ideas that could support eventual negotiations between Russia and Ukraine. CEBRI Revista
• [New] The war in Iran threatens Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva's free cooking gas program as global energy prices soar. Everything Briefing
• [New] Lower consumption could curb India's imports of edible oils, including palm oil from Indonesia and Malaysia, and soyoil and sunflower oil from Argentina, Brazil, Russia and Ukraine. ADM Investor Services
• [New] South American production will once again be in the spotlight, with a slight upward revision expected to Brazil's crop following a strong first crop. DTN Progressive Farmer
• [New] A super El Nino, potentially the strongest in 140 years, could form as early as 2026 and lead the planet to record temperatures never seen before, with impacts that Brazil is expected to feel starting in June. CPG Click Oil and Gas
• [New] In absolute terms, the largest incremental growth will come from China, Brazil, the United States, Vietnam and India. All About Feed
• [New] Brazil Plans $1.2 billion P3 Tunnel ENR also reported that Sao Paulo state in Brazil is planning a $1.2 billion immersed-tube tunnel between the Port of Santos and Guaruja. Reason Foundation
• [New] At COP 30, Brazil's COP 30 presidency announced it would create two roadmaps on the transition away from fossil fuels and on halting and reversing deforestation by 2030 respectively. Elcano Royal Institute
• [New] News in the coming weeks regarding biofuel policies in Indonesia, the US, Brazil and the European Union could have a significant impact on vegetable oil prices. Lipsa
• [New] In Brazil, Colombia, and parts of East Africa, AI-assisted models are already helping producers anticipate drought stress, forecast flowering windows, and estimate yield variability weeks or months in advance. General Warfield's Coffee
• [New] Climate change is expected to significantly reduce regions meeting the climatic requirements for high-quality Arabica, with vulnerability highest in Central America, Brazil, and East Africa. General Warfield's Coffee
• [New] Last Thursday, Marex Group Plc projected a record 2026/27 Brazil coffee crop of 75.9 million bags, even higher than Sucafina's forecast of 75.4 million bags, up +15.5% y/y. TradingView
• [New] Discussions will span AI, critical minerals, digital infrastructure, agribusiness and clean energy as Brazil looks to convert promise into performance. Brazil Summit
• [New] A new R&D center near Rio de Janeiro will receive 300 million Brazilian reais ($56.9 million) in investment, with construction starting in 2026 and an opening planned for 2028. EV
• [New] Even major exporters like Brazil may face production impacts, which could ripple through global markets. fundsforNGOs News - Grants and Resources for Sustainabi
• [New] Brazil's banks will be required to verify official satellite deforestation data before approving rural credit beginning on Wednesday in the South American country. FDD
• [New] How global coffee prices have fallen sharply from the highs in early 2025, as Brazil's national supply agency forecasted a record 66.2 million bag harvest and Rabobank projected the first significant global production surplus in five years. CNS Media
• [New] The second corn crop in Brazil will pollinate in early April, and traders will be monitoring that closely. Successful Farming
• [New] Warm / dry conditions ahead for Central-West Brazil will increase drought risks to 2nd crop corn, while rains to the east will be favorable for coffee/sugarcane. ADM Investor Services
• [New] Disruption and soaring fertilizer costs are hitting just as farmers in the US, Brazil and India are making critical purchasing decisions. BeverageDaily.com

Last updated: 14 April 2026